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Quote Originally Posted by Macwestie1:
Thanks fellas & GL either way *handshake Bruuuuuce & MoneyBags this game could go either way but I'm a Glutton for Punishment my instincts tells me Defense will be a factor On TNF we'll see WTF do I know *Handshake
Defense will be a factor Mac but which D steps up is the question. These 2 are only 12 yards apart per game on D and on a YPP avg, the Saints are slightly better. neither team is a ball of fire defensively, so it will probably boil down to who can get it going offensively and maintain it for 4 quarters. I anticipate a shoot out and I would much rather have Brees and company in that scenario. However, I have been wrong many times before now and will be many more times in the future. So that being said BOL with your play. + points with the home team in a divisional match up is never a bad thing! |
Macwestie1 | 49 |
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Quote Originally Posted by HoldingXYZ:
Could be a let down spot here... This line will climb slightly i suspect giving the weak performance by The panthers... With that said,, im already on Car and the Over... i like those smaller market teams... But i may switch over come game time,, depending on the info that gets fed over the air... Good luck
Won't be a letdown however the Saints are a completely different team away from the dome and I am a homer, but I do not bet on my team. These divisional games are always tight anyway, no matter how good either team is doing on the year. You may have the right side already. |
Skin24 | 90 |
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So sad to see you are against my Saints this week, but I understand your reasoning. They are a different team away from home, to say the least. BOL this week! |
amd | 104 |
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Home teams in World Series Game 7's are 9-0 since 1982.
Sounds like the odds for the streak to end are increasing.
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PapaShango | 7 |
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Quote Originally Posted by amd:
Theres been games like this all year which is why fellas shouldn't make bets based on what they think the line is telling them. Breakdown the game and make a play based on the matchup.
He's Free!!! Welcome back amd. No statement is more true than the one above. Break it down yourself and make your play according to the results of your breakdown. Plain and simple! BOL Tonight my man. Always makes me feel good when we're on the same side. |
amd | 127 |
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Quote Originally Posted by CarterSECpicks:
GOING TO ADD MY BIGGEST PLAY IN 4 YEARS
OLE MISS + 3 20 UNITS.
WHAT AM I MISSING HERE. I HAVE OLE MISS 41- 24. This will be the best defense A&M will face all year. PLEASE This a huge play for me , but nothing is a lock so if you follow bet what you can afford to lose because nothing is a sure thing.
I only show Ole Miss by 26 - 19, but it is still an outright dog win. BOL. |
CarterSECpicks | 68 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Temple71:
Added Play: Bama-Ark/UNDER 56 330/300 (weather forecast is 70% chance of rain for this tilt which should require a more field possession type of game and a change game plan tactics-bottom line is defense should rule the roost [barring a plethora of turnovers] )
GLTA
Just saw a weather report which looked like the weather would clear by gametime. Just FYI if that makes a difference to you. |
Temple71 | 52 |
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BOL on your plays this week.
Auburn scares me a bit. Miss St. is playing some really good FB right now, all though they may be over acheiving. Prescott is gonna be a load for Auburn to deal with. Should be a great game to watch. No play on my part though. GL |
Temple71 | 52 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Sire:
where ? how can i find it ? How do I find the penalty box? It is under special interest tab |
amd | 264 |
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Wow! Still in the box my man? BOL on your picks this week and hopefully they will let you out of here soon!!
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amd | 66 |
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BOL amd! Hope you are set free soon. However, those of us that know the site, know how to find you and communicate!!
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amd | 28 |
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Granted some of these guys responding to you are just being jerks and don't post much except to bash other people. However, a couple of these guys are trying to help you, so take what they have to say and give it serious unbiased consideration. If you still feel the same way after listening and re-looking at whatever your handicapping method is, then fire away at Washington. Just remember that it is easy to create some type of justification for the side you pick, when you do a write up. You should sometimes, look at the other team and consider facts about them and see how easy it would be to justify them in a write up. All that being said, all you can do is look at key stats, injuries, weather etc., and formulate who you think may win the game outright. Themn place your bets. BOL on whatever you decide to do.
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AFNfootballnerd | 19 |
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Quote Originally Posted by amd:
I'm playing the matchup but the Sooners line looks a little soft buddy. Hope Stoops doesn't doesn't flounder another big game away. This team is too talented for the game to be within a td. Good luck this week
Sooners scare me here with the soft line. TCU D best in country yds/pt (still early in season), have a tougher schedule strength than OK and are +6 on turnover margin (as is OK) My numbers are coming up with a straight up win by TCU, but that is scary because it is so early in the season. Anything in particular making you go with the Sooners? |
amd | 58 |
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Great call on Green Bay last night Buddy! BOL on your picks this week. I see you have my saints on the board this week. Hopefully the "dome" field advantage will do well for you!!
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amd | 264 |
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Every play always makes me nervous hehe.
Reid being 0-4 doesn't bother me a bit anything can happen on any given night in the NFL I have the spread so as long as I cover I'm a happy camper
Well said Mac!! 0 - 4 just means the odds even out sooner or later, so Andy should be ready to win one.
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Macwestie1 | 73 |
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Quote Originally Posted by amd:
Thanks a lot for your posts. Regarding the Saints, be careful playing them against Tampa. The loss tonight and against Cleveland and Atlanta are more of the norm than anomolies. This team is not a good team on either side of the ball. One would think that a team like Tampa would be good medicine for Nawlins but for the Saints to be laying double digits with their defense that gets carved up every week, I'll pass. It's nothing more than the Drew and Jimmy show down at the Superdome and as we've seen, they need much more help than those two guys.
As for the look ahead spot and Alex Smith, I would bet that Smith hasn't thought about San Francisco once this week while preparing for NE. If anything, he's preparing to show his stuff in front of the national audience tonight. However, I don't think Smith has to win this game, he just has to be a game manager and not turn the ball over. I like Smiths play, overall. In fact, I think the Niners would be better off with him than Kaepernick.
Another great week amd! Good going and stay hot my friend. You are absolutely correct about my Saints. So sad. They looked flat out pitiful, with exception to 2 drives and those were not that great! As far as the game against TB, again you are correct, but to add to that, TB is always one of the toughest games for the Saints, regardless of how each team is playing. TB always has their number or at least gives them total fits and extremely close games. This year could be a blowout by TB against the Saints poor D. BOL tonight! My numbers come up KC 20 - NE 17. |
amd | 122 |
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Quote Originally Posted by RichieRich97: This is the type of game that I would usually take the Bucs. Public overreaction on both sides. TB was playing their DBs so far off the receivers against Atlanta that it was just pitch and catch for Matt Ryan and company. I think they were doing that because of injuries in the secondary that may be healthy now. Well that and Lovie Smith is way, way way to conservative. With TB getting healthier, Pitt getting less healthy, Pitt due for a let down especially with a team like the Bucs comming into town,TB getting embarrassed on national TV, public on Pitt, the trap line of 7.5 and TB finally starting their best QB.... Well it all ads up to a Bucs cover. The only reason I lean Pitt is because Lovie Smiths coaching ability trumps it all. However I will not touch this game and would not be the least surprised if TB covers for the above mentioned reasons. Pay attention to how many games this season fall into this category. The underdog that looks awful and you think has no chance to cover will cover more times than not I do not disagree with many your thoughts, as I am typically a dog bettor and savor these type of games. However, TB is really bad. I am not touching the game. I just wanted to see if there were any reasons or things that I might have missed here. Sometimes these "trap lines" are not traps and are simply what the line should be accounting for Pitt injuries etc. Tread carefully everyone!!!!
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Golferman | 31 |
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And Glennon is the difference maker in team that is all around bad? Beg to differ. Pitt and big Ben should dismantle them this week
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Golferman | 31 |
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I do not understand all the love for the Bucs this week. They are simply terrible. Anyone of you guys pickin the Bucs want to chime in? I would love to hear why you think this is a good bet. I am always looking to learn so please enlighten me.
Thanks
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Golferman | 31 |
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Quote Originally Posted by phixer: In public eye - the Eagles are favorites for several reasons: 3-0 record against 1-2 of the Niners, Fole's number one QB rating and the comeback ability which allowed them to win all three games after being down at least 10 points in each of them. Well, those exact reasons are the ones which are convincing me that the Eagles won't go 4-0, the Eagles will not stage another comeback and their quarterback will be subjected to much different treatment than in the three games against the weak defenses. Gore too is way better than McCoy - at least when the teams face each other. I will secure that play with buying a point for the Niners. This is a 10 Units Play SF 49ers -3 -155 1550$ BOL Phixer. I like your style. Let the haters hate and always respond professionally. Like the San Fran pick. I think San Diego is gonna be a huge blow out. Hope they score 40+ so you get your over because the Jags are terrible.
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phixer | 70 |
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