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sorry on the stadium - mixed up cotton bowl stadium with the cotton bowl....
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Covers | 36 |
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Lakeshow - this game is in a dome. I only like BC if Aj Dillion plays, will take Boise if he doesn't. Good luck all |
Covers | 36 |
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I promise you I am not biased when it comes to wagers, I know when to pick my team and when not to. There have only been two prime time falcons games for the country to see and one was during the debate, most people do not know truly know how good this team is. And with the media attention Rodgers gets I understand why most people are drinking the kool-aid, but I'm telling you now - the magic ends today. The Falcons defense is much better than the numbers suggest (look at the last 6 games) and I know Rodgers will get his but he cannot keep pace with such a complete offense. The dome last week would rival Seattle and KC in terms of loudness, there is something special about the Falcons this year and their brotherhood. Never seen a 6 point favorite perceived as such an underdog and the falcons love it that way. If the Packers do cover it will be from the back door . Don't bet on a team with no run game and the 31st ranked pass defense. That is not the playoff formula.
Also, EVERYONE is taking the over. Do you want to bet with the house or against it? Expect the unexpected.
Falcons win 34-24 |
Covers | 48 |
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Hawks first half -4.5 |
Covers | 4 |
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Interesting but irrelevant to the matchup. Any head to head stats that are more than a few years old are completely meaningless. Different players, coaches and era |
Covers | 9 |
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UGA has a very underrated defense and the line backing core is one of the best in the nation. Power running game for georgia will will be the deference maker. UGA-6.5 |
Covers | 23 |
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Tennessee if clearly the better team but 10 is a lot. I'm not a huge fan of teasers but to me this is a great spot for one with Tennessee in the 3-4 point range. Tennesee -4, Florida +10.5, Stanford pk, oregan -.5, miss -2.5, Ohio st -.5 100 to win 700 |
Covers | 32 |
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Miss ST is better in every aspect of the game, don't overthink it. They have played well against great competition while NC state has not. Miss St large. Also like the under, it's raining and miss St won't give up a ton of points, thinking 17-24 for ncst. |
Covers | 45 |
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Bets777, do you really need 10 POSTS to get your opinion across? Not to mention you repeatedly referring to auburn as a big 12 team completely invalidates your comments. Anyways, this is tough for me. Auburn has more losses but they are mostly to quality teams. Memphis has some good wins but most of those teams are not close to SEC talent. Auburn definitely has better overall athletes and Memphis has the superior QB. Originally I was leaning Memphis ML for the value and the over however 100% chance of rain at kickoff has me second guessing both bets. Also Auburn is essentially at home with a strong supportive fan base. wait until just before kickoff to decide the impact of the weather right now it looks like a 30% chance for the final 3 quarters. Lots of rain bet auburn, little rain take over and maybe memphis
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Covers | 55 |
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When everyone likes one side, take the other one. Under 70.5 |
Covers | 43 |
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I can certainly see KSU keeping it close bc Arkansas has given up plenty of points in the 2nd half of the season. If i was forced to take a side it would be the razorbacks but over is the play for me. Arkansas will score a lot in this game and probably only need a couple scores from K-state to cover the over. I think you can make a strong case for both teams in a 7 point teaser, and again i'd lean Arkansas -6 if i had to choose.
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Covers | 13 |
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1969USC - I can't support your logic when you say "SEC isn't offense minded. Bama's defensive stats are misleading.". SEC offenses face teams that recruit both sides of the ball(so they are typically facing an above average defense). The SEC on average has the best athletes in the country and you're kidding yourself if you say otherwise. I believe Mich St will keep this game close for 2-3 quarters with their defense. However Bama will pull away in the end bc the spartans won't be able to keep up on the score board. Bama will shut down the spartans offense and probably keep them below 20. 30-16 Bama win |
Covers | 51 |
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No Thompson.... Hawks ML
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Covers | 9 |
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Too bad I got a little greedy last night and took the Portland Alternate spread at -2.5(+190). Almost hit.... I've enjoyed the insight and will continue to follow. BOL to all |
TriniMike | 163 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Dinitalian:
colts on the road are a second half team they wont be up first half and win the game!!! balti will half to win one and its going to be the first half its a croud pleaser but like i said INDY wins 23-21
Ravens win first half and Colts wins the game pays +850 on DSI. Put your money where your mouth is.... I think I might follow you on that one.... |
Covers | 105 |
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Everyone was on the over on Oregon and K State and look what happened. I've gotta take the under on this one, especially at 72.5, still can give up 9 TDs and 3 FGs. I also really like u62.5 @ +215 Also like A&M -2.5(-125), only losses to LSU and FLA and they beat BAMA on the road. My biggest concern is if that little trophy went to Johhny's head. Longest TD under 68.5 |
Covers | 119 |
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Quote Originally Posted by djuengoe:
Boy 'O Boy !! What to do, What to do !! I have been leaning with K St and the points as well as the under, but the Duck's can be truly awesome and run away with a game.The Civil War comes to mind. As always, Love and appreciate the insight I get from most of you.However, I certainly don't see the need for the name calling, idiot, loser etc, that goes on. Everyone is entitled to their opinion and thoughts. Here are a couple of mine. As far as the Baylor/K St goes, if I remember right Baylor had beating them the previous 4 yrs before this yr (make it 5). I didn't bet the game, but I was sitting next to a guy who was shocked to his core that his K St bet wasn't coming through. " How could this be happening ?". "RG 3 is gone, this is impossible !!!". I'm sure most get the point. Someone here said something like " Just stop Klein tonight and what else they got ". I heard that a lot about Teddy B last night. Nuff said. I think the rumors surrounding Chip Kelly could be a huge factor. Atlanta, I'm all over your prop bet. Never even crossed my mind. Thank you. BOL to all !!
K St 1st 1/2 at the absolute best I can find
K St ML
Look for 2nd 1/2 action
Longest TD under 69.5 yd's
I've got a big play on the Longest TD u69.5, normally the longest td prop bet is in the 49-54 range. As long as there is no kickoff return TD this should be safe. I like your picks Djuengoe. Medium play on the under 74.5 and small play K-state ML. GLTA |
Covers | 103 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Atlanta-fan:
I do like the under in this one, but when games are tough to call I like to look at the prop bets. I think I found a great one. Longest TD of the game Under 69.5 yards(-115). I know Oregon is exposive but if K-State can hold them to just one or possibly 2 first downs before giving up a TD, this distance shouldn't be a problem.
Barner has had only 2 runs longer than that all year, 71 and 80. Mariota's longest pass this year is 55 yards. Klien's longest pass is 62. K-State had a 95 yard run 1st game of the year and since then the longest is 36. |
Covers | 103 |
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I do like the under in this one, but when games are tough to call I like to look at the prop bets. I think I found a great one. Longest TD of the game Under 69.5 yards(-115). I know Oregon is exposive but if K-State can hold them to just one or possibly 2 first downs before giving up a TD, this distance shouldn't be a problem. |
Covers | 103 |
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Quote Originally Posted by TheMethod: Great stats. Also, everyone is so quick to point out ATL's past failures in the playoffs but don't forget all three of their losses in the Ryan/Smith era have come to teams who went to the superbowl(two of them won). Some of the best quarterbacks in history have struggled in the playoffs(especially early in their career) or lost 3 playoff games in a row.
Atlanta offense is good with 3 top weapons (Julio, Roddy, and Tony Gonzalez). Ryan is playing like an MVP but the biggest reason for the Falcons success is their defense under Mike Nolan. Combined stats of the 3 TOP QB's Falcons faced this year at home (Peyton Manning, Drew Brees, Eli Manning) :
65 Completions
112 Attempts
743 Yards
58% Completions
6.63 YPA
1 TD
10 INT
43.86 Passer Rating Falcons are #4 in the league in Scoring Defense, they will be a tough out for anyone especially playing in the Georgia Dome where Matt Ryan has the highest winning % for a starting QB in NFL history.
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NFLJOE | 37 |
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