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JDaggz in one sense I agree w u, im a boston guy and die hard hockey fan, in matchups like this where ML is 265 I always lay off & instead typically look long n hard at puck line & risk less $$ & hope for a 2 goal dominating win, problem w my bruins currently is they are missing 6 guys off the starting 20 line up, yes its revenge but this isn't the veteran heavy deep 4 line team right now & the D is missing 2 top six D so the chemistry through out is non existant, from the break out in D zone to the penalty kill to the power play, its all a little off, krejci lucic iggy have carried this team, along w chara & boychuk & sidenburg but these guys can only be on the ice so much, I wouldn't risk taking the ML on this game because the risk is too high, the under makes me nervous because our young guys don't communicate like the starting vets & are less responsible defensively giving up tons of uncharacteristic odd man rushes, the only angle for me on this is the puck line, which my book has not released yet, if I take anything its that for small $$ small risk high reward....... bruins puck line (small) I really like pitt & puck line, Calgary ending a lengthy road trip visiting pitt who is getting contributions from the less known guys picking up slack for that *ussy liar neil & malkin pitt puck line large BOL fellas |
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I meant UTAH +1.5
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BMILEHIGH is right, its about physicality strength of opposition, the one D CO played all year they were shut out, wasu had toughest schedule in college this yr (usa today) at start of year, the D really came on last 3rd of season, first bowl game in 10 yrs, leach is nuts and will have guys ready, pac 10 is far superior to MCW, wasu will crush by 13-14 or more in my opinion, this is a matchup where ya don't put much weight in many season stats, the stats do make them look similar but that's not the case at all WASU BIG BOL |
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not frauds just over valued by general pop so especially last 3rd of the season it was costing a premium (line wise) to take either team, I took BG last game because they have a great mac level D especially vs the run & NIU has a weak D. when u make NIU's offense one dimensional by taking away the run they look like they did vs BG, lynchs running opens up the passing, Utah is obviously a step above BG on D especially the front 7, I had Utah teased vs fresno because of the D & D only, I respect lynch and NIU and they won me plenty of money in the past & before the exposure & average joe action steadily pushed the books to charge a premium, Utah held fresno in check & that offense is much more difficult to defend being run by a guy as gifted as carr & athletically fresno posed many more tough matchups with 3 stud WRs & just enough running to keep them honest, this NIU match up plays right to utahs strengths on D, lynch wont be able to run against them, the question to me is can Utah score....yes they will be able to win the battle on the line of scrimmage leaning on the undersized NIU D line opening up the occasional play action & a big play here & there, biggest point is NIU doesn't have the horses to stop what utahs offense really wants to do which is run the ball, Utah does and has shown consistently especially 2nd half of year and down the stretch they have the ability to dictate what NIU does on offense not allowing lynch to beat them on the ground, they will put NIU in 3rd n long situations constantly which they are not designed for UTAH BOL guys |
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hey clubtnt I don't subscribe to the theory that weather causes less scoring, being a boston guy watching the pats forever when the bad weather comes the discussion is always can brady be effective throwing will we lean on the run more etc...but what ends up happening and whats been explained to us through the years by football writers around the team is its harder to defend the pass than it is to defend the run in bad weather & through the years brady never has less passing attempts due to weather but often more than average. no I know we are talking about 2 teams here that throw 150 times a season so the game plan is always to run. so as a comparison the pats aren't a great example. but the bigger point is people get too caught up in "bad weather means less points" not the case at all, personally I love seeing the total dropping because I've liked the over all along, the biggest differences between these teams is navy has a decent defense & army does not, navy has a better QB running & throwing, I'm liking the over here & if the line gets to -10 I will be taking navy good luck fellas over 51.5 |
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first of all no game is unbettable, every match up has a correct side, I respect lord & his opinions but I will not lay off this game. someone said these teams are so similar its tough to make a decision, physically & athletically yes they are similar. but the offenses are dramatically different & besides auburn last week the defenses are dramatically different also, I love mizzou here guys, some reasons are the same as why I ended up taking BG instead of the over, better D by far & a much better offensive scheme utilizing all facets of the offensive weapons ie (balance) tempo & if franklin struggles coach sticks mauk in for a series...I'm more of a situational guy as opposed to stats...all the hype is around auburn & besides last week mizzou has little national hype, no respect being given to them. that's #1 and #2 is auburn had a horseshoe up their behind vs Georgia then played an amazing game against the obvious in state giant bama in which every kid on the team had their best game ever, they deserved to beat bama & sabans huge ego, they have been partying for days and days like they should & then must re focus & convince themselves this game is actually bigger than the bama game...guys we see these let downs in the NFL with the patriots, seattle, and other top teams after a huge win with so much on the line the following week never looks like the previous weeks performance, the let down is even worse for college kids, the public is on auburn and the sharps are on mizzou that's why line went from -2 to PK on my local book. look at NIU, people were posting why is line only -4 why did it move to -3.5 or -3 if almost every post is people taking NIU saying this is easy $$. its because the real $...the sharp $ was on BG...vegas releases lines based on public perception then adjust it based on sharp $ throughout week. then public jumps on the seemingly obvious side while listening to the hype surrounding a player like lynch....we have to be discipline & erase bama game from our memory or it will cloud our evaluation on this game...BOL fellas Mizzou |
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the public gets all moist when they see flashy offensive teams...just like NIU...no one gave BG a chance and they crushed lynch and all the hype...Utah will win this game, they have the physical edge on both sides of the line of scrimmage, very solid D, very active D line, this is he only legit D fresno has played all year, just like NIU faced the best D they've seen all year. all the hype is on Carr & the 25+ NFL scouts that will attend this game, no one is talking about Utah just like no one talked about BG playing NIU. could carr & his solid WRs make some plays and win? yes of course, could their D step up and stop the run of Utah yes of course this is gambling but I'm putn my $$ on Utah...BOL fellas UTAH |
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I love getting first hand weather from a fellow gambler...yes of course you can go to weather .com or whatever, look at a radar...check temp & wind but those big national weather sites blow & aren't accurate down to the exact degree or the winds exact mph & gusts blah blah...love when our people are on the ground licking their thumb & allowing the moisture to indicate wind direction like Rodney Dangerfield in back to school...but seriously love any local info anyone gives...so thanks peewee BOL
leaning -Over |
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hey guys I love the chatter, as we know public perception is lopsided here, most of the public will be on NIU and most of the public know nothing about BG so if anything wouldn't the opening line reflect that to inspire action towards BG? I hear people saying this line which is now -4 for me is out of whack in NIUs favor...this wouldn't make sense based on how vegas works, this is a common situation in a small conference champ game, rarely is the public familiar with both small programs. I think this line is about right because BG can score & can stop the run, they are missing their leading tackler & stud linebacker. I love lynch but he can be held in check like he was vs akron. I feel pretty good about the modest over here, this will be a close game, don't feed into the NIU hype their D is marginal at best & lynch is awesome but really overrated especially this time of year, they have no impressive wins vs solid balanced opponents taking the over BOL fellas |
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if anything I will consider a first half bet on msu once my book releases the first half/line if its a decent number I will put a small on it, its senior day, superior athletically, physically, offensively, & obviously on D, problem is MSU will pull back & may sit some guys in 4th if they are up 3 scores like 17, which is why first half is only possible option here for me... I already locked into my 4 big side selections all going Saturday, OSU -14, bama -10 USC -3 & Stanford -14...BOL fellas
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im a boston guy so im not bias, been on huskies a few times and love their D love the balance on O...but is price playing? I know sarkesian waits til last minute to disclose injury status especially a game like this involving his stud senior QB. having said all that after cougs were a punching bag for much of this season the D has really improved and the offense has become consistant, as most of us know u can throw out teams records in an instate rivalry game like this, im not touching this game because 16.5 is too much especially considering price is questionable, the freshman played well last week but even though hes home the place will be going nuts, the intensity will be nuts, its gonna be a playoff atmosphere and may cause the freshman to piss down his leg, too risky for me... BOL fellas
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I live in Massachusetts, love my B's...don't miss a game..but im not a homer im a gambler & realist. B's have not found their game yet this year which for them means Defensive break downs allowing tons of odd man rushes which is out of character for them. we were so lucky to get past a faster more skilled leafs team last year, thanks to reimer & lack of leadership. I LOVE the LEAFS in this spot. the addition of Clarkson is huuuge the guy is awesome, not on the stat sheet but the leadership, class & playing the right way. the leafs have had this game circled since schedule was released. bruins lost at home vs Vancouver in first meeting the year after the cup. multiple fights, 4 puss canucks jumped thornton (typical) for that canucks team. the blood will spill tonight which the B's are always willing to take part in.... the leafs will win this game with out a doubt. they have to prove something to themselves & Clarkson wont let them lose focus. Bozak is significant but they still have twice the speed we do, & much more skill up front than the Bs. I expect 5 fights and a 4-2 win by leafs, but bruins win fights 3-2 BOL fellas
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in addition im one of those situational, physicality, coaching style, offensive style, line of scrimmage mis match type of bettors. yes these are both small programs w undersized athletes but fresno is a tier above WYO, WYO has a decent sized O-line but small skill position guys on Offense, fresno has bigger more athletic guys on defense, (edge fresno) fresno has decent size O-line more speed and size in skill positions than WYO undersized def which is not very athletic especially in the secondary, fresno has big physical WRs compared to the size of WYOs DBs...please give feedback guys...I know both teams and am looking for reasons why I shouldn't load up on fresno?
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WYO was one of* I meant to say
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WYO was one my money teams for first few weeks like L tech was for me last year especially early, or Houston was 2 years ago...small programs under the public radar, spread hurry up offenses with vet and or senior QBs. something happened to WYO a few games ago and they have completely fallen off, the offense cant get it going, they lost before bye week handing me my first loss involving them, so I was ready for the bounce back after bye at home vs Colorado....well they laid an egg and CO crushed & they have sucked since...I cant figure out why fresno is -9 only....im going max bet on this tomorrow after I finish research, WYO is terrible on D as we all know but the Offense is terrible now too, they wont even come close to keeping up and fresno will find little resistance and score at will
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I agree, I live in boston & im targeting this game due to the emotional win dallas had, b's shoulda won by 2 or 3 but we are playing bad defensive hockey and not capitalizing on our chances...knowing seguin and the young dallas team its been a party for 2 days, playing no defense & wide open style dallas shoud get killed by teams like boston and Detroit, since det is coming off a long road trip where they dropped the last game to an inferior team (jets) they were obviously spent but rested back in their own beds and there is no look ahead for Detroit because they don't play anyone good for a week +....took det puck line st Louis under and Bruins in small parlay and taking DET puck line straight up +185 on my book BOL guys.....FYI load up on Toronto in 2 days at boston. Bs playing bad hockey and Toronto owes us...big revenge spot and I think the addition of Clarkson is HUGE for leafs that's what they were missing last year..classy tough vet leadership that plays the right way and shows up in big spots
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I teased the ducks & troy, the ducks must win yes they have revenge & if they want national backing for title game consideration they must win by two scores but at -10 im just not sure, stanfords D line is nasty & they have a physical o-line so I think they will be able to move the ball on the ground, they cant keep pace through the air and ultimately that will cost them. I think ducks win by 7-8 but wont cover -10 in my opinion hence the tease with troy, BOL
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