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Quote Originally Posted by stevopa: Dude, you're thinking UW 2002 when you speak about their defense. That was pre Chris Petersen when defense and grind it out offense was the style of play. This is a totally different UW squad: one that gave up 7 TD passes and 475 yards through the air to Eastern Washington. This is the first year that Sonny Dikes has the players he needs to run a very successful offense and his teams play noooooo defense. 3 straight games have gone 90+, and 2 straight 115+ points. Will not take any under in a Cal game as long as Sonny Dikes is as the helm. To top it off for the over, Chris Petersen has had an extra week to come up with trick plays and an offensive scheme to exploit a Cal defense that ranks 128th defending the pass Hindsight is always 20/20 but it turned out to be one mistake mired game. I'm glad Washington won SU and UNDER.
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Alright, Washington has been pretty inconsistent this year especially on offense. Narrowly beat Hawaii and Eastern Washington before looking balanced against Illinois. Then being shut out in the 1st half against Georgia State before scoring 44 unanswered points.
Two weeks ago Washington lost in a tight game against Stanford at Husky Stadium and they could've won the game if it wasn't for horrible QB play from Cyler Miles. The defense was great and kept the game close. Now how does this affect the matchup against Cal? Everyone expects a shootout and Cal can score on most possessions. However Washington has had two weeks to prepare on defense and hopefully install some simpler plays for Miles to run on offense. OVER/UNDER is 69.5 and most will bet the OVER. This isn't Cal vs Washington St. and I believe Washington's defense will have more success stopping Cal's offense and Washington will try to slow down the game which means fewer offensive plays. I really like Washington +3.5 and the UNDER
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Hoping the Huskies can perform well at home against a ranked North favorite. More heart than mind - Cardinals win by a FG.
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Well, if I thought the line should be WAS +7 I'd like it even more but -1 is still good enough for me.
Montana is alright and showed he could move the ball against USC even if it was garbage time. Sarkisian's stressing two more wins to make it an even remotely successful season. A win tonight and another in the Apple Cup and it'll be more than the Holiday Bowl for UW. |
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With surging Miami on a winning streak (although beating mediocre competition) and Bowling Green loosing 5 of their last 6 (and 6 of their last 8), their only win being narrow over Temple, I believe even as a 6.5 road dog, Miami will cover. However, the line could be a trap since the Bobcats can lose to Bowling Green but still win the division by beating Miami two weeks from now due to tiebreaker rules. It all depends on how motivated Miami will be. Still, talent favors Miami and with a strong running game from their "three-headed monster" and BG being very young on defense expect Miami to roll over BG. There's no line yet for O/U, rough estimate: 56
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Bet UNDER, it's snowing lightly and quite windy.
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I never thought I'd say this, UCLA could be in the drivers seat to win the PAC-12 South by beating Utah tonight.
Both teams have been surging the last couple of games and I actually think UCLA will win outright but take the 7 points! And with the weather I like the UNDER.
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SF up till -6.5 is an early Christmas present.
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Go Dawgs!
I'm confident the Huskies will win but covering a 9 point spread is highly doubtful. I just put my money on the hated Ducks. UW wins 80-75
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Quote Originally Posted by DrDogs: I know I discounted the pack a month or so ago but I also said two weeks ago Beware if they get in the playoffs! Playoff teams coming off byes are 10-18 ATS since 2003 (7-13 since 2005). Playoff teams coming off a road win in Round 1 are 7-2 ATS in Round 2 since 2005.
This packer team is heating up at the right time. Might be superbowl bound. Packers for the large! The stat about teams coming off road wins is great!
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The spread is too big but still I don't trust the Jets to cover. I do like the UNDER though.
The Jets wants to control the clock with their strong running game which looked healthy against Indy and the Pats haven't been good against the run. And how could New England possibly score as easily as last time around, it was a once in a season whoppin!
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I'd love to see the Seahawks roll on but it'll be tough. Getting 10 points however is a reasonable line. If I could get 10.5 I'd be all over the Hawks.
The Chicago D# will be well rested and heavily favored against a Seattle team coming off an over achieving performance. Could they ride the wave and beat Chicago again or will they be exposed as the team going 7-9 in the regular season? I'm taking Seattle plus 10 and the OVER.
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My initial thought was going with the Steelers but after watching the Ravens@Chiefs I actually like Baltimore. I actually hate both teams so at least there'll be no feelings to screw this one up.
Ravens seem to be on a roll and if CC can keep his head cool I think Baltimore pulls out a tough low scoring game. Ravens 17 - Steelers 14
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Good stuff so far guys.
Is it just me or does anyone agree that betting the spread in close games like this simply isn't worth it? If you believe in one team, go for it. It's the same for the Ravens@Steelers.
When ATL and GB have matched up no game has been decided by fewer than 3 points since 1989. I'd only bet GB plus the points if I get 3.5 points otherwise why not bet GB straight up at 2.15? True, ATL has been very good at home with a strong running game and a very reliable but one trick pony passing game. The defense has been alright but I just don't trust it to withstand the Packers offense especially with a little running game going (might be an overestimation though). GB is the hot team to me and and I think they'll beat the Bears in the NFC Championship game and advance to the Super Bowl. Plus I do like the UNDER. |
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Hate to say I told you so...
But since I picked the Colts it doesn't matter.
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Quote Originally Posted by easypics: Sorry in this particular matchup that's positively NOT sound strategy . Seahawks are that bad my man n' you could be looking at a swift double dollar death. Saints are quite capable of shutting down Seattle,winning by 2 TD's. Thanks man, it's always good to get some positive feedback. I'll be contemplating until Saturday. The Christmas Islands must be a sweet place to live?
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Wait until Saturday when people have been betting Baltimore to more than a FG (or more) favorite!
It's not the best bet of the week but KC at home has some value with a great running game and I assume Cassel will bounce back from a bad bad game. Plus, who doesn't like home dogs in the playoffs? Someone wrote that KC are like a deer in a headlight - really? Whether or not CW goes to Florida he's still a great playcaller and will find ways to run Charles and Thomas down Baltimore's throat. Bowe is a great target on play action and in the red zone. The solid but overrated Ravens D# will be worn down by a clock controlling KC offense. RC will make life tough on an overconfident Flacco and CC has made strange playcalls in crucial situations which will cost Baltimore. I just don't see Baltimore winning this game and laying points, are you kidding me
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History suggests that despite Seattle being horrible in the regular season they still have a shot in the playoffs especially playing at home with the best homefield advantage in the league. Remember the Cardinals a couple of years ago? CONFUSING FACTOID: According to an article on Covers the line is set expecting Whitehurst to start, with Hasselbeck it's a FG or so lower. I personally don't see the big difference whether or not Whitehurst or Hasselbeck starts. On the other hand, the books expect the public to bet on New Orleans towards game time which would move the line giving Seattle even more points (unless an early announced Hasselbeck start moves the line to +7.5). My suggestion: put a few units on Seattle now and bet more if the line moves to +13 come game time. Source: |
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True, the rumors of Harbaugh potentially leaving after the game is never a good thing. The question is whether or not going out on top matters. And apparently people forget that the players don't just play for their coach but also for themselves and the team. They might never play in another BCS bowl so as long as the game plan is still solid, they'll play hard! Now that it's Stanford -3.5 the value is gone, I do believe in a Stanford victory but laying 3.5 is just too much. Va Tech will keep it close and probably cover. The best play is UNDER
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At least I was right about the UNDER. Holiday Bowl Champion
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