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Quote Originally Posted by Lippsman:
Look for the review rules to be changed next season.Not sure why the linesmen were booted though The protection of the blues is a scandal.These Playoffs received 59 PP in favor and they were punished with 47 PP. The game 7 WITH 2 OT's played were not punished with any PP. |
Lippsman | 6 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Lippsman:
Since you don't want to post your real W% numbers, I will post them for you. Your model picks on Covers0-3 -4.300-2 -2.08Now turn that around and be in the positive money Monday morning !!! Don't be hard on him, don't charge him for the juice.
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VideoGamerAlby | 20 |
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Quote Originally Posted by PusterBosey:
60 something minutes of hockey and the Blues didnt committ a single infraction....I mean if you believe in the conspiracies it adds up. Ton of action on the underdog Leafs and the fragile St. Louis market (checkout their attendance) gets boosted, both Vegas & Gary stood to benefit from that one. Dude, I share the end of your opinion. On the subject of conspiracy for me this would not be a conspiracy but rather a business this case the league and its products the teams but the good weather will put things in place. Last year I had the same feeling in Las Vegas I think I got a little favored refereeing I can't talk 100% either because I didn't see their 82 games, but with that angle I made money in the final and also some games with a high juice in vegas this year. I think the blues will be something similar I'm just waiting for the playoffs and see a nice juice in the blues to make money against them. |
laitay77 | 8 |
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Quote Originally Posted by vgk702:
your grammar is sure being pushed to something If my grammar is very bad, I need a translator. I understand English, but it's hard for me to write it, and I suppose you understood some of what I said. If so, I suppose if you could give your opinion, instead of criticizing my grammar, that's the easy part. With all due respect to you, but I think you're a Blues fan and you know I'm right. |
laitay77 | 8 |
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Quote Originally Posted by NYG991: If I think it was a pack
I totally agree. Blues had no business winning that game last night. Something fishy was up 1 Pushing blues to playoffs 2 Kelly Sutherland home teams 6-16 , needed a little makeup |
laitay77 | 8 |
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Well we know that the league is interested in pushing the blues to the playoffs, they were not penalized yesterday any time and in the last games you only need to see the power play statistics to see that this team is being clearly favored. Well in the playoffs we will see how great garbage is this team of blues. If you saw the game yesterday you can tell me that the blues could win but at no time tell me they didn't deserve any penalty.If you want to think that I am a fan of leafs you are wrong, if you think that I am on a bad streak you are wrong, if you think that I made a hot bet you are wrong yesterday toronto was on 2 "systems" of dog one of her is this month 8-1 just say what I think and I really believe that this team is being favored. Please don't tell me the blues shot more at goal would be ridiculous. |
laitay77 | 8 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Lippsman: I don't know, but betting on more than 6.5 is not the way 69% but he also said you only need to look at one statistic, I see several. It smells more and more like smoke.
Quote Originally Posted by clever4ever: Quite right Clever. I would really like to see this 87% Win percentageDo your best and ignore the negative |
VideoGamerAlby | 41 |
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The problem of ice hockey is to really know if the team that bet is well prepared for that night and we are not talking about injuries, influences much more calendar and planning of technical equipment (the book has this information) that the physical state everything else he said are mental straws and by not publishing is showing to be just a sell smoke . It's more if you really have a system that hits that rhythm I do not think you will share it and less if you have the books in between because you would also have to do the mental straw if I publish this market will be influenced by my selections and then there will be mismatches in the odds . Also you have to add 5-10 % of puck luck.
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VideoGamerAlby | 41 |
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What are the longest streaks ? WSH win 13 / BOS?
There are some more of this type I'm interested in stripes more than 5 thanks |
Balage87 | 286 |
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Quote Originally Posted by KeyElement:
Quote Originally Posted by Slowbalt: Yes, that is some bad luck, and unusual that they seem to get together in groups; but odds and probability have to be figured on what will happen in 100 or 1,000 or 10,000 similar matchups. You can't take a small sample size from a given week and make a "never" rule. Favs over -200 actually will win, in the long run. The biggest problem is with the guys that feel they have to "add the juice" on favorites. So, the guy that normally likes to play a hundred says to himself "Geez, I have to lay $250.00 on that -250 favorite." Then when he loses he has done severe damage to his bankroll, not by playing a big favorite, but by taking an unusually large risk. That risk is out of his realm, and damages his view of big favorites. The whole problem arises from bettors feeling they want to play for a target profit, $100, and failing to control the only thing they can control, which is risk, not profit. If a "target profit" method were actually used by the same guy he would only wager $80 on a +125 dog, to make his "target profit" of $100. In either case letting the "target profit" be the control factor, as opposed to risk, is foolish. Profit can not be controlled, only risk can be controlled. Quote Originally Posted by zebrakiller: That is some bad luck!HERES why you should stay away from huge favs in basesNationals biiggest losses ever L -290 shout the fiug out 2-0 Max Scherzer L -190 strasburg 9-5 lossCARDS -200 Carlos Martinez 6/5 vs Miami 7-4 lossnext day Jack Flaherty -202 11 -3 loss Vs Miami NYY today Luis Severino -265 shutout 2-0 Redsox -312 chris sale 1-0 loss -220 today vs same team LOSER 5-2 CUBS today -185 LOSER 7-1 at home 6/5 - 203 LOSER 6-1 @ home Totally in agreement with you , as you say controlling risk is the way to go. For a totally healthy and orderly bankroll, it's smarter to take the risk of 80 to win 100 if it's true as you say that the favorites in a big show will win more. A bad streak with a favorite system, the juice will arrest you to the mud, on the other hand you have the option to sit on a dog trend in the 120-150 range. You have two options to deal with this trend, betting you on flat bets, in the worst cases a 10 betting streak would leave you in -8 Units, but believe me if you have a tendency with a bit of study it's hard to lose 10 in a row, apart from you being in that range, you'll find many matches where there's a lot of money from the general public elsewhere, since there's no extra juice either and people are confident in getting their favorite winner. Those favorites tend to get complicated or that you could see my eyes become difficult to pay for, I'm not saying that the bookmaker is batting for the dog, but there's not as much difference in many cases as the odds indicate. The other way to treat the trend would be simple and the one that seems to be more logical, just wait until your trend is hitting below 45% the numbers are usually balanced if you were ordered and have a record of several seasons. Now if you think about it the other way around, the only way I see how to deal with the trend of big favorites is to go pay a lot of juice, and that juice is going to splash you someday or so I think. |
AFNfootballnerd | 30 |
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Does anyone know the referee for today? |
laitay77 | 5 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Wally1317:
@laitay77 no problem man! yes i do use the same ~20 statistics. I have created an extremely interactive google sheet that allows me to enter all data very easily. It's time consuming but at the end of the day it's worth it. The system doesn't cut corners. All data plays a specific role. I understand what you're saying that you'd rather have 2-12 statistics in use (I would too) but I have found success with the ~20 so why would I change, ya know? We all have to put the hard work in if we want to find success! If you're able to create a successful dog system with less definitely let me know! You didn't understand my question, but you already answered it.... It was my fault because I have problems speaking English... |
Wally1317 | 128 |
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Quote Originally Posted by sports_Network:
Quote Originally Posted by sports_Network: added: CHW +133 ML 2uoilcountry99Today's MLB Shutout system plays 05/15/18958 StL +110 ML (MIN) 2u....game 1979 ARI +135 RL (MIL) 13u...game 3975 CHW +133 ML (PIT) 2u....game 1MLB Shutout system 2018 19-0 Hello I could create an online sheet to follow the system, I think this system is a good guide to make some bets during the season, it would be good to have the g1 g2 Games and more records. If you want I can help you with the sheet update! |
Allison_Road | 679 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Olop:
AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA who believes in that sh1t anyways AMIRIGHT? CAPS ARE WINNING THE NEXT 6GAMES STRAIGHT TO THE CUP. MARK MY WORDS. I think Winnipeg will win the cup. My opinion today is that for WSH to win the cup, the final would have to be VEG-WSH. Winnipeg is a really great team, and if I needed help I think I would get it because the Canadian teams haven't won a cup in a long time. aa I speak from impartiality as I am more a follower of WSH than of WPG but I think that will happen.Time will speak. |
Lippsman | 22 |
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First of all thank you for sharing... I don't mean to be rude, but I have a few questions about your system. |
Wally1317 | 128 |
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Thanks buddy, you make my day and who knows if the season. |
laitay77 | 2 |
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Hello someone knows where you can get the lists of the umpire designated for the day.
I've been making some money with this angle for some time now, the truth is that I can study it with more time because often I can't know the referees or 10 minutes before the game and that doesn't give me enough time. The truth is, if anyone can provide me with the information, I'd really appreciate it. I'm a little angry, I don't understand why in 2018 I don't have a link on the MLB website where I can consult the information, this is very suspicious... If you are going to tell me the stat fox website or the covers umpires section I already know and use it and I thank the person who created it, but please someone knows a website where you can know the umpires about 3 hours before the game? I don't think it'll be so difficult in 2018 if it's not there. I think I'll start to get even more suspicious. |
laitay77 | 2 |
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Someone would be so kind as to fill out this list... The list is just to get an idea of the basics, I can deduce that depending on the pitcher or the weather it can vary a lot. Thank you for your time. Field Team List O / U
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laitay77 | 1 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Lippsman:
It's a wash, they know the goaltenders moves and he knows thiers Then in general it wouldn't have an impact on the game. |
laitay77 | 4 |
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A question Thanks. |
laitay77 | 4 |
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