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created a topic
Iam sorry if you didn't believe in NFL rigging outcomes ... You better believe it now!
in NFL Betting
I was always slightly optimistic that the outcomes were more dependent on talent rather than a bunch of old guys with yellow flags . That my bets were judged by a combination of calculating numbers and weather patterns .... But cmon man Lamar Miller had that 1st down by 2 f$king feet and after review you say the play "stands" with no explanation at all as to why !!
So glad I bet HOU and under for the first half and ran off with the money I made . I really have to stay away from The NFL and stick with the NBA as there is only so much those refs can do . Let's give him the benefit of the doubt and say he forgot his glasses at home and couldnt see the line to gain properly ... The final calls comes with HQ and they concluded this decision ad no first down as well ???? Wtf it's so blatant it's like slapping us right in the face. But hay don't worry we get Dean Blandino for an explanation on the NFL network and how the refs simply missed to call ... So sorry . Reminds me of a very wise mans quote .... " we just slipped our d**ks down your throat and you thanked us" - negan |
Jonnybagadonuts | 19 |
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Am I crazy or is -10 a gift on this line ? . I mean if Brady was playing the first four weeks this line would be more like 13.5-14 . Gronk basically waited for Brady and Edelman hasn't even opened up yet ... Am I missing something here ?
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Jonnybagadonuts | 7 |
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Believing that games are not fixed is naive. If the NFL didnt share its total income across all teams instead of being separate income , Or if the refs were not gagged , or if the foundation of the first NFL teams were not started by bookies and gamblers ,Or maybe if the NFL was not registered as "entertainment" , Or even if a holding penalty on the offense was the same for defense .. Then maybe just maybe i would think that the NFL didnt "sway" the outcome of games to receive the best possible outcome as far as the best teams appearing in super bowls.
No the NFL does not rig games for the bookies or vegas because that small patatoes for them , the billions come from Ads on TV and ticket sales and merchandise . So the NFL "sways" the game to through the gagged refs who never fail to make at least 2 of the most outlandish calls per week. Backing up defenses 5 yards for holding our backing up offenses 10 yards for holding. Alot of this stuff makes no sense and is all made up BS by the NFL, Golden tates TD ... Are you freaking kidding me ? , i bet against the lions and still couldnt believe it . Here is a question iam going to ask you that i already know the answer to. Would you be more exited to watch a Jags VS Bucs superbowl or a Panthers VS Patriots superbowl ( as a football fan in general not a specific team fan ) . Which matchup are you more likely to go out and buy a few cases of bud light ( sponsored by the NFL ) call over some of your closest buddies and have a blast for 4 hours. The whole grey cloud they put over what is a catch and whats not , the penalty yardage that is so obviously more penalizing for offenses plus all the other information ive stated would make you naive to think the NFL does not sway games for most public interest. |
BetFriends | 52 |
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EDIT: Line just dumped hard to -2.5 -115 indy , Indy got pounded hard in the past hour .
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Jonnybagadonuts | 7 |
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First off i dont know why the line didnt open at indy-6.5, As thats what i was expecting . Then everyone would hammer indy and bump the line to -7 to start getting some texan money.
At any rate, thats why iam not in a luxury office in vegas making betting lines. So for those people out there that feel the games are fair and not fixed this observation is for you ...... refs might be getting some 401k money ........Seattle vs washington ring a bell? but whatever. Vegas is looking for even money on both sides of the ball . So here is my take . Line opens at - 2.5 -105 for indy . By wednesday the line jumped to -3 +105 indy and today is sitting -3 +110 for indy . So obviously people have been hitting the texans hard but vegas refuses to give them any more points , Instead making it a better value to go for indy. When looking at which team is better as a whole i think we can all agree that its indy , Sure foster will run it through indys face but i dont think fitpatzbeard can keep up with neck-beard in this one . 21 - 13 with 5 minutes left in the 4th with a game winning drive by mr luck to seal your -3 bet . Gl lets win some money tonight ! |
Jonnybagadonuts | 7 |
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ive won many $$$$$ on atlanta at home . This is one of those games on redzone that they pop in every 15 or 20 minutes because its just a blowout . ATL 45 CHI 24 .
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Gavinnick | 13 |
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Phix i dunno how you had the balls to play the skins in the second half .
Iall make sure to not bet against you again ( bye bye $600 ) lol.
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phixer | 1164 |
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Phixer what do you think about the blatantly obvious picks i.e. Steelers giving up 6 to the jagurs. Iam looking at that line like WTF iam going to put the house on the steelers lol .
PItt crushed the panthers by 16 and beat the browns by 7 . If it wasnt for a last ditch fluke play by the Bucs then would have won by 4 . However the jags are playing worst then the Bucs . Whats going through bookmakers mind out in Viva lol.
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phixer | 1164 |
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Miami - 1.5
Was i the only guy that watched miami run over the patriots in the second half ? yes iall re type that..... New england! ,bellicheck , brady , gronk, clam chowda that new england .......... Miami will shut down spiller and force EJ to due what he does worst and throw the ball . Make a team 1 dimensional and they simply cant win. New england -3 Dont let the vikings previous game fool you , The rams have no offense! , when you cant get in the endzone on the vikings then your looking for the worst record in the regular season . Even if the vikings go nuts Brady and the boys have the firepower to to keep up and win this game easily . New Orleans - 6.5 2 of the best games to watch last week , Each one of them would have been an awesome superbowl story . Hoyer almost driving the browns to victory over big ben and the steelers and the falcons and saints having an all out shoot out in the arena. This one is obvious , The browns cant keep up with the steelers so what makes you think they can keep up with the saints? .... Its like Usian bolt vs a chubby kid . Greenbay - 8 ( teased to -7 ) After getting there ass's handed to them Greenbay is mad and they are going to take their anger out on the jets . It would be different is Geno smith was this consistent QB everyone thought he would be but hes not ..... Thats a thing of fairy tales . The pack will run them over by at least a TD enjoy your new found cash this sunday. |
Jonnybagadonuts | 4 |
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KC +1 1/2
Does anyone remember what the rams did out of the colts?......Ok ok how about what the cardinals did out of the colts with an offense that is worst then KC's?..... How about the way the worst team in the nfl kept up with them to the very end only to lose by a field goal. You have 2 weapons here TY hilton and donald brown and trent.........Never mind he is more of a blunt knife then a weapon. Its crazy not to take the Cheifs here.....KC wins big 38 - 17 |
Jonnybagadonuts | 8 |
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Phixer ive been following your thread for a few weeks and i really like the way you think about your bets, Being that you pick the same way i do. The logical fix in this game is to take the points with the chargers. It only tells me that the broncos go up by 17 and magically philip rivers connects on a garbage time TD. Similar to last years Joe flacco-Jacoby jones BS touchdown.
The safe bet IMHO is to tease the line -1 point to 9 1/2. As losing by a half of a point is something thats been killing me :). The bank safe bet is the over IMHO. |
phixer | 2804 |
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No need to watch the game boys, i could see the future. Thats just my personal take on the wager.
There are obviously variables but thats just what i see happening. At the end of the day we all know Geno smith is going to turnover the ball plenty of times, That means great feild position for ATL on more then a few occasions. |
Jonnybagadonuts | 13 |
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Expect a simliar outcome week 2 Vs the rams
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Jonnybagadonuts | 13 |
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created a topic
Started with $78 a few weeks later at $2,225 --------Here is my MNF pick
in NFL Betting
2 team parlay
Utah state -10 BYU( -23.5 = WIN +$77 3 team parlay Oregon ducks -36 boise state - 28 clemson - 28 = WIN +$267 3 team parlay seattle - 0.0 1st half seattle/Houston OV 1st half 20 Arizona +0.5 = LOSE - $50 2 team parlay baltimore -2.5 indianapolis -8 = LOSE -$131 2 team parlay Denver -10 washington - 2.5 WIN = + $525 2 team parlay New england OV 48.5 Atlanta -3 LOSE = -$75 2 team parlay New orleans/Miami OV 48 New orleans -6.5 = WIN +$897 3 team parlay Clemson -7 Bowling green -14 Boston college- 6.5 = WIN/PUSH +$23 Straight bet Oregon ducks -25 1st half WIN = +$245 3 team parlay Philadelphia MONEY LINE Phi/NY OV 53.5 New Orleans EVEN WIN = +$997 2 team parlay DEN/DAL OV 55.5 Denver -7.0 LOSE= -$550 Current Record 19-5-1 It all started with $78 of not real money but bonus money i recived from a $300 deposit. Call me lucky,stupid , or a good capper at the end of the day the Bankroll and Record does not lie. I like to go big on games iam really confident on, If it wasnt for romo spinning like a top to avoid the sack to only gain 20+ yards on almost every play i might have been up an additional $2g's, Or maybe Peyton pulling the trigger at the 1 yd line for a TD in order to push . I like to rate my parlay from 1-10 . 1 being a small bet iam not that confident in and 10 being a large bet iam extremely confident in. My bet tonight is a 6 My parlay is Atlanta -9.5 and OV 44.5 . Here is how i see this game going. 1st quarter Geno smith gets the ball within feild goal range twice Matty ice gets to feild goal range once and throws one touchdown. 1st quarter ends 10-6 atlanta 2nd quarter Geno smith throws a TD Matty ice throws a 60 yd bomb to Julio for a TD 1st half ends 17-13 falcons, At this point about half the country is regretting betting the under....... 3rd quarter Geno smith throws 2 picks, One is turned into a TD the other is good for a feild goal, either way its 10 points for atlanta. 3rd quarter ends 27-13 4th quarter Matty ice works on eating at the clock with 10 touches going to Quizz burning up about 5 minutes, They eventually kick a feild goal . Geno smith in desperation mode gets into a hurry up offense and pulls out a TD. with with 4 minutes left the Jets Onside kick, ATL recovers, gets 2 first downs and eats the clock up. Final score 30-20 Atl wins.
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Jonnybagadonuts | 13 |
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i just made a thread about this..........THIS SUCKS!.
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Gambit | 9 |
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anyone else having a problem with bookmakers website.
In any case my pick was... Frisco ML 5 units.
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Jonnybagadonuts | 2 |
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Picks i love for tonight, these are not my lean picks but my strongest picks of the day......
Current record is 2-4-0
Chicago +3 1/2 Chi/ATL OV 184 1/2 Pistons - 1 1/2 Jazz +8 1/2 ( jazz will lose. Not by the line though) Pacers/hornets OV 178 1/2 CAVS + 8 1/2 bobcats +16 |
Jonnybagadonuts | 1 |
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Wow brutal start. currently 1-4-0. Supposed to be 2-3-0 but as the grizzlies could not score a final basket.
However iam going to stick with my plan as i think its a great way to make easy money.
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Jonnybagadonuts | 4 |
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Wow brutal start. currently 1-4-0. Supposed to be 2-3-0 but as the grizzlies could not score a final basket.
However iam going to stick with my plan as i think its a great way to make easy money.
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Jonnybagadonuts | 4 |
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Iam starting my new " mathematical breakdown " capping system. If it works then iall let you guys know the formula. For now we will call it the N.ew B.etting A.ttempt...........TM :) NBA system WLT ratio 0-0-0 OKC -6 OKC/hawks OV-199 Bucks + 9 bobcats +9 Utah ML I think i want to take bobcats moneyline as iam expecting an upset ( or at least the numbers are ). You do not have to take my bets unless you are compelled to. Otherwise just keep an eye out for my thread and lets see how i do...... |
Jonnybagadonuts | 4 |
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