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MSU will win by a TD or more. Public is leaning heavy Northwestern because they are the # 20 ranked team in the nation. They are also a one dimensional team with only a running game (ranked #14 in the nation in rushing). MSU has struggled against the run all year but if you give a team 1 month to prepare for a one dimensional team they will come out prepared to stop the run. Take away NWs run game and they are stuck with one of the worst passing games in the nation (Ranked #108). MSU however has the #49th passing game in the nation and 85th Rushing game in the nation. This MSU team is a better balanced team on offense with also a QB and WR tandem that is pretty damn good.
Another reason why MSU will win is look at other bowl games such as Air Force vs Rice. A lot of people came out leaning heavily on Air Force because they have one of the top rushing offenses in the nation and they are going up against a Rice Defense that has not faced the triple option and is ranked in the 100s in rush defense. Rice who had the better QB and balanced offense came out and spanked Air Force. They took away Air Forces run game and that left them to pass the ball. Also got to remember this is a perfect trap game for the public. The original line of -3 MSU is correct. Odd's makers knew public would lean heavily on Northwester because they are ranked #20 in the nation. If that was the case why did the line come out -3 MSU? Seems like a trap to me.
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CarterSECpicks | 111 |
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Quote Originally Posted by LeagueCapper: Your looking at it the entirely wrong way. If your an 8-4 team and have the division leader 11-1 Texans next week, your not looking at that game like it's a possible loss so you should try harder this weekend. You want to prove everyone your a contender and that you can beat them. Colts are looking forward to playing the Texans, not the Titans who they've already beat and are 4-8 I am leaning towards colts -4.5. I actually think they look at this game as a must win in order for them to secure their playoff birth. We are talking about a colts team that went 2-14 the year before and is now on the verge of locking up a playoff spot. The Colts are 1 game up on the steelers and bengals. Losing this game could put them in a tough spot. By winning this game, they secure their chances at a playoff berth as well as making the match up vs the Texans more meaningful as they then have a slight chance at winning the AFC South division title (they will still need the texans to lose to the vikings in week 16). From a statistical stand point, yes the colts have terrible defense but Titans offense is terrible as well. They scored 2 Tds their last 2 games. 1 Td vs the Texans(who had a banged up secondary. Texans also gave up 37 Pts to the Jags and 31 pts to the lions the prior 2 weeks) and score 1 TD vs the Jaguars. A game in which Jake Locker went 23/40 261 Yards 1 Td and 2 picks. This is verse a Jaguars team which ranks in the bottom 5 in pass defense. In divisional play the titans have been surrendering 26 ppgs while averaging 14 PPg. The colts have been surrendering 15ppg while averaging 21PPg. Keep in mind the titans have played 1 more divisional game and have played the texans twice already. I think the colts win this game by a TD or more. What ever side your on BOL.
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LeagueCapper | 87 |
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*Led
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floridagambler | 25 |
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Quote Originally Posted by EastOakland: darn those stupid behind trends, just a big coincidence. Well then throw that trend out the window and think about this, Would you really take 1-10 Chiefs team lead by Brady Quinn to beat a 3-8 Panthers team lead by Cam Newton? I mean the panthers record is a little deceiving. A Majority of their losses are close margins where as the chiefs get blown out every other game.
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floridagambler | 25 |
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I would take Carolina all day and I would bet big. Handicappers are trying to bait people in taking KC. Don't fall for the trap in thinking they almost beat Denver. Here is an interesting trend with the Chiefs. Look at all their games this year. They have lost by a huge margin after losing a close game or a win.
09/23/2012 vs @Saints. W 27-24 overtime. (3 Pt Win) Following game 09/30/2012 Vs San Diego. L 20-37(17 Pt Loss) 10/07/2012 vs. Baltimore. L 6-9 (3Pt Loss) Following game 10/14/2012 @ Tampa L10-38 (28 PT Loss) 10/28/2012 vs Raiders L16-26 ( 10 Pt Loss) Following game Vs @ SD L 13-31( 18 Pt Loss) 11/12/2012 @ Pit L 13-16 OT (3 PT Loss) Following game vs. Cincinnati L 6-28 (22 Pt Loss) 11/25/2012 Vs Denver L 9-17 (8 Pt Loss) I think the trend continues with a blow out loss vs Panthers.
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floridagambler | 25 |
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3-0 on the morning games. Good stuff Jimmy
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jimmydafreak | 186 |
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