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I just don't see a big enough of a difference to BANK on the UNDER even running the in conference averages. Just my opinion though.
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bense197969 | 23 |
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Absolutely right. I wasn't looking at straight "In Conference" My Bad.
Of course the point is still the same. In conference ILL still scores about 67 at home. Add them up and you get 128. Isn't that still the OVER? But you are correct - I was looking at season totals. The point still remains there is rationale for the OVER. |
bense197969 | 23 |
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Law of averages says teams both score in the mid 60's. Something like 68-63. IMO
In conference: UM scores 66 on the road, ILL allows 60 so split the difference at 63. ILL scores 69 at home and UM allows 66 on the road, split the difference at 68ish. So there is reasoning for an Over on this. I wouldn't bet either way. GL to everyone! |
bense197969 | 23 |
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Simple answer... they score a lot more points than the FSU. IMO they win by double digits. Their stingy D at home allows under 50/game. FSU allows, on average, in the mid 60's on the road combined with Virginia scores, on average, in the mid 60's at home. You want my rationale... they you go! VA wins by double digits. However, I've been wrong before and I'll be wrong again. Just my opinion.
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DUKESTER727 | 13 |
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I'm on the other side. VA -4. VA wins big at home.
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DUKESTER727 | 13 |
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I'm new to covers myself. Honestly, I started my so called "system" of betting college basketball in Feb. which has produced a 25-6-1 record. However, I've been gambling long enough to know that this is a small sample and I don't expect to be on this heater forever. Shit... it already started to cool. Started out 22-2-1. Has been 3-4 in the last 2 days.
Great community here though. I love it so far. Let's just hope the luck continues through the tournament. Good luck to everyone tonight and throughout the tournament. |
JHenry | 11 |
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Best of luck to you as well.
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TripleXXX | 10 |
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Last night I took
Providence +5 Saint Louis -7.5 Wyoming -8 Wisconsin -9.5 Wisconsin was the only loser in the bunch. |
TripleXXX | 10 |
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So Recap:
LSU - 1 S FLA + 8.5 Under 146.5 on Iowa State/Mizzou |
TripleXXX | 10 |
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Diz - I think the spread is right in-line with where it should be.
How I predict games is projecting a line and an O/U. I then compare them to Vegas and see where the handicappers may have screwed up. They have so many games to project that there's usually a few that are off a little. It that difference is significant enough then it is a play. |
TripleXXX | 10 |
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Scratch Bama. Typo on the spread. However - S. Fla +8.5 and the Under on Iowa State/Miszzou
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TripleXXX | 10 |
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Bama -1.5 and LSU -1
25-6-1 in Feb. and 3 -1 last night but I'm new to the Covers community. Looking forward to being here a long time. GL to everyone tonight and in the future. |
TripleXXX | 10 |
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