Brillo18

Member Since:November 2012
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Brillo18
NBA Betting > ~~~~~~~~!!!!!!!! NBA Friday !!!!!!!!~~~~~~~~ > View Post
Taking Toronto off board due to line change. 

Brillo18
NBA Betting > ~~~~~~~~!!!!!!!! NBA Friday !!!!!!!!~~~~~~~~ > View Post
Bobcats +3.5 - POD
Toronto +2.5 - MegaPick
Milwaukee -2 - PowerPick
Cleveland +9 - PowerPick
Knicks -13 
Memphis -11.5
Lakers/Nuggets u204.5
 


Brillo18
NBA Betting > Any thoughts on 76ers/Bobcats? > View Post
Bobcats +3.5 for 

Brillo18
NBA Betting > ~59~ PLAY OF THE DAY ---> FREE MONEY > View Post
Ha ok NickeL you have done a good job of convincing me... You have been pretty money with your first quarter lines so far and since you are so strong about this one I'm gonna trust you... Putting 12 units on Lakers 1 Q whatever the line is when it come out in my book! Lets get that money!!!

Brillo18
NBA Betting > ~59~ PLAY OF THE DAY ---> FREE MONEY > View Post
NickeL.. In the only two home games the Lakers have played right after returning from an away game (Clips and Warriors), they lost by 5 and won by 1 respectively in the first quarter. Why are you so sure about tonight's first quarter bet? Is it just because the Pacera are such a bad road team? I am worried the Lakera are going to come out flat like the Clippers did last night against the Hornets...

Brillo18
NBA Betting > ~59~ Tuesday 11/27/2012 Picks [ NBA 70-51-6 ] > View Post
NickeL.. In the only two home games the Lakers have played right after returning from an away game (Clips and Warriors), they lost by 5 and won by 1 respectively in the first quarter. Why are you so sure about tonight's first quarter bet? Is it just because the Pacera are such a bad road team? I am worried the Lakera are going to come out flat like the Clippers did last night against the Hornets...

Brillo18
NBA Betting > Kim's NBA Tuesday > View Post
Finally another Sacramento backer! I felt like I was the only one on here liking the Kings here... This will be my only play of the day too.. I think it's the best bet on the board... BOL!

Brillo18
NFL Betting > People betting Eagles are INSANE..... > View Post
I really couldn't agree more... Was waiting for someone to say this. This line seems too good to be true.. Just look at panthers last three road games- lose by two in ATL, by one in CHI (in a game they were winning the whole way) and then beat Washington and RGIII by 8. No Vick or McCoy... Eagles are in line to have the worst season against the spread in NFL history... I'd ride panthers -3 to the bank all day. I got -3 at EV in my book... Booka will want you to buy the half point at -120... I say there is too much value at -3... Panthers all day

Brillo18
NFL Betting > NFL_Sharp Week 12 Picks and Rankings (21-9-1, 70% YTD, 7-0-1 LW) > View Post
Hey Sharp... You have Panthers ranked 9 and eagles ranked 31... I agree the Eaglea are awful but just wanna know why you didn't lock in Panthers as one of your picks... -2.5 to be honest seems too good to be true. Eagles without McCoy, Vick, and avant... Panthers have had a very tough road schedule and have played some very good teams real close, including beating Washington by 8 two weeks ago.. Thoughts about this matchup?

Brillo18
NBA Betting > Philly @ Cavs - In game thread > View Post
Raptors were winning the whole game yesterday and Philly came back and covered. Just be patient. 

Brillo18
NBA Betting > Philly @ Cavs - In game thread > View Post
QUOTE Originally Posted by LetEMride:
its early guys.
they play 4 quarters. way too early to cry or count your money.


Exactly. Everyone quit overreacting. Philly will get back in this and make it a game.. Lets not get too bent out of shape yet

Brillo18
NBA Betting > BRILLO'S Wednesday NBA 11/21... 1-1 YTD > View Post
YTD: 1-1, -1.2u

Yesterday's Results:

1. Toronto +5.5 (-120, 2u)    LOSS

2. Knicks +.5
    Toronto +12.5
    Lakers +1.5 (-120, 1u)- WIN

Overall: -1.2u


Wednesday 11/21 Plays:

1. Heat -9.5 (-110, 2u)

Will be my biggest play of the night. Love the Heat at home after three days off.  Expect Heat win this one big.

2. 76ers -3.5 (-120, 1u)

76ers defense will be too much for the Cavs, who are playing their first game without Kyrie Irving. Bought the hook just to be safe, but love the Sixers in this spot to win comfortably. 

3. Portland ML (+105, 1u)

Portland is just starting to heat up and the Suns have continued to be unimpressive. Like them to win outright in a potential shootout in Phoenix. 

4. 76ers -3.5 
    Heat -9.5 
    Knicks -2.5 (1.32u to win 7.5u)

Also love the Knicks to cover easily in Dallas. Knicks players are well rested (don't think anyone played more than 28 or 30 minutes last night) and Kidd and Chandler will get everybody up to play against their former team. 

5. Knicks -2.5
    Spurs -1.5
    Bulls PK
    Heat ML (.5u to win 2.66u)

My least confident pick of the day, but I do like the Spurs and Bulls to cover. 

NOTE: Will not reflect 4 team parlays in my win/loss record but will in my overall units won/lost. Three team parlays will count towards both

Now lets get that 


Brillo18
NBA Betting > !!!! NBA Tuesday SuperPick !!!! Advance Forecast !!! > View Post
Kc who do you like tonight?

Brillo18
NBA Betting > TV's Wed picks YTD 10-2 (write ups) > View Post
QUOTE Originally Posted by danabaa:
Like the Clippers, feel like they are trying to prove themselves. Really keen on the Spurs pick. Think the ove in the por/suns looks the best OVER on the board

Ha Dana just realized you posted this right before me... I'm with you, think this is the best over on board right now

Brillo18
NBA Betting > TV's Wed picks YTD 10-2 (write ups) > View Post
Haven't don't the research yet but my biggest early lean is Portland +2.. Possibly even ML.

What you think about over 201? Suns one of highest scoring teams in lead and like you said Portland averaging 101 in last 3...

Brillo18
NBA Betting > !!!! NBA Tuesday SuperPick !!!! Advance Forecast !!! > View Post
Think it was the right play but just didn't work out for us. Keep doing good work Ac!

Brillo18
NBA Betting > Johnson's NBA Wednesday 11/21 > View Post
Lookin forward to it CMJ

Brillo18
NFL Betting > +3 at +105 versus +3.5 at -115 > View Post
QUOTE Originally Posted by vanzack:

I think you should also seek out if there is a difference in that situation when the total is 48 than when the total is 35.


And if that half point is worth the same in those 2 scenarios.



Great point here vanzack.. Most people overlook this even though its pretty much the best way to answer your question 

Brillo18
NFL Betting > DETROIT ANOTHER EASY PICK > View Post
I think Det ML is best play

Brillo18
NBA Betting > First play on Covers, Expect a WIN > View Post
@consistence... 

Brillo18
NBA Betting > BRILLO'S Tuesday NBA 11/20... 0-0 YTD > View Post
Lost a tough one riding the Craptors... Think it was the right play but doesn't always work out. Still very alive in the teaser so hopefully we can minimize the damage. Would be real surprised if the lakers don't cover +1.5

Brillo18
NBA Betting > Craptors > View Post
Like Avignon said.. Just a classic meltdown. I think raptors were clearly the right bet. Can't hang our heads, just know we made the right decision and move on to the next one

Brillo18
NBA Betting > Raptors get screwed by Lowry > View Post
Was a huge garbage cover by 6ers. Raptors was the right play there everything just hit the fan at the end

Brillo18
NBA Betting > !!!! NBA Tuesday SuperPick !!!! Advance Forecast !!! > View Post
Very nice work so far Kc. I'm with you on Raptors tonight... Lets get that 

Brillo18
NBA Betting > 22-15-3 YTD **Hot Streak** > View Post
BOL... Any reason why the Under? Seems like every Lakers game is going over recently as they begin to implement more of D'Antonis offense

Brillo18
NBA Betting > NBA Tuesday > View Post
With you on Raptors lets get that  

Brillo18
NBA Betting > BRILLO'S Tuesday NBA 11/20... 0-0 YTD > View Post
First time poster here. Been really enjoying the Cover's forum and have decided to go ahead and start posting my picks.
 
Tuesday 11/20:

1. Only one game I really like straight up on the card here.  I like a fiesty Raptors bunch to keep it close in Philly. Bargnani poised to have a big day and Calderon has been playing well lately. Toronto is 3-2 ATS on the road vs. a 76ers bunch that is struggling to find consistency in the absence of Bynum and is 2-3 ATS at home. 76ers really haven't played great on this homestand despite winning the last two. Got beat outright as heavy favorites against Milwaukee and Detroit followed by a sloppy cover against Utah and a barely cover against Cleveland.  I even think the Raptors have a decent shot to win outright, but am taking the points. 

Pick: Raptors +5.5- 2u

2. While only liking one game on the card straight up, I do see value in a tease here involving all three games tonight. A well rested Knicks bunch that hasn't yet lost two straight regular season games under Mike Woodson's watch seems poised for a victory tonight. I do see this as a potential trap game for the Knicks so don't like them ATS but see tremendous value in picking the Knicks to win the game without the points. 
In a similar situation, I am not very confident in the Lakers giving 5.5 against a hot Nets team but really like them +1.5. Finally, since I am confident in the Raptors covering 5.5 in Philly I see no issue with adding them to the card with a 6 point cushion. 

Pick: Knicks +.5
         Lakers +1.5
         Raptors +11.5- 1u

Hope to get off on a good note as I try to establish a good track record with my picks here on Covers. Best of luck to everyone. 
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