nymumich

Member Since:April 2008
Location:

Recent Posts

Date Post Entry

nymumich
NBA Betting > Interesting that most telling stats are even or in Memphis's favor > View Post
Except for the 3-point shot.

The Spurs, at least for the last 2/3 years, have run something of a gimmick O (hoist a lot of 3's).  While it certainly proves successful throughout the regular season and against lesser playoff teams, it's not the type of O that a team can sustain for the long run.  I wonder at what point the other shoe drops and they start missing them (Memphis would probably have to try to guard to start).  



nymumich
College Basketball > Bad Matchup for Michigan > View Post
Michigan is #150 in the nation in three-point rate (35%).  Meaning it's only slightly above average in terms of % of its total shots coming from 3.  So not sure why you cited Kansas's ability to guard the 3 as a huge factor.  

In any event, Withey does scare me.  Not a great matchup for Michigan with Kansas's interior strength and tendency to slow it down.

nymumich
NBA Betting > Spurs down 4 minute left jacking 3s?????? > View Post
Because they live and die by the 3.  That sh*t doesn't last in the NBA.

nymumich
NBA Betting > What will people say if Miami > View Post
Just look back to Lebron's unbeatable teams in 2009, 2010,and  2011 in game 6's, down 1 game.  Notice a trend?  

nymumich
NBA Betting > LeBron James is a choke chicken > View Post
Well, when you sign w/ a team that already includes Wade (a superstar) and know that they'll sign Bosh (a wanna-be superstar), you should fully expect that the rest of the team is deficient in most areas.  Not enough money to go around. This is karma at its finest.  He makes a dog and pony of show of the process, proves that needs the security blanket of another superstar, and people still make excuses for him.  It's great.  

nymumich
NBA Betting > Which Road team wins game 6 away from HOME > View Post
QUOTE Originally Posted by SirJohnDrake:

I can see both the spurs and heat winning their next game OTR.


The spurs just recently won 20 straight and so I can't see them losing 4 straight to any team, even to the young guns of Oklahoma.



Sorry, but your logic is awful.  You can't see them losing 4 in a row?  They just lost 3 in a row.  All things being equal, OKC is the better team right now -- by a good margin.  Your words resemble the gambler's fallacy issue where one sees black/red 3 times in a row and expects the opposite color to show simply because it's "due."  That logic fails when the outcome is a 50/50 proposition, let alone a scenario where OKC easily has a better than 50/50 shot just based on recent performances.

nymumich
NBA Betting > Players that are a cancer > View Post
Carmelo Anthony already won a championship.  Argument fail.

nymumich
NBA Betting > EFF YOU WESSTTTT > View Post
You had no business covering that line

nymumich
College Football > Ohio State/Michigan Line 11/26 > View Post
Michigan -7.5  It won't be any less, bank on it.

nymumich
MLB Betting > Giants Tonight, Tomorrow, and Perhaps consistently till Sunday > View Post
How can one be confident in the Giants?  Honestly.  They're playing AWFUL baseball right now.  This isn't a slight against you.  I'm honestly just curious as to how someone can back a team w/ this anemic offense and general failure at winning games over the last month.  

nymumich
NBA Betting > game 6.... > View Post
Whoops

nymumich
NBA Betting > "Those people have to wake up and have the same lives" > View Post
Well, contrary to Lebron's intimations, I will not be on Suicide Watch tomorrow (as he is likely to be).  His mental makeup is a house of cards.

nymumich
NBA Betting > Mavs are +6 > View Post
Yep, ended up being an even better line than I thought.  Heat backers, what were you guys thinking?

nymumich
NBA Betting > The Heat are the better team, but.... > View Post
Miami isn't better.  Can people stop with this drivel?  

nymumich
NBA Betting > Should Dallas be a bigger fav to win title? > View Post
QUOTE Originally Posted by dreams27:
jlt dallas is not the better team....lay off the crack.  Miami's only loss at home whole playoffs came on a historic comeback so I wouldnt hold my breath it will happen again.


It's comments like these that reaffirm my faith in the Mavs.  Honestly, people with your mindset are exactly what makes the books profitable.  The ol' "this team is so lucky, the other team keeps giving away the games" shit is so trite, even laughable.  You realize that sports are about results.  The Mavs have the best road record in the playoffs, have consistently come back in 4th quarters, and are up 3-2 in the series.  Please, indulge me.  How in fact are the Mavs in any sense of the word lucky or an inferior team?  This is what they do. 

On the flip side, the Heat have blown a late lead in all 3 of their losses.  Do you not notice this obvious trend?  The mental resolve of the Mavs is far superior, and in a matchup that is more or less equal when it comes to talent and depth, what do you think will prevail?  You, like all Heat backers, will continue chasing.  And you will fail miserably. 

nymumich
NBA Betting > isnt dallas supposed to be up 3-2? > View Post
lulz

nymumich
NBA Betting > Mavs are +6 > View Post
Games 1 and 2 in that series, FWIW

nymumich
NBA Betting > Mavs are +6 > View Post
yeesh.  This is almost as juicy as Boston +6.5 v. Orlando last year in the Eastern Conference Finals.  

nymumich
NBA Betting > Spoelstra > View Post
Knock off the smug bullshit.  It's getting old.  

nymumich
NBA Betting > No matter what Lebron does, he just can't win... > View Post
Get real.  He thinks of himself as a legend.  Not a great player, not the best player: but a something bigger than the game.  He absolutely deserves the flak when he performs like that.  Not sure what the issue is.  The guy is soft as Charmin. 

nymumich
NBA Betting > *** FINALS GAME 4 *** > View Post

Not sure we watched the same game.  The open 3's for Dallas were aplenty, especially Game 3.  The only one hitting them now is Dirk (as usual) and Kidd, at a decent clip.  Barea's looks were open last night, he is simply not hitting them. 


Simply not buying that the Mavs have played anything close to a "good" game.   Certainly not when the unforced errors are occurring far too often.  Hell, even Dirk threw the ball out of bounds with under a minute to go. 


nymumich
NBA Betting > *** FINALS GAME 4 *** > View Post

So one should ignore the "foul" on Haslem where he fell down?  Or the "push" on Wade when he went up for the board?  Or the backcourt violation on the Chalmers 3?  There were atrocious calls both ways, agreed, but to say that the Mavs got some extreme benefit is laughable.  FT discrepancies don't tell the whole story.


And honestly, the Mavs played their best game?  2 games marked by horrendous, unforced errors.  Not taking anything away from the Heat's D, but a lot of this is just carelessness by the Mavs for stretches, as evidenced by their ability to essentially turn it on whenever they're forced to.   


The Heat might very well be the smart bet, I can't buy that the Mavs have played their best ball for an entire game. 


nymumich
NBA Betting > Game 4 Referees > View Post
QUOTE Originally Posted by 2Team_Parlay:


game 1 vs OKC when dirk went to the line 24 times... and they caled a foul on just about every offensive possession for the mavs



The same game where Durant had 19 FTA's and the Thunder shot 43 FT's compared to 36 for the Mavs?  Just wanted to make sure.

And no, I'm not claiming the refs were in OKC's favor that game, I'd just like to clarify that you're not insinuating that the Mavs got the benefit in any way. 

nymumich
NBA Betting > Futures bet - Mavs to win the Championship > View Post
So you're basing that on the first 2 games of OKC?  Wow, you must've just woken up a few days ago.  

Held Portland to 81, 89, 97, 84, 82, 96.

Held the Lakers to 94, 81, 92, 86.

And they just held OKC to 87.

So, where you going with this one?

nymumich
NBA Betting > Collison > View Post
Lol.  Put Collison on Dirk again and see how he does.  He doesn't have Dirk's number.  No one does.  

nymumich
NBA Betting > Thunder shoot 55 percent and game goes over by 6 pts > View Post
Every time Mavs came back, OKC pulled a circus shot out of its ass.  Not necessarily open looks, just a lot of those 3's long jumpers with hands in the face (Harden especially) and shots at the end of the shot clock (how about that Perkins 18 footer?). 

FWIW, OKC shot over 50% once this playoffs (52.9 v. Memphis), just not 56% like tonight.  It was surely an anomaly, and it won't be happening again.

nymumich
NBA Betting > OKC wouldn't go away.... The team is for real... > View Post
Yep, always a good idea to fade a team that is 11-0 ATS.  

nymumich
NBA Betting > they WILL feel the HEAT..... > View Post
Nothing like an objective analysis from a guy with a Wade avatar. 

nymumich
NBA Betting > Let's talk Dallas/OKC > View Post
I would be utterly shocked if the Mavs lost this series.  In a little bit of a twist, though, I can see Mavs losing game 1 (due to the crazy layoff) then coming out gangbusters for the remainder of the series.

I like the Mavs size and experience better, and I really don't think Dirk will be denied this year.  Dude is possessed, and his supporting cast is doing a great job complementing him. 

nymumich
NBA Betting > Who else got Dallas at 15 to 1 to win it all? > View Post
Got 20-1 back in February.  
Forums
Desktop View: Switch to Mobile View