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BYU is focused on starting the season faster this year and should drub UConn, but BYU has some suspensions and injuries to deal with that may cause some early season struggles. They have suspended their best running back (Williams) and a starting receiver who transferred to the program (Blackmon) for the season opener. They also lost another starting receiver to injury (Kurtz). Even with these injuries/suspensions I wouldn't take UConn. I am planning to pass on this game.
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EIGHTY-FIVE | 38 |
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I went big on SJ last night as well. One of those where I have to just shake my head and move on. Generally, I avoid heavy juice, but I thought this was one of those spots where the favorite was just so obvious. Coming off two losses, hungry for a win, and playing at home against a bad team. It seemed too good to pass up. Guess that's why they play the games. I have to admit I was laughing at myself when the Sabres went up 3-1 early in the 3rd. Wow.
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SJSharks99 | 23 |
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Quote Originally Posted by WahooS:
Demsung-- I just got some info on BYU that may have me buying out but I wasn't concerned with the matchup aspect at all, I know Houston very well, I follow them closely Just curious what info on BYU caused you to back away from this game? Injury? Suspension? BYU makes me nervous this week for a couple reasons: (1) Their DB's are really bad but they haven't been exposed because Bronco has been able to protect them based on scheme and the types of offenses their opponents have ran. Houston throws the ball better than other opponents BYU has faced this year. (2) The bigger concern I have with BYU is that I really believe BYU is overlooking Houston this week. BYU has Boise St on deck, and is very focused on winning the BSU game. BYU has lost all 3 meetings between BYU and BSU. The last two were lost on a missed field goal and a missed attempt for a two point conversion. It drives BYU crazy to lose to BSU and I think they are really focused on ending that losing streak next week. The BYU/BSU matchup will likely become a decent local rivalry over the next few years as they are scheduled to play 10+ games. On paper BYU should cover the 10 point spread pretty easily, but who knows where their heads will be at with Boise State on deck. |
WahooS | 200 |
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ibetbig2 - I think your BYU/Utah analysis is about right. Utah has struggled on defense against teams that can throw the ball. BYU is very one-dimensional right now. Utah will likely have 8-9 guys in the box and try to force BYU to throw. I believe BYU is only completeing around 33% of their passes (don't quote me on that). If that trend continues BYU will have difficulty scoring. The certainly won't score 40 on Utah the way they did against Texas. IMO the best bet is Utah +7. I think there is a decent chance that Utah actually wins this game.
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ibetbig2 | 9 |
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I appreciate your analysis on the games. Even if you don't post games at early lines, I would love to hear your thoughts on games sooner rather than later. I always take your thoughts into consideration when I'm doing my own due diligence.
My initial thoughts are: Washington anything less than - 10 Bama anything less than -10 ( currently -7.5 at betonline) I already bet it at that number. Arkansas to bomb S Miss, and UCF wins outright at Penn St
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WahooS | 231 |
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Quote Originally Posted by HammersSpreads:
This line looks about 10 pts too high to me. I don't know what I'm missing
First time posting, so bare with me. I think the reason this BYU/Texas line is higher than expected is based on the fact that both teams have revamped their offenses and are trying to run plays about every 15 seconds. This will dramatically increase the number of snaps over the course of the game. Add this to the fact that they will be playing this game at elevation (a new experience for Texas now that Colorado is in the Pac12) and you could see some pretty exhausted defenses. The counter argument is that BYU's offense is awful. If you go 3 and out every series, the opponent's defense won't be on the field long enough to get tired. BYU's sophmore QB is athletic, but he only completed around 30% of his throws last week. I think that number will improve this week because they will be playing at home in good weather and they do get their best receiver back from injury, but it's hard to see them scoring much. At the end of the day the total is a no play for me because of my concerns about the number of plays and the elevation. I think the best bet on this game is Texas -7. JDF - I started reading your analysis late last season. Thanks for sharing your thoughts on the games. It's always an insightgul read. |
jimmydafreak | 505 |
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Very impressed by the Philly over pick. I have to admit I didn't think you were right about that game. Nice job!
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si1ly | 41 |
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