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I would like to see the tote board system please.
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cajunbookbuster | 69 |
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Quote Originally Posted by KnightofSorrow: Bart, I think Jeff confirmed this: Last years results were: A) 71 B) 25 C) 13 D) 3 E) 1Total of 113 games, and dogs on ML in these games 85-28 (total of 113 games) or I have a mental breakdown? Correction that this season dogs are 1-1, as San Diego won yesterday straight up. Dzieki za Sto lat :) I have my birthday in July This is not 113 games. It is 113 chases, where 71 finished on game A, 25 more finished in game B, etc. There is about 177 games here.
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JEFFTHEHAT | 242 |
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[Quote:
This year A) 1 with S.D. Last night. Today is CHC +1.5 |
JEFFTHEHAT | 242 |
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When you have to chase a game A loss, I am guessing you play the first game of the rotation +1½ the next day, right?
(not necessarily chasing the same losing team)
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JEFFTHEHAT | 242 |
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Quote Originally Posted by neilsy25: my opinion is that there is zero chance you are going to get a full season of picks from Jeff with these results ... If you look at some of the older forum threads, he has done it before.Many of them have.
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RandyRay | 27 |
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Quote Originally Posted by donfernando: interesting post, thank you LarryB. i have some questions 1. According to what percentages??? 2. what 5 chases system are those??? This is not my system. This is from JEFFTHEHAT. He hasn't divulged the system in terms of what games to play, but he started this thread with a new system that he claims has been back-tested for several years as a six-game chase without a loss. Undefeated. The percentages are what he posted in POST #1 of this thread.
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JEFFTHEHAT | 283 |
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According to the percentages though, you can do five chases and three of them will win the A game. Then you only have two chases going. Another will win the B game, leaving you with only one chase. Some more may start, but most chases will finish within two games.
Last year, only nine 4-game chases lost. That's a little more than only once a month. And, with 95% of all the chases ending in game C or earlier, multiple chases might not be so bad. Even if you had 10 chases going at once, eight of them would be finished by game B.
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JEFFTHEHAT | 283 |
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Quote Originally Posted by JEFFTHEHAT: Hello fellow chasers and to all who want to follow, these are the results of my almost 1000 hours of going blind on my IPad creating this system. Total for the system 3689-0 this is a 6 game chase. This an average of 738 units a season! 2013 - 765-0 2012 - 757-0 2011 - 692-0 2010 - 758-0 A) 461 A) 442 A) 431 A) 432 B) 187 B) 197 B) 169 B) 196 C) 85 C) 64 C) 64 C) 82 D) 23 D) 39 D) 19 D) 33 E) 8 E) 12 E) 7 E) 8 F) 1 F) 3 F) 2 F) 7 2009 - 717-0 A) 435 B) 159 C) 73 D) 39 E) 9 F) 2 This in an average of 84.3% hit on A&B games combined A) 59.7% B) 24.6% C) 10% D) 4.1% E) 1.1% F) .4 % Now if I'm not mistaken at a -150 average a 4 game loss is 30.20 units so if you wanted to make this a 4 game chase you would still make 381 units a season on average. Remember this chase only plays 5/6th's of the season to. That's 76 units a month that way not bad. I was just running some numbers to see what a 4-game chase might really be, and this is how I see it:
When I did this for all the seasons listed here, the end result was: 2013 (+414) 2012 (+172) 2011 (+306) 2010 (+173) 2009 (+288) (This is based on losing 38 units for every 4-game chase that lost) The numbers vary widely from +172 up to as high as +414 The good news is they are all positive. The average of these numbers is +271 Admittedly, not as attractive as the six-game chase, but if you're still a small fish, this might be doable. I think a lot of people would be happy to end the season up +172, and in a good year up +414 ! |
JEFFTHEHAT | 283 |
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I think with my bankroll, I'd have to stop at a 3-game chase, and then continue the series with 1 unit on game D an E. I'd have to build up a bit of a cushion to play with the big boys. Because even if I made one unit only $5, any chases at games D and E are going to be expensive.
I like the fact that it rarely gets that far, and I like the fact that backtesting has determined it is undefeated, but the execution is still a bit difficult. Well, each marathon starts with one step, so good luck to all of us.
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JEFFTHEHAT | 283 |
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Quote Originally Posted by JEFFTHEHAT: Ok as promised here is the first month results from last year as far as how many chases were going etc. First off May 3 to Jun 1 went 126-0 A) 86 B) 30 C) 6 D) 4 Thats 92% on A&B games The most chases going at one time was 11 on May 24th There was 12 days with no bets at all starting on May 3 17 days had bets If you would have parlayed every game played on each days games you would have hit a 2 teamer, two 3 teamers, two 5 teamers and an 8 teamer. Chases open by amount: 1-3 2-2 3-3 5-2 6-2 7-2 8-1 9-1 11-1 I'll post each month as I finish So, in one month, if you're always playing to win one unit, you would have been up 126 units? Is that correct? Nice.
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JEFFTHEHAT | 283 |
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