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Never had time to post the Pitt 5 unit Platinum Play last night. So hopefully this info and plays makes up for it.
A look at Popular ALDS Game 1 Trends and Information: - Since 1999 my database lists a NYY series up for grabs. Meaning, a NYY match-up against anyone, shows no solid evidence of a game 1 winner moving on to the next round. In fact, from 2000-2006 the winner of the first game in a NYY opening round series went on to lose the series in all of those years in round 1. That was 7 straight years. So the winner of tonight's game is not a sure bet to win the series. - As for the other series', well the winners of game 1 have exceptional value moving forward, as the streak is at 9-0 from the NYY and Detroit series back in 2006. All 9 game 1 winners moving forward have went on to the championship series. This streak is current and should have an eye kept on it. The current record over the last 12 ALDS is a 14-10 mark when the winner moves on more than not after a game 1 win. Take out the NYY series' that didn't produce, how about 14-3. Now to be fair, if we eliminate the NYY series all together, you would have to take 4 wins off the tally. So a 10-3 mark shows that after game 1, if it isn't a NYY series, your likely looking at your one ALCS team. Use this stat in key situations, especially in a game 5. - If you like betting the Yankees, they are 4-2 in game 1's as a # 1 seed since 1999. - Looking at Overs/Unders in this round shows us plenty of trendy statistics. The biggest comes in the AL, where #1 seeds have gone 8-4 to the Under in game 1's over the last 12 ALDS. The number 3 seeds have an even better mark of 10-2 to the Under. When pitting these teams together it combines an 6-18 O/U mark, so playing the Under is a crucial part in surviving the opening game. Throw in a 1 Vs. 3 match-up, a 7-0 mark pops up playing the Under. - Another noteable trend is for the 2 seed Vs. Wild Card match-up. The Wild Card teams have gone over at a solid clip. A 9-3 O/U mark since 1999. Mix this with a number 2 seed the number is 16-8 O/U respectively. Facing off against each other shows a 5-2 mark favoring the Over. Keep in mind with the total set at 8.5 the #2 Vs. WC has shown an under in 2 of 3. Fair game on anything 8 and under, 9 and Over. - Also keep in mind that there have been 9 O/U splits over the last 12 years in game 1. Simply meaning 9 of 12 years there was 1 Over and 1 Under after game 1 in the ALDS. In 1999 and 2009, 10 years apart, two Unders hit in each of those years, with 2002 showing a 2-0 to the Over in game 1. This has never failed 2 years in a row since tracking in 1999. After the 2009 loss, this trends split last year. Something to look into after the first game is said and done. - The Underdogs make solid plays in game 1 when showing a 2 seed against a 3 seed or WC opponent. A 9-3 mark speaks for itself, considering your getting plus money in 9 of 10 opportunities. Makes this a no brainer on the dogs in game 1. This was on a 9-0 run until the fave won the last 3 game 1's, 2010, 2009, and 2008. Testing streaks here, so maybe see how this pans out, but 75% still solid mark after 12 occurences. - Also keep in mind the Wild Card team has gone 3-4 as dogs in game 1 of late so at nearly a 50% win mark, getting plus money, it might not be a bad idea to play the Wild Card as a dog in game 1. My picks for Game 1 ALDS: 2 units/$200 Tampa Bay +160 2 units/$200 Rays/Rangers Over 8 4 units/$400 Tigers/Yankees Under 7 |
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risk $500/5 units each Philly +175 LA Angels +140
risk $400/4 units Baltimore +1.5 +110
Good Luck, and look for the MLB Postseason trend sheet. |
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2-1 with Platinum NFL on Sunday, missing a sweep because of a late score.
Could be last MLB Platinum Play this month, hopefully a winner.
$500 or 5 units
Jays/Sox Over 8.5
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Sunday:
$500 or 5 units Jags +3.5 $500 or 5 units Chiefs +14.5 $300 or 3 units Ravens -5 Good Luck and don't miss the NFL 1st Quarter System package. 3-2 week 1 4-1 week 2 7-3 mark so far, 6 plays for 1st quarter slated for Sunday week 3. |
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Tonight's FREE Platinum Comp from www.AftermathOfTheStorm.com Play this split tonight: to win $300/3 units Washington +1.5 runs -130 risking $300/3 units Washington +175 September brings in the winds of change. Last season Philly was swept by Houston which was a shocker. Tonight, the Nats take on the challenge, with none other than Brad Peacock. The Phills are slumping, and history is on our side as National League teams that are over .500 looking to stop a series sweep at home do not fare well laying money. This is a borderline runline play, as dogs getting +180 or more are near perfect on the runline. Feel confident on Washington tonight, as they are 8-2 in their last 10 games. Play the split, and win on this one tonight. |
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After a winning Platinum Day Sunday (3-2, +$700) looking to cash in again on Monday Night.
St. Louis +7 to win $500 or 5 units The Rams play the Giants in a Monday Night Football Showdown, and after cleaning up with the Falcons for 7 units on Sunday Night, we look for another lucrative winner to follow that one up. The Rams were decimated with injuries last weekend, but they come into this game with an ATS X-Factor, playing the NY Giants, who have failed to cover many times as favorites. Looking back at last season, the G-Men were torched as favorites, and again just last week in the opener, they failed to cover as favorites. Last season, the Giants were 7-9 ATS, with a 5-6 ATS mark as favorites. Shrinking it a bit more, as home faves, 3-5 ATS, showing 1-4 ATS in their final 5 at home as favorites. At home laying 7 or more, just 1-3 ATS last season, failing to win let alone cover in an expected blowout game for the boys in blue. Now the public is riding the 7 point lay heavily, and there is the statistic noted that the Rams are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 vs. NY. Rams were 7-4 as dogs last year ATS, and should not be taken lightly. I can see both of these teams going 0-2 after tonight, but only one will. That is small in comparison to what we look for...A cover. With that said, teams that were blown out in their previous game playing as dogs against a team that was also blown out previously show unprecedented numbers ATS. Other notes: Giants on Monday nights are 0-6 off a SU loss as favorites, and they show a 1-6 ATS mark as faves against an opponent off a SU and ATS loss. The Rams are 7-2 ATS on Monday Night when their opponent is off a double digit SU loss. |
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Add 1 MLB: $400 or 4 units Houston +150 for Sunday
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Off the Indians Platinum winner for $500, 4 Platinum NFL Selections for Week 2:
$500 or 5 units each
KC +9
Indy +1.5
Pitt -14
$700
Atlanta +3 (buy 1/2 -120)
Good Luck
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Tonight's play is on: Cleveland -130 for $500 or 5 units Saturday: 3 Possible Platinum Selections Sunday: 5 NFL Platinum Selections Good Luck this weekend! |
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Coming off a rough 0-2 in MLB Platinum Selections on Sunday. NFL comp winner with Minny. Tonight we have 1 play on the diamond. Sticking with Minny. risk $500 or 5 units Minnesota +125 Looks like 3 Platinum College and 5 Platinum NFL for the weekend. Purchase and lock in today! |
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Safe to say these babies are on fire yet again. 10-3 mark over the last 13 selections. Members and non-clients reaped the rewards yesterday going 2-1-1 with the big 5 unit winner in the Marlins/Pirates Under 8 runs. That one hit easy. A late turnover cost us the Georgia game, but they did answer late to get us a push in that one. BYU was also another easy college winner on the day. On to Sunday. First an NFL Comp Free Pick: Minnesota +9 for $200 or 2 units When was the last time the Chargers actually exceeded expectations in Setember? Well it was a few years back, but since 2007, this team has failed miserably covering big spreads, especially in the opening week. Last year on Monday Night, it was the Chiefs that made their mark on San Diego. The Chargers couldn't handle a 10 point line in week 1 Vs. Oakland in 2009, and they couldn't handle the 9.5 points given to Carolina in 2008, as they lost the game. Add Minnesota to this list of teams off the radar made to look good by an under acheiving Chargers team. The Chargers consistantly lay points every year, and at times big spreads. This year is no different, as they are dumping a near 10 point spot in this one. Play the Vikes, as they will cover this one if history repeats. I feel it will. The Chargers have made the worst teams look like competitiors the last several years. MLB Platinum Plays for Sunday: Play against these two teams looking to avoid the home sweep. Usually these lines are super inflated with juice, and we clean up with the NL dogs in September. This angle has gone 15-10 over the last 7 seasons in the final month, and with an average comeback of +150 that is a pretty good return in those past seasons in just one month. Risk $500 or 5 units each: Dodgers +115 and Phillies +120 |
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What seemed like a long while without a Platinum Selection we get 4 on the same day. Should be some fun games to watch. Good Luck! $300 or 3 units - Air Force Pk -115, Georgia +3, BYU +7 $500 or 5 units - Marlins/Pirates Under 8 |
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Platinum Selections have been hot this month. Although there have not been many of late, enjoy this opening night NFL play tonight. Lean: 2 units or $200 each
Packers -4.5/Under 48 It would seem as though the champs in the opener would struggle to win or cover the spread in their first game the following season. The public likes these teams, but history shows us differently, as the Super Bowl winner has gone perfect since the inception of the opening night Thursday game. Since 2002 the faves have gone 5-2-2 but more importantly the home teams are 6-1-2 ATS. In 2009 Pitt won in overtime, but failed to cover the 6.5 point spread. That was a one time occurrence, as each champion have pretty much covered the spread with insurance. Tonight's game should show no difference as Green Bay wins by 7+. Under has gone 4-0 over the last four openers, and 6-3 L9 season openers with one of the 3 losses hitting the Over by a half point. Saints have not put on a display in their previous 2 Thursday openers scoring 10 vs. Indy a few years back and 14 just last year. |
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Two Platinum MLB Selections today. Have a great Holiday!
9/5/11
$500 or 5 units each: Chisox -110 game 1 Humber/Swarzak Seattle +1.5 +120 |
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Let's keep rolling tonight with 1 selection, and brace yourselves for big Platinum card Sunday.
Last night 2-0, for $825 in profits or 8.25 units, as Colorado shut out the Padres, and Baylor won one helluva contest for our College football opening play. September figures now stand at 4-1 posted with $1,555 in profits. All in just 2 nights. Tonight: 9/3/11
$500 or 5 units Dodgers/Braves Under 8 runs After the debacle from the Braves last night, look for Minor to continue his solid performance while the bullpen will not cave in. Eovaldi has pitched well enough on the road for the Dodgers thusfar, and should keep Atlanta off the board. Look for a 4-2 final. |
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9/2/11
5 units or $500
MLB Colorado +105
3 units or $300
CFB Baylor +3.5
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Tonight's NFL-X finale...Lines from earlier
Platinum Based Plays:
$500 or 5 units -- double angle play
Tampa Bay +7.5
$700 or 7 units -- double angle play with one showing an 85% win rate attached to it.
Denver +3
$1000 or 10 units -- triple angle NFL-X play, with an 85% win rate attached to one of the angles.
Pittsburgh +3 (Buy the half as 3 is no longer available at this time)
Leans on these:
$300 ea.
Indy +4, Dal +3.5, Ten +1.5, Hou +3.5, STL +3, Balt +3
Tomorrow starts September Platinum MLB with at least 1 solid play thusfar.
Good Luck!
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Rough go of late, with some pricey faves, but the status of this plays are unfazed still hitting over 65% since 2005. Plenty more on the way in the upcoming days as well. Eventually these plays will show some flaws but I'm not concerned. Another run is very close. Today: Double angle on the Giants today as this line has dipped a bit from opening. Platinum $700 or 7 units -- San Fran -170 |
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For tonight: 5 units or $500 Atlanta -190 Washington has dropped 6 straight. The Nats are 3-7 in Hernandez' starts Vs. NL East L10. They are also 6-20 in his last 26 road starts, and 4-12 as dogs in his recent starts. The Braves turn to Jurrjens, who has simmered and cooled off struggling through an injury. He looks to follow a 6+ inning shutout performance in his last start, but has struggled with the Nats of late. What the Braves have in their favor, a 18-1 mark in their last 19 when they are this heavily favored with Jurrjens on the hill. The Braves have also gone 17-4 as a fave when Jurrjens starts in their last 21 with him throwing the first pitch, and are 6-1 in their last 7 opening series games. Braves ride a 7-2 streak into this one, and hopefully the Hurricane Irene layoff doesn't affect them here. This also falls in line with a Platinum angle system that has a 163-90 (64.4%) mark through August over the last 7 seasons with an average lay of -140. Play the Braves. |
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Platinum Advantage Selections will finish strong in August, and look for a huge Platinum Card for the final week of the NFL-X 2011. Tonight, 8/29
5 units or $500 each (Platinum Double Play)
LA Dodgers -165 SF Giants -230 Dodgers are playing good baseball and send their ace to the hill, while the Pads were swept and are not at their best right now. The Giants have a near perfect angle, and especially after losing with them the other night, tonight we bounce back with them. The Cubs are at a low point right now. Again, if you are skeptical about -200+ faves, please feel free to play Runline as it should not matter. The National League angle is a strong one, and with the way the Giants have played(struggling for runs) it is the bigger risk needing them to win by 2. Until the next play arises... |
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