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Quote Originally Posted by omb1:
A look at the numbers... Atlanta shuts teams down at home- giving up an average of 17 PPG. Home games have gone UNDER the total seven of eight times. Teams like Denver (21), New Orleans (13), Dallas (13) and the Giants (0) were held to season lows when they travelled to Atlanta. They have had a week of rest as well. On the scoring side the Falcons average 24.5 PPG and they are a perfect 8-0 SU in front of the home crowd. Some games have been maybe too close for comfort as they are 4-4 ATS...but we're dealing with a one point spread here. No doubt the Seahawks are hot and seem to be everybody's sexy SB pick. However let's not forget that they are also 4-5 SU on the road this year. The three-game run where they scored 150 points against ARZ, BUF and SF is still fresh in everyone's mind and I believe this has inflated the total. Keep in mind, two of those games were at home and one was in a dome in Canada. Toss out the Canadian game and the Hawks average just over 36 points in their road game totals...this includes last week where they were gifted a touchdown when RG3 laid the ball on the five when his knee folded. Bottom line- this will be a defensive battle. Both teams have the ability to shut the each other down, and probably will. Therefore...gimme the UNDER LARGE and a small play on ATL. GL to all Thanks for the insight
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Quote Originally Posted by degengambler34:
It should also be noted that im quite sure atlanta has been game planning for seattle for 3 weeks now, unless they are dumb they anticipated this matchup weeks ago. Ill say again i don't see value in this game. Seattle clearly has the better defense and running game, not really a question there. Atlanta clearly has the better passing game and wide receivers, not much of a question there. I will say sea. has yet to face a team with receivers this good. That matchup to me is the most compelling, are these seattle cornerbacks as good as touted. If they are this will definitely be a sea win. Good points. I think the corners are pretty damn good for Seattle. Atlanta's corners not bad either. Tough one. Atlanta with the "pick your poison" receivers and dual threat backs. Seattle with the beast and RW is on fire. I think this might come down to road play vs. home play. Favoring Atlanta with rest. I think Falcons cover, Seattle keeps it tight. |
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Quote Originally Posted by joedaddy76:
i can see you're a rookie here and ur post clearly shows as much. i also see that u have only posted 8 times on this thread so that's a good thing cuzz u clearly don't know about the NFL. please do ur homework and study these teams before u post such comments. let me tell u something SON - for the last 2 years, steelers defense ranks LAST in the league in turnovers. I don't win money by posting on covers "SON" I don't have anything to prove to you or anyone else on this site. Money talks, bull s hit walks. |
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Some actual insight and not opinion: Pitt has won 54-3 combined L2 years in the playoff hunt at home in week 16. They've already beaten Cincinnati TY at their house. Pitt. has beaten all the good teams; Bal., NYG, WAS, & CIN. I'm going with better defense at home with a good history in the playoff hunt. Bengals get bounced.
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Giants +1.5. I don't know if I'm doubling posting, not posting, or wtf. |
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One angle on this game I would be cautious of is GB can split their series with the Bears and move them up in the division without fear of being beaten because the pack are 4-0 in the division tiebreaker. In other words the Pack are free to lose which would explain why they're only favored by 3 and no movement on the line. At the least they've already got a wild card with Tennesse next week. |
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Quote Originally Posted by RedStick:
Man what a good game this should be, very good thread as well! NIU should win this game I think but covering is another animal. Early lean Kent St + the chalk GLTA Chalk is gambling slang for the favorite in an event. Cheese is gambling slang for the underdog in an event. Chalk has nothing to do with points. Please pass this on. |
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I'm from B'burg so Tech is my team. These paroles they rounded up and put in VT uniforms are ridiculous this year. Someone noted VT beating FSU in 2010. These ass clowns are a far cry from any Hokie team I've ever seen. Logan Thomas' only asset is he is tall. He's slow, undecisive, bad decision maker. Run game is non existent. Defense is pourous. Playing in Lane stadium used to actually hold a home field advantage. Not anymore. They were even getting beat down by Duke 21-0 in the 1st qtr. This game ''Should" look like the Clemson result. Clemson tried to keep it close 1H, then I hammered Clemson for the 2nd half. I'm well aware FSU doesn't cover on the road, but blow up at home. It is easier to blow VT out by 28 or more than to shave points trying to keep it within 2 touchdowns. Any other result would be just that- point shaving or laying down. |
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I saw your "mortgage" college plays this weekend. Feeling really good about ATL now.
Quote Originally Posted by Pricetopher:
NFL Pick of the Week:
$5k - Cowboys (+5)
Latest Run: 54-14-1
*All picks posted on Twitter: @Pricetopher
This is the editorial I wrote on WHY I like Dallas tonight - check it out!
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Everyone seems to like Dallas with the points. I was going to snatch the 3 when I saw the line move down to 3 around 1:30 today. It quickly bounced right up to 4.5 before I could get it. Anyone have any idea why that might be? |
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Dallas sucks. It's a fact. The last time I tried to fade Atlanta was at home against Denver. After 5 minutes I was wishing I had my money back. Atlanta does NOT lose in the dome. Atlanta will lose, but it won't be to an inferior team like Dallas. Especially at the cribbo. |
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