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Looks like it will be a pretty highly regarded field this week at PGA National. Who do people like?
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flyerlax06 | 6 |
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UConn -5.5
Detroit +7.5 Northern Illinois -5 VCU -20.5 Hofstra -6 Virginia -21.5 0-0 WTD 0-0 YTD
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flyerlax06 | 2 |
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Seeing 4 plays for today:
Arkansas Little Rock UTEP Southern Utah Detroit
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beaverfan23 | 34 |
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Tenn Tech is the only play I see. The URI line must have changed on Kenpom. Providence's leading scorer is a gametime decision so I wouldn't want to touch that one.
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beaverfan23 | 34 |
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10 potential plays today (haven't checked public %)
Memphis Temple Florida St Marshall Morehead St La Salle Detroit UC Davis Northern Illinois UMKC
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beaverfan23 | 34 |
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Same public %'s as this morning seem to be holding. I would say plays tonight are:
S Alabama Elon
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beaverfan23 | 39 |
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Seeing 4 potential plays today:
Georgetown (over public %) S Alabama Boston College (over public %) Elon
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beaverfan23 | 39 |
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No plays today. Really small card. Nice weekend though.
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beaverfan23 | 39 |
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Here are the plays I see for today (note I haven't checked public % so nothing is official):
UCLA Virginia Tech Illinois St Elon South Alabama Western Carolina Miami OH SMU Toledo Detroit UC Riverside Wake Forest Loyola Chicago |
beaverfan23 | 39 |
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Of the early games I see Illinois St. Will check on the later games now and post what I see.
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beaverfan23 | 39 |
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Seeing 5 potential plays for today with 3 of the 5 being plays only under the new old parameters of 0-4 with a 2 pt diff*.
LSU Manhattan Florida International* UMKC* Pepperdine*
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beaverfan23 | 39 |
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NC State looks like a play to me. At 42% right now.
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beaverfan23 | 39 |
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Quote Originally Posted by jtoler: Can you see why 50% or less now? Save your time. You cant rule out the human element. Teams are going to overperform or underperform in relation to the number, its up to us to figure this out, Kenpom cant do it for you. Jtoler that's why we incorporate Vegas. Vegas is the "human element" as you put it. Kenpom's numbers not being enough are the basis of the entire system! Pay attention and shut it because this system will finish over 50% this year.
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beaverfan23 | 39 |
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Early look at tomorrow and I see 2 plays. Hopefully we get back on the horse this week. I really think that the neutral court games and tournament games plus the lack of numbers to fuel Kenpom this early in the season contributed to that poor week. I'm keeping the faith in the system. Stay positive everyone.
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beaverfan23 | 39 |
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Not a good week. Small card tomorrow. Probably no plays. Might be a good day to take a closer look at how we're doing with the system.
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beaverfan23 | 83 |
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Also seeing Wisc Milwaukee now that the line against Rider is out.
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beaverfan23 | 83 |
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Here's what I'm seeing for today:
Ohio (HFT) Wisc Green Bay (HFA) - currently over 60% Arkansas (NDA) Loyola Chicago (RFA) UC Riverside (NDT) S Illinois (RDT) Maryland (HFT) - currently over 60% Longwood (NDT) |
beaverfan23 | 83 |
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Early look at tomorrow's card and I see 6 potential plays. Will re-check tomorrow after Kenpom updates. Also still a few lines that haven't opened yet for tomorrow's games. Could be an active Saturday for us to get back on the horse.
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beaverfan23 | 83 |
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I see Creighton at 58% now . Utah and Drake are both over 60% and are no plays. Those are the only 3 system plays I see so right now I guess it depends on if you want to go with Creighton since it dropped below 60%. Also, it's a neutral court game and so you could go by the 50% for Road teams and not play it.
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beaverfan23 | 83 |
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I had forgotten about the new 50% dog thing. Also, I misinterpreted the 60% thing. I thought if the public was 60% or higher on either side of the game it was a no play. This was good clarification going forward. Now I'll build in new filters on my spreadsheet.
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beaverfan23 | 83 |
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