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this is how they got here , they play like this all the time I was gonna play under 119 but could not pull the trigger, no balls
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bettorjon | 9 |
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love the write ups, exellent job,keep em comming good luck
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JFen31 | 69 |
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I would really rather pay a few $$ and make it a pickem game any time
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KineProfessor | 1966 |
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Quote Originally Posted by KineProfessor: Thank you I have been playing your system for the last 3 years now ever since i seen it frist pop up on here ITS KILLER I also played the pre system plays for 2 years now and this year i started around 1/26/12 and had the pre system going 25-10 for me. cant thank you enough for being so kine to share with us Thanks agian and Good Luck the rest of the year
Official system was 14-10 (about what I thought it would be), it was much better from Feb 1-bracketbuster Saturday (the presystem), most say they were about 18-6ish (give or take a win or loss or two depending on what was considered a presystem play and what line any particular individual got) |
KineProfessor | 1966 |
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Kine congrats with the sysem plays agian this year did you have a final won/ lost record with it this year.
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KineProfessor | 1966 |
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Quote Originally Posted by KineProfessor: well said Kine I found your thread 3years ago and started playing it right away using the system the way it is put forth playing games flat bet and keeping my plays for the same amount every time every game .Why would people want to change such an easy system,(GREEDY) . Thank you MR Kine
Hahahaha - yep, that is me selfish as can be! You wouldn't believe how many PM's and emails (and postings/comments on many other sites) that I've gotten saying what an idiot I am for posting the system online or that they would have paid a fortune to have the system all to themselves! My favorite part is that these threads have turned into 1h plays (not system), moneyline bets (not system), ALL CONFERENCES (not system), 2nd half bets (not system) AND its still literally the most simple system I've ever seen and still people need to be told what the plays and are offended that I don't want my name attached to the thread when they are using old and/or incorrect versions of the system. And then everyone completely ignores the most important part of these threads which is that everyone should use the principles of the system as a guideline in selecting which games to look at and what teams to consider and where to find the most value. "No disrespect" |
ryno23 | 141 |
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Ryno are you still going to post the system plays here and do you know what confrences we are not surposed to play I had the list from last year but for some reason i cant find it and have not been able to find it on here thanks and good luck
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ryno23 | 58 |
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Hey assuie its Heandog from sbr how the heck are you your system looks pretty good , Im still on the Kinesystem been doing pretty good thus far, hey what did you do with the girl as your avatar , talk 2 u later
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AussieCapper | 1170 |
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only play if it reaches 6- will be pepperdine .Man some of you guys have to go back and read the previous post and learn the system entirely then you might know what the hell is going on instead of just asking for plays all the time. if the kineprofessor is not around to post plays some people just get lost because they dont know the system at all and others put in there time do some homework and do end up helping in the long run . but really some need to get a clue
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KineProfessor | 453 |
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welcome back KP hope you feel better soon.and glad you had a good time in vegas Now time to hit the books.
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KineProfessor | 453 |
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just the 2 plays today- Fla Int and E.Ill -well Good Luck
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KineProfessor | 282 |
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Kine thanks so much for all the hard work you put in here been a follower of this system this year and last year also so glad I came across this thread .I have one question last year you set the magic number @6 this year you have it set @6- any reason for the change.
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KineProfessor | 183 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Greymatterstats: Man that is some great info Awesome job
Long time reader and first time contributor. I wanted to thank Kine for the time and effort he puts into his well thought out posts. This season I have been following a system that closely mirrors Kine's, with my variation being dogs of 10 points or higher. Additionally, if I have the dog covering ATS using an outcome methodology I apply, then I would increase the units on that particular game. Obviously, the data will vary somewhat depending on the ranking and closing line you use, but what follows supports Kine's methodology, not only for the tail end of the NCAAB season, but throughout the current year. Below is a YTD summary for dogs getting both 10 or more, and 6.5 or more points, including what would have been the breakdown for one and two unit plays for games as per my criteria. Also, I have included a SU/ML breakdown, which really puts into perspective how often the points come into play in these games. Again, this data is based on rankings and closing lines that I applied, and some variation is to be expected. There are some games included in this analysis that Kine might not have used, and some games that Kine might have used that I did not , but it's hard to argue with the overall picture it paints. I want to make it clear that I did not play all these games, though I wish I had based on the findings. I thought people who look forward to Kine's posts would find this interesting. Current NCAAB season * Home Favorite Ranked >179 * ATS Pushes Excluded * Assuming $100 Bets For Road Dogs of 10 or more - 69 games YTD Overall ML 4-65 5.8% -$3600 *** If you played the ML Favorite +$2400 Overall ATS 48-19 71.6% + $2710 My 1 Unit ATS Plays 18-9 66.7% + $810 My 2 Unit ATS Plays 30-10 75.0% +$3800 For Road Dog of 6.5 or more - 125 games YTD - Applying Kine's Method For Entire Current Season Overall ML 15-110 12.0% -$4620 *** If you played the ML Favorite +$2680 Overall ATS 77-43 64.2% + $2970 My 1 Unit ATS Plays 27-22 55.1% + $280 My 2 Unit ATS Plays 50-21 70.4% +$5380 Overall Using Kine System YTD by Month For the Current Season November ATS 17-10 63.0% December ATS 24-9-2 72.7% January ATS 27-21-3 56.3% *** Note: On Jan 29-30 Kine went 7-0 - And while there is not an exact game for game correlation between this analysis and all of Kine's selections, it is safe to assume that the system would have been around 50.0% for the month of January if not for the 7-0 run late in the month, adding to Kine's position that the later in the season you apply this methodology the better it is. In a nutshell, as Kine stated, it certainly appears that when bad home favorites play worse road dogs, take the points. And if you really want to go crazy, a case can be made for playing ML Favorite and ATS Dog in these situations, though it does appear that the percentage of ML Dogs winning outright has increased dramatically in the past few weeks. If anyone has historic ranking data by week for the 2009/2010 season, it would be very interesting to see how closely these current season results would match the previous season. Good Luck to Everyone. |
KineProfessor | 183 |
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My post got screwd up some how my question was last year you had the line @6 and now its at 6- any reason. Thanks
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KineProfessor | 637 |
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Kine I have been a follower of your system for the last year also, and last year I have a print out of your system and you had the line @6 not 6- is there any reason for this jump or are you just tweaking it a bit for more vaule ,Just courious ,Great Job Kine I have been tracking these games from Jan 10 and they been doing great esp the last week and half . Good Luck and Thanks for sharing.
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KineProfessor | 637 |
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