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Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: The KISS 2-Team Parlay Method
louris54 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
louris54
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#1
Posted: 11/30/2013 7:26:48 AM
Hey everyone, im gonna start posting a parlay betting method ive been using with some success the past 6 weeks that basically revolves around a "quality over quantity" type of mentality...or better yet, "Keep It Simple Stupid." 

Ive posted on Covers off and on and when it comes to sports betting, ive always been up and down, mostly break even. It kind of really hit me last month i was betting for the sake of betting and i thought to myself "how many times have i placed a bet just because of a gut feeling or a majority of other people were betting the same team or because i was bored and simply wanted action?" Way too much. That being said, there were always those certain bets id place with a high level of confidence and more often then not, they would indeed win. You know what im talking about...those very few games where the math and various elements are lined up heavily in one teams favor at the right time and you're getting decent value to play them....the problem however, is there arent many games each day where u find this...or sometimes not even at all. It seems like there are alot of successful sports bettors out there that win alot because they simply dont play alot of games and just wait for their spots. They dont want to keep track of and watch 12 damn games at the same time every day, they want to make $$$$!!!! I guess thats the mentality im trying to engrave in myself now. 

Ive always been pretty good at picking 2 team parlays on the moneyline. These mostly were 2 heavy favorites that u can get for even money on a parlay rather then straight betting each game with heavy juice. We all know just because a team is heavily favored on the moneyline doesent mean jack garbage and you can get burned betting a team just because they're over -200 on the moneyline and they have a way better overall record then the underdog team they are facing. I wanna avoid that trap altogether and really research and pick my spots carefully. Again, there will be very few plays since i really want to approach it with a less-is-more type of mentality. No more betting 5-8 games a day for me anymore. Didnt get me really anywhere and i want to try a new approach. We'll see what happens. 

Anyways, feel free to suggest or share your favorite daily or upcoming plays that you are HIGHLY confident about to make the best possible 2-team parlay combos.


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#2
Posted: 11/30/2013 7:46:08 AM
These are my results from yesterday along with a pending 4 team parlay im playing that is a sunday Patriots win away from cashing..

(23.00 to win 25.21)
Miami Heat ML -240 / Anaheim Ducks ML -210
WIN

(23.00 to win 25.09)
Indiana Pacers -2 -550/ Bruins Under 5 -130
WIN/PUSH

I rarely play more then 2 teams with parlays but this was a 4 teamer i had my eyes on from the beginning of the week.....

(25.00 to win 63.12)
Cowboys -3 (-335) / Miami Heat -2 vs Raptors (-260) / Anaheim Ducks ML vs Calgary (-210) / New England Pats -3 (-310)
(PENDING)


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#3
Posted: 11/30/2013 8:25:51 AM
Alright this one is locked and loaded....

(28.55 to win 25.00)
New England Patriots ML (-335) / LA Kings ML (-225)

Gonna pick on a severely wounded bird here....Calgary has lost 3 of 4, and they're really banged up...not to mention playing the second game of a back to back. They beat the Kings earlier this season so I expect LA to really come out firing. I really expect a similar outcome to the way Anaheim manhandled Calgary last night.....this is just a REALLY good spot for the Kings in my opinion.

As for the Patriots, i was kind of flabbergasted when i saw the opening lines earlier this week and they were only at -335. Im not buying into the whole "they're gonna be a little tired after their emotional comeback win last week against Denver" theory.....the Pats should have no trouble handling Houston....just simply the WAY better team here.
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#4
Posted: 11/30/2013 6:01:18 PM
Alright one more for the night.....

(27.16 to win 25.00)
Phoenix Suns ML (-450) / LA Kings ML Regulation (-175)

Had to get the Suns in a play tonight. Phoenix is really starting to find its stride, not to mention getting Eric Bledsoe back. They played the Jazz last night on the road and demolished them so i dont see how they can lose to them at home either. Not to mention the fact that Utah has yet to win a road game this year. 
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#5
Posted: 12/1/2013 7:18:08 PM
Alright a rough night with last night's picks but the 4 team parlay hit so we'll end up about a unit for the weekend. 

So far: +1.2 units

New play i entered earlier this morning....

(26.78 to win 25.00)
New England ML (-320)/ Kentucky ML (-280)
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#6
Posted: 12/2/2013 1:17:21 AM
(26.78 to win 25.00)
New England ML (-320)/ Kentucky ML (-280)

WIN!!

+2.2 units so far

Might have a play for monday. Theres a few nhl games that look really good for playing the alternative under 6 line. 
Again if anyone has any picks they are highly confident about, feel free to share to possibly put into this parlay method....just as long as we are getting about even money for picking 2 teams.
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#7
Posted: 12/2/2013 2:08:32 PM
Alright gotta a couple plays for tonight....gonna try to take advantage of 2 hockey unders i really like tonight along with the rockets taking care of the lowly jazz. I actually like the rockets tonite more then the spurs and the spurs ML is like -800 higher. (Spurs -1200 are u kidding me?!) Anyways good luck tonight guys.

Rockets -3/Flyers Alt under 6. (Shaved a few points off the Rockets spread instead of taking ML to get closer to an even money bet)

AND

Rockets ML/ Devils Alt under 5.5
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#8
Posted: 12/3/2013 11:10:46 AM
Hey Louris,

I like this idea. I know parlays are tough, but I'm in.




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#9
Posted: 12/3/2013 11:12:09 AM
Right now I think I like:

OKC ML (-275)/TB & CBJ U 6.5 (-205)
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#10
Posted: 12/3/2013 2:37:32 PM
You read my mind will...for the under its either tb or nashville. Nashville and vancouver together have a slightly higher win % with the alt under 6 line then columbus and tb. Either way i like either games along with okc
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#11
Posted: 12/3/2013 2:43:23 PM
Both unders cover but tough night last night with houston. Im kicking myself cause i kind of broke my golden rule of less is more. Shouldve only been on one parlay with houston instead of 2.

Back to even so lets get it back on track.
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#12
Posted: 12/3/2013 3:00:47 PM
Nice! So are you thinking of taking one or two parlays tonight?
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#13
Posted: 12/3/2013 5:20:32 PM
One. Learned my lesson last night.

OKC ML/NASHVILLE Under 6
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#14
Posted: 12/3/2013 5:39:54 PM
Actually scratch that last post. I like the sharks tonight a little more then the hockey unders so im gonna take that for a little + money in the parlay.

OKC ML/ SJ ML
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#15
Posted: 12/4/2013 1:23:03 AM
Well, whether ya played those 2 unders, OKC, or SJ...they're all winners. Nice to get one back right away after yesterday.

+1.2 units

As far as tomorrow, im leaning for sure towards the alt under 6 line for montreal/new jersey. Theres a few nba games that look good on paper but kind of scare me, particularly indiana at utah....Utah's played really well the last few games and have burned me twice already lol. Maybe ill do an open 2 team parlay and play the under Montreal/NJ and do the other half of the parlay on thurday if it wins. I dont mind waiting another day if im not super confident. Again, not looking for action anymore, trying to make $

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#16
Posted: 12/4/2013 11:48:09 PM
LOL So i had the New Jersey under 6 line. 2-2 game with 1:06 left in the game. Thats all i gotta say.

Ya gotta laugh or else it'll drive ya crazy.

Oh well, ill try again tomorrow
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#17
Posted: 12/6/2013 7:15:56 PM

20 to win 30

Ducks and Blackhawks over 4.5/Sharks -1
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#18
Posted: 12/6/2013 7:19:10 PM

20 to win 30.96

SJ and CAR NO overtime/Hawks ML Reg

(Small hedge on Anaheim ML Reg)
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#19
Posted: 12/8/2013 12:05:53 PM
Louris,

I am ALL IN on the following moneyline parlay today:

New England Patriots/Denver Broncos/Chicago Blackhawks 

It is around -114 odds.


Bet it!
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#20
Posted: 12/15/2013 6:34:15 AM


Ducks ML/Eagles ML

20 to win 21.06
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