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I absolutely love these type games/ plays. Obviously there is a ton of "cat and mouse" being played by sharps, Vegas and the average Joe and speculating prior to these situations is just as entertaining as the game a lot of times. As far as playing on decent teams their first game following a QB injury or coaching change has also proven to be lucrative although I do not have the stats to support this on hand. In this game however, the value that we might otherwise receive from the lines makers is not present IN MY OPINION. I was expecting a home line in the neighborhood of +6.5 or so. If I had tons of money and a book reliable enough to do this, I would use this game as a perfect spot to attempt a middle. AGAIN, IN MY OPINION, both of these BITTER division rivals motivation is the same as it would of been if both clubs we're 100% healthy. Baltimore should not overlook or underestimate the Steelers, the Steelers BETTER play at their peak if they want to have a chance. Best bet, and the bet I would of taken if I could have, would of been to take the Ravens @ -1 Monday, and then played Pitt +3.5 equally when it crossed the 3 and had an excellent shot at a middle. Worst case scenario, a juicy hedge if I was dead wrong (a distinct possibility whether Ben was hurt or not). Best case scenario, the game is decided by a FG which has happened 6 of the last 10 times these two have faced off (a distinct possibility whether Ben was hurt or not haha). Just my two cents. Since I can't give that a shot, I will be pulling for these two teams to give us a hard fought conclusion to a strange, but entertaining Sunday. BoL friends.
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LeagueCapper | 122 |
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Quote Originally Posted by roondog248: I got the key to the system ! When the wind is blowing @ an even # mph, and there are 11 divorced redheads near the 40 yard line on a game that is televised during prime time, go heavy on the underdog, only if its between +3 and +6 I like it haha
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IgetMoney101 | 662 |
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Quote Originally Posted by roondog248: this is what you will learn I got a "Complicated System", its called don't trust anyone that tells you there's no proof to back up their 18-0 or 22-1 record Unfortunately, I believe you have hit the nail on the head... or head on the wall... either way... Was really hoping that there was a legitimate trend however :(
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IgetMoney101 | 662 |
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There were a few members here that received the parameters and said that it was "complicated". I would like to back check the past results based on it and see if we can learn something possibly.
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IgetMoney101 | 662 |
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Was Pitt the play though?
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IgetMoney101 | 662 |
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Even though there was a lot of hype regarding this system, on the off chance that it had a logical basis I found it very entertaining. Was Pitt -13 really the play? And if it was, now that we all know that Vegas can take a sigh of relief now that they have cracked the code that would have put them out of business, did anyone actually take the time to try and figure it out independently? I did, and came up empty handed, but still want to know if there was a trend behind it because this info can sometimes help us out as cappers in the future. Since he is gone, and it is no longer "undefeated", will one of the lucky members here that was able to receive it via PM share what the rationale was?
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IgetMoney101 | 662 |
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