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By the way I went Under 5 F5 +110 on Bet365. Let's see how it goes
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KeyElement | 47 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Crashdavis565: I have spent 5 years trying to figure out the Canaveral as it is in my backyard. I will tell you, so far, I have not been very successful at all. The wind today is blowing in from right, this has been associated with some of the lowest scores at Coors through the years. The weather is cool and damp the ADI is 52 and that is really screaming high for Denver. Also, a lean to the under. Tyler Chatwood is an enigma. He is great on the road but erratic and really quite poor at Coors. Cueto simply owns the Rox. In that these two just squared off 5 days ago at Pac Bell and Tyler shut the Giants out in a complete game start, I would lean heavily to the Giants here in a revenge spot and play the Rox TT under instead of the full game over/under as I do not trust Tyler in this spot. I do trust Cueto though as he has a very good track record in Coors over the last couple of years. Just my two cents- GL with whatever you play and Key, sorry to overrun your thread. Great insight man! Thank you very much!
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KeyElement | 47 |
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Happy Friday Key!
Would like to know your thoughts on SFvsCol under F5. I know it's Coors but numbers are pointing that way and Cueto and Chatwood are pretty capable. Thanks as always and BOL!
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KeyElement | 47 |
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And by the way, that Giants Royals yesterday was indeed the under of the year hahahaha
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KeyElement | 32 |
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Morning Key!
Looking at the same game. Two questions How do you feel about the RL? and what do you think about F5 under in Boston Haya and Minny F5? Thank you so mucho as always. BOL! |
KeyElement | 32 |
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That's a great line you got Key. I got 4,5 @ -130, still playing it. Will look for alternative totals and see if I can get +money. I'm willing to go to 3,5 even 3.
BOL!
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KeyElement | 61 |
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Top of the morning Key!
I was thinking the same about the dogs today. Even Texas is PK right now in my book. Wanted to ask your opinion about one play and one game. The play is Giants Royals FG Under and the game is Washington vs Atlanta. There's no line yet, do you think Teheran will be a dog in this one? Thanks as always and BOL!
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KeyElement | 61 |
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Quote Originally Posted by KeyElement: Both are playable in my program and undermysac is also a fan of the ChiSox today. BOL Thank you so much!!!!
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KeyElement | 48 |
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Thanks for the info Key. Great run by the way. Would like to know your opinion on two plays: 1. White Sox F5 and 2. Over Padres - Braves FG.
Thanks and BOL!
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KeyElement | 48 |
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Clippers vs. Mavs Over 204
The perception over the last couple of seasons is that Dallas is always a good under bet no matter what. Today the line has moved that way but I think this game goes over. The Clippers come in with a good offense in the last couple of weeks. These are the points scored in the last 8: 133-114-108-114-96-108-112-114. Pretty good. On the flipside, the Mavs have not been there defensively allowing 112-104-116-107-100-100 over their last 6. the deciding factor is their offense which I think after being manhandled by the Warriors will be up for tonight against an average LAC defense. Suns vs. Nets Under 223 Phoenix has 6 straight unders with totals averaging well below 223. I'm riding this streak and also taking advantage of line movement. Brooklyn is a mixed bag related to O/U 5-4-1 L10. Going uuunnddaaaa here . Also leaning: Heat -4.5 vs. Toronto: Not going against Miami at this moment. Line seems about right, but I'll ride one of the best ATS teams in the last couple of months. Spurs -8.5 vs. Memphis: San Antonio covered the last two games and is kicking off a mini homestand. From what I saw in those two games, the intensity is back and I like them to go on a run until the end of regular season. However, 8.5 are a lot of points and the defense Memphis is playing worries me a little bit. By the way, under seems like a good play here, specially on the first half given how Spurs starts games. On the fence on this one right now. BOL tonight! |
efectivo | 1 |
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Quote Originally Posted by justliketoplay: Careful with a play on Sacramento's under efectivo as the last eight meetings between these two clubs have ALL gone OVER the total. Good luck to you Thanks for the heads up Just! That's my secondary play there. Any thoughts on the spread?
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efectivo | 3 |
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Pacers vs. Celtics Under 208.5
Both team trending under, 3-7 for Indiana and 3-7-1 for Boston O-U in the last ten. Not much else here, two decent defensive teams, one of them on a back to back, like the under. Also leaning: Kings +5: Milwakee is on the second back to back in six days and is playing it's sixth consecutive road game. It's been a tough tour facing Memphis, Clippers, Warriors and a hot Portland team. This is the last game of the road trip, and I can see some letting down here. May wind up playing it closer to tip off if the line goes up a little bit more. Also like the under here. Wizards -7: Both teams come in on a really bad ATS stretch. The difference for me here is the bounce back spot for Washington at home and the soft defense of the Hawks lately. Points allowed in the last 4 games: 107-103-113-105. Washington can really score. Like the home team. Cavs vs. Denver Over 227.5: Cleveland's defense been MIA in the last week and a half. Just last night the Lakers hang 120 on them. Denver can put the ball in the basket: 125-109-129-129-105-119 points scored in the last 6. I'd also take the points here with the home team, but my favourite play is the over. BOL on your plays tonight! |
efectivo | 3 |
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Leaning Denver, but definitely over in that game. Thanks for the picks. BOL DK!
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Digitalkarma | 15 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Gamebreaker23: Think you are going to be right about Golden State and Dallas but I have to take a shot at it because I don't think GS defense is at its best right now, Dallas has been kind of hot, and Golden State will definitely score against Dallas. Small play but I like the over. I can see that. I like how they handled OKC yesterday limiting them to 95 though. But above that, it's the numbers. I've cashed several GS under this season and like I said, it's a trend to profit in the long run. I mean, already is a winning wager for the season. Thanks for the comment and BOL tonight! |
efectivo | 3 |
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Warriors Vs. Mavs Under 208.5
I'm not overthinking this Golden state unders anymore. They have 7 in a row now and 8 of the last 10. What's more interesting is that they are 70.3% (highest % in the league) to the under as a road team (11-26 O-U). I cashed with the under yesterday and the other day in the game against Milwakee. This is the type of trend you can profit from in the long run. Spurs vs. Wolves Over 205.5 Minnesota lost their defense all of the sudden. After piling up unders and wins, they have now 4 overs in a row and these are the points allowed in the last 5 games: 102-104-117-123-123. San Antonio comes in with 4 straight overs also and a mixed bag of 100+ points produced on offense or allowed on defense. I believe the trend continues with the Wolves in this one. Also leaning: Memphis vs. Pels under. I think the line is moving in the wrong direction. Yes, the Pels have now 3 straight overs and Memphis has been trending over in the last 2 weeks. But they're starting to ramp up the defense. Look at the points allowed in the last 4 games, all wins for the Grizz: 93-91-91-96. New Orleans is also capable of good defense. They just went out of a long under streak and actually they're still 6-4 to the under in the last 10. Bucks +5 vs. Portland: They're rested now after that back to back vs. LAL and GS. Portland is playing out of their minds right now win 3 wins and covers in a row, with a really good victory in Miami. Both teams are 8-2 ATS in the last 10, but I think the Bucks will regain momentum and defense and will compete very hard tonight against an inspired Portland team. All comments are welcome and BOL tonight on your plays! |
efectivo | 3 |
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Horrible day yesterday. On to today.
Wizards vs. Hornets Over 214 Washington is on a torrid over streak. 9 overs in a row. This is one part part betting the streak and one part betting the horrendous defense they're playing. In the last 9 games the least points they've permitted are 107. Bucks vs. Warriors Under 216 Both teams trending heavily under. Dubs have 5 in a row and 9 of the last 10. Milwaukee is 2-8 O-U in the last 10 and I think they didn't bring their usual defensive intensity yesterday. Maybe they were looking ahead a to tonight a little bit. As a footnote, Golden State is over 60% to the under this season. Right, WTF???? Also leaning Memphis. That line seems a little bit too short. BOL tonight!
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efectivo | 1 |
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Nice DK!
BOL!
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Digitalkarma | 5 |
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Houston vs. New Orleans Under 229.5
For the tempo, offensive emphasis and amount of points Houston puts up, they're 16-17 O-U as a road team and in the last 10 they're 4-5-1 in the same category. The Pels have been trending under for a bit now. In the last 10 they're 3-7 O-U and are playing some decent defense here being 5 in opponent effective FG% and opponent shooting % to mention just a couple of defensive categories where they're top 10 in the league. I don't see Houston putting up their regular 90-95 shots tonight. Bucks -7 vs. Lakers Just fading the Lakers. Plus the Bucks are winning right now (8-2 ATS L10). They just beat the Clippers, the other night, no travel and playing some good defence right now which it's the key to cover this spread (besides the Lakers reaaaalllyyyy sucking). In the last seven games the Bucks have only allowed 100+ one time. I also like their athleticism and versatility with Giannis playing all over the court (the other day running the point and guarding Blake Griffin), and Middleton and Snell contributing from the outside. |
efectivo | 2 |
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Also leaning under Wolves-Heta but not paying it. BOL tonight!
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efectivo | 2 |
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Hey there Key!
ST is here, what a great thing hahaha. Looking forward to read your insights this season and also to have some conversations on our favourite past time: making some money!!!! As always, BOL!
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KeyElement | 13 |
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