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Just gave me my money back
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ApocalypseLater | 8 |
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I threw 30 dollars on the line at +9 we will see what they decide to do hahaha
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ApocalypseLater | 8 |
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I'm thinking another use would be during the season when a team starts "bad" and their odds are lowered! OK im not talking a St Louis of last year but atleast getting the value out of the teams!
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cheesemak | 2 |
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I am glad someone is as happy as me for baseball! to start!
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bettor2win | 32 |
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I'm a little anxiuos for the baseball season to get going. So i sit here in February with 6 inches of snow on the ground and sitting in my Brewers jersey. I created this file in the link below for an analysis of the futures odds for all of the MLB teams. I used the stats from all of the players since 2007 to forecast their stats in the upcoming year. I then used the Pythagorean expectation formula to figure out the winning percentage for each team. It is kind of interesting and could be another tool for anyone wanting to place some futures. Tell me what you guys think.
https://docs.google.com/leaf?id=0B8AMwO4a-0xcNWY4NGNkZTUtZGMwYS00ZWYzLWI3YzktYTE4ZTg5YzJjZWUz |
cheesemak | 2 |
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Hey i was wondering if anyone knew a good site that has stats for NCAAB and/or NHL that basically has the box score available in a season type of format. Right now i am having to go into each game and manually update my spread sheets which for NCAAB is basically impossible. Any help would be appreciated. Thanks.
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cheesemak | 2 |
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I have been developing a system for NHL and have kind of developed a system that is martinagle derived. What i understand from a martingale system is that when you lose you bet double as much the next time to cover your previous losses and to still make a profit. If you are on a large losing streak the cost of making one unit can become large and not worth the bets in the first place. I think this will apply best to a system because you know that you will be betting on certain circumstances but could apply to the regular person betting because it takes the long term into effect without over reaching you bank roll. It is kind of simple but all you do is take your projected unit profits during a "period". So I am going to call a period a week. Each week I think the max i should make is 10 units. So you have to have two systems going on at one time. One system is when you are just using the straight wager of 1 unit. The next which is the betting formula is when you take into account the last 5 days. I will give an example. The last 5 days i have had a profit of 2.65 Units. All you do is take your actual units made divided the max units of 10 units and get a percentage. In this case you get .236 or 26.5% of your max profits. Take 100% subtract 26.5% to get a total of 73.5%. This is your unit multiplier! So for your next bet you use 1x73.5% to get a unit of .735. So if my unit was a 10 dollar wager then on the next day you would bet 7.35 dollars per bet. I feel this is contrary to public opinion because when you feel that you are "hot" you should bet more units per game. What this system says is that everyone will come down to the mean or 50% so when you make profit take it easy, but still bet lighter, but when you are down bet more but not at such a high extent that a martingale system would. I am looking at suggestions at what people think about it so the more commentary is better/.
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cheesemak | 1 |
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Where are you getting these odds at? I cannot bet on reverse puck lines.
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peter1988 | 6 |
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HECTAR.... are you like a moderator for Covers or something.... it seems like what ever thread i go into you are yelling at the guy to post in the right section... take a chill pill im pretty sure there are covers people out there that will move it if it is that big of a deal
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JoshLewis | 39 |
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This looks interesting... Have you back tested this system at all and what does this system take into consideration?
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rynogeis | 5 |
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Here is a link to give you an idea of what I am doing.
https://spreadsheets.google.com/ccc?key=0AsAMwO4a-0xcdGxaZUpzOTRVRHRhRGNGTlFxQkdsY3c&hl=en&authkey=CILWmIII
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cheesemak | 2 |
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Im looking for some input into some strategies used for any of the major sports.
I think I have completed my NFL study. I came up with 4 teams sweetheart teasers utilizing overs and unders as the best solution. It has won a consistent 56% of the time and back tested from 2007 to now. Right now I am currently working on NBA and NCAAB since it is early in the season. I am currently putting in all of the major stats into excel work sheets to try to find some variations if any do exist. I was just wondering if anybody had any input on what they find as key stats when betting on either NCAAB or NBA. It would be a big help and can post any results. Examples are: # days rest between games, L5, home/away. Thanks for the help! |
cheesemak | 2 |
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