toddwins

Member Since:December 2003
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toddwins
NFL Betting > Interesting take on how to bet NFL > View Post
Wow. You want to write a book on wagering? With some half-baked concept of 65% chance win (you don't say where or how you came up with the 65% number, so I'll assume it's some variation of football analytics) and then blindly take the opposite side? I've got two pieces of news for you, and it's bad news. 1) Dartboards and monkeys picking would have better results. 2) Your book is already written and finished. Its not a best seller. I can however, be your agent. I will require a hefty upfront fee to peddle your idea to the publishers. For no fee whatsoever, I'll even suggest a name for your book: "How to lose a lot of money betting football games"

toddwins
MLB Betting > Blue Jays to win World Series > View Post
QUOTE Originally Posted by DRIBBLE4LIFE:
not a chance in hell.

That's it? That's all you got? No reasons why? Troll.

toddwins
NFL Betting > Buying picks > View Post
There is a reason they are called scam-dicappers. Do your own homework, and use your money for bets, not to buy picks

toddwins
Pro Football > Dallas at Chicago (12/04/2014) > View Post
QUOTE Originally Posted by Sportsvip416:
you guys on this forum make me laugh, more than half of you are making a case for a team that has bin absolutely pathetic all year long. A tam that has no pride in them and a quarterback that tries to make throws in triple coverage . Then you have Dallas coming off a longer week to prepare same as the bears however the cowboys are 5-0 on the road this season and have always played well at home there troubles have bin on the road. I'm not buying into this bullshit December record this is a different team offensively , its a different gameplan now with the leading rusher in the NFL. I don't like romo but hes a great qb on the road, the cowboys win this game by 10+

Cowboys-3.5 5 units
Cowboys -170 5 units

Oh, and one more thing...........who cares if a team is "pathetic" all year long? All that matters is that the team in question isn't pathetic in that game. I mean, you do remember Oakland beating Kansas City 2 weeks ago, right? In conclusion, as bad as Chicago is, they are still 5 - 7 against the number so far this year, and Dallas in just 6-6, so tread carefully.

toddwins
Pro Football > Dallas at Chicago (12/04/2014) > View Post
QUOTE Originally Posted by Sportsvip416:
you guys on this forum make me laugh, more than half of you are making a case for a team that has bin absolutely pathetic all year long. A tam that has no pride in them and a quarterback that tries to make throws in triple coverage . Then you have Dallas coming off a longer week to prepare same as the bears however the cowboys are 5-0 on the road this season and have always played well at home there troubles have bin on the road. I'm not buying into this bullshit December record this is a different team offensively , its a different gameplan now with the leading rusher in the NFL. I don't like romo but hes a great qb on the road, the cowboys win this game by 10+

Cowboys-3.5 5 units
Cowboys -170 5 units

Uh, helllllllllllo...............teams ATS records are year after year, about 50%, and it isn't any different this year, teams are something like 84-84-5 ATS. So, if you aren't making a case for the dog, then you're a fckn homer. I bet you always picks the fav, just the square public.

toddwins
Pro Football > Baltimore at Tampa Bay (10/12/2014) > View Post
The square public will be all over the Ravens.

toddwins
Pro Football > New England at Kansas City (09/29/2014) > View Post
Tom Brady has yet to pass for over 250 yards this season, and Alex Smith passed for only 255 against Denver...........all I like is the under

toddwins
Pro Football > New England at Kansas City (09/29/2014) > View Post
[Quote: Originally Posted by ronnie101]

If  you feel KC  wins then the pick is the under


UNDER IS THE PICK

[/Quote]

toddwins
Pro Baseball > Seattle at Toronto (09/22/2014) > View Post
Seattle has more road wins than the Blue Jays have in home wins......wow

toddwins
Pro Baseball > Minnesota at Chicago (09/12/2014) > View Post
ima take the over if i lose, well, it won't be the last time, right?

toddwins
Pro Baseball > Minnesota at Chicago (09/12/2014) > View Post
but wait, jose quintana doesn't give up runs!!!!!........fck!

toddwins
Pro Baseball > Minnesota at Chicago (09/12/2014) > View Post
minnesota has scored the most runs in MLB since july 24th, ima take the over


toddwins
Pro Baseball > Minnesota at Chicago (09/12/2014) > View Post
idk

toddwins
Pro Baseball > Minnesota at Chicago (09/12/2014) > View Post
wait! I think I like the over instead!

toddwins
Pro Baseball > Minnesota at Chicago (09/12/2014) > View Post
Jose Quintana at home...cha ching!

toddwins
Pro Baseball > Boston at New York (09/03/2014) > View Post
Ranaudo has given up 4 home runs already in just 18 innings of work. He is gonna get crushed with that short porch in right field at Yankee Stadium

toddwins
Pro Baseball > Kansas City at Minnesota (07/01/2014) > View Post
Final score was 10 - 2 .............OVER

toddwins
Pro Baseball > Kansas City at Minnesota (07/01/2014) > View Post
How can the so-called "experts" have this game 8 unders and ZERO over picks? Ricky Nolasco and James "homer" Sheilds pitching? Pu-leeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeze!

toddwins
Pro Baseball > New York at St. Louis (05/27/2014) > View Post
David Phelps is from St. Louis, I am gonna take the Yankees as a live dog here.

toddwins
Pro Hockey > New York at Winnipeg (03/04/2014) > View Post
Andy McDonald has been traded, Vanek is next, and Anders Nillson is in net. ............last 15 games Islanders have 5 wins, last 15 games Jest have 11 wins,........... any questions?

toddwins
Pro Basketball > Sacramento at Cleveland (02/11/2014) > View Post
not less than four covers scamdicappers are giving away clev as their 1 star free pick..........can all four of them be lying? seems unlikely 

toddwins
College Basketball > Clemson at North Carolina (01/26/2014) > View Post
UNC are playing like garbage right now, Clemson will FINALLY win at Chapel Hill, for their 1st win ever there. Book it.

toddwins
Pro Hockey > Washington at Montreal (01/25/2014) > View Post
And Ovechkin looks like he will be playing (not confirmed)

toddwins
Pro Hockey > Washington at Montreal (01/25/2014) > View Post
QUOTE Originally Posted by toddwins:

I just went through both teams results for the entire season, and here is what I found out: In the 2nd game on a B2B, the total has gone over 5 just 3 times combined. 

Upon further review, Holtby and Price have allowed 19 and 20 goals, respectively, in their last 5 starts (starts, not mop-up duty)......I cannot back the under while both goalies are fighting the puck, even if it is B2B

toddwins
Pro Hockey > Washington at Montreal (01/25/2014) > View Post
QUOTE Originally Posted by JDaggz:
Habs and Under. This type of B2B with a total set at 5 has a really high rate of Home Team and Under coming through. I've posted the stat a few times in the past but I'm having trouble finding it today. The basics are that in this situation Home team and Under hits almost 70% of the time. I originally found it at Pucking Hockey if anyone wants to fact check (i can't figure out how to access their archive). BOLTA

I just went through both teams results for the entire season, and here is what I found out: In the 2nd game on a B2B, the total has gone over 5 just 3 times combined. 

toddwins
Pro Hockey > St. Louis at Calgary (01/09/2014) > View Post
QUOTE Originally Posted by JDaggz:
Best game on the card today. Flames = 2.26 G/G, Blues = 3.6 G/G. Looks like puck line math to me :)

If you go by averages, then you'll get average results.

toddwins
Pro Hockey > Columbus at New York (01/06/2014) > View Post
QUOTE Originally Posted by Blackballer:
No. Rangers for me to win. Rangers are confident after their huge win versus Toronto and have momentum to their favor. I really hope Talbot is in net and not Losequist. Still with L in net Rangers is my play

What? Momentum? There is no momentum game to game, there is only momentum IN A GAME. 

toddwins
Pro Hockey > Edmonton at Anaheim (01/03/2014) > View Post
QUOTE Originally Posted by JDaggz:
Ducks cover the -1.5 easy in this.Early lean PL parlay with Ducks + Pens but not as confident in the Pens and need to see goalie starts. Any thoughts?? BOLTA

Lundqvist and Fluery are confirmed as starters tonight, and Bryzgalov is confirmed for Edmonton while Hiller is probable for Anaheim, as per 

http://www.leftwinglock.com/starting-goalies/

toddwins
Pro Hockey > Pittsburgh at New Jersey (12/31/2013) > View Post
Those are completely useless stats. It has nothing to do with today.

Anyways, the BEST site on the net for goalie starts is:

http://www.leftwinglock.com/starting-goalies/

They have links to confirm the starting goalies

toddwins
Pro Football > Denver at Oakland (12/29/2013) > View Post
After further review, I don't know if the over is the play or not, I'm not touching the over/under
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