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Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: MLB Over chase 90-0
Danrules24 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Station |
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#51
Posted: 3/19/2013 1:43:43 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by iamnomad:

I am confused about just one thing.  Let's take a hypothetical Reds v. Indians series, game 1.  The GAME total is 8.  The TEAM totals are 5 for the Reds and 3 for the Tribe.  Are we betting to go over the GAME total (that's one bet) or EACH TEAM's total (2 separate bets)?

 

All of my tests were game Totals not individual team totals. So enter at your own risk for individual team totals.

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#52
Posted: 3/19/2013 2:07:16 PM
Is there anywhere to find the past results of each team's INDIVIDUAL totals?
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Danrules24 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Station |
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#53
Posted: 3/19/2013 2:19:48 PM
Have never bet individual totals and not even sure where you'd find historical data for that.
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ERBATIZ send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
ERBATIZ
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#54
Posted: 3/19/2013 6:20:09 PM
looks ok
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#55
Posted: 3/19/2013 7:25:20 PM
This is very interesting Dan... What are your season parameiters for beting the overs for the season? Like only bet teams that are both over .500 or pitching matchups and etc? Or just everysingle team til they hit the over? Once a team hits the over do you wait or just take them again the nexts game? Just curious cuz as you know I a chase series you get a win and stop. wait for the numbers and next series? Thanks again dan this is awesome...
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#56
Posted: 3/19/2013 7:50:35 PM
Thanks, Dan.  Like this system!
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ERBATIZ send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#57
Posted: 3/19/2013 7:55:50 PM
ok,,maybe this is stupid but i need to know,, ok there are 31 teams,, ok so ,,ex..nyy vs boston  the game goes over,,wich team gets the over ,thanks  i just want to be sure LOL
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Danrules24 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Station |
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#58
Posted: 3/19/2013 9:42:34 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by SoCal311:

This is very interesting Dan... What are your season parameiters for beting the overs for the season? Like only bet teams that are both over .500 or pitching matchups and etc? Or just everysingle team til they hit the over? Once a team hits the over do you wait or just take them again the nexts game? Just curious cuz as you know I a chase series you get a win and stop. wait for the numbers and next series? Thanks again dan this is awesome...

This is just for the beginning of the season and possibly after the all-star break if you choose. Once a team hits their over, they are done.

I tested something last year and will again this year for betting O/U on a specific 3-4 game series. I track each team's home/away O/U and try to play matchups when an away team and a home team "match up" as far as both hit a certain % O or U. For example, play the CWS at SEA Under for a 3 game chase if CWS have 54% Under on the road and Sea 54% Under at home. I track for April and start in May. Lowering my % qualifier by 1% each month stopping at 50% in Sept. My test last year was strict Martingale for a 3 game chase, not increasing the unit bets during the year. Was up 108.88 units. Chase system went 208 - 13 with 2 of the losses only being 2 games. Would like to try it 1 more year before betting for real.

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#59
Posted: 3/19/2013 9:45:57 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by ERBATIZ:

ok,,maybe this is stupid but i need to know,, ok there are 31 teams,, ok so ,,ex..nyy vs boston  the game goes over,,wich team gets the over ,thanks  i just want to be sure LOL

31 teams? Did I miss one? Anyway, play each team at the start of the season to get one over. Say your unit bet is $10, you'd bet to win $20 on the NY/Bos over. If it hits, you are done with both teams. If it loses, bet to win $20 plus what you lost on the last bet.

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#60
Posted: 3/19/2013 11:39:11 PM
Dan, I like your system. The only thing is too much money involve and most books limit to 500 max. I might go with $10 for the first bet. Hope you go 30-0. GL  
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#61
Posted: 3/20/2013 1:30:13 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by hyvong:

Dan, I like your system. The only thing is too much money involve and most books limit to 500 max. I might go with $10 for the first bet. Hope you go 30-0. GL  

That's what I'm doing. I can see being up less than $300 and stopping the chase instead of risking too much. We shall see in less than 2 weeks!

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ERBATIZ send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#62
Posted: 3/20/2013 5:32:40 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Danrules24:

31 teams? Did I miss one? Anyway, play each team at the start of the season to get one over. Say your unit bet is $10, you'd bet to win $20 on the NY/Bos over. If it hits, you are done with both teams. If it loses, bet to win $20 plus what you lost on the last bet.

thanks man, now is clear
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#63
Posted: 3/20/2013 10:30:49 PM
30 teams finger mistake
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#64
Posted: 3/23/2013 9:33:05 PM
Looks good. Going to try it this year.
Has anybody made a nice little spreadsheet for tracking this yet?
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jaime2309
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#65
Posted: 4/1/2013 10:35:44 AM
Anyone trying this out?
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#66
Posted: 4/1/2013 11:21:29 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by jaime2309:

Anyone trying this out?

I am. Up 2 units after last night's Over. Bet every game over today to win 2 units (1 unit per team). If a game was +Odss for the over, I bet 2 units to win 2+ units.

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#67
Posted: 4/1/2013 11:48:09 AM

I'm going to give this a shot too.  Missed last night's game with Easter and family obligations.  Bet all the overs today.

Dan, I am thinking of using your double dip concept here as well.  All the overs that hit today, I am going to be betting unders on the next game until that hits. 

Good luck everyone!

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#68
Posted: 4/1/2013 12:02:50 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by SweetDickWormy:

I'm going to give this a shot too.  Missed last night's game with Easter and family obligations.  Bet all the overs today.

Dan, I am thinking of using your double dip concept here as well.  All the overs that hit today, I am going to be betting unders on the next game until that hits. 

Good luck everyone!

I'm doing just the overs and if I'm up a decent number of units I'll probably bail on chasing for 5 or 6 games if there are only a couple teams left.

BOL on the douple dip.

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#69
Posted: 4/1/2013 12:10:57 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Danrules24:

I'm doing just the overs and if I'm up a decent number of units I'll probably bail on chasing for 5 or 6 games if there are only a couple teams left.

BOL on the douple dip.

I'm doing it also and had the same thought re: chasing the few remaining teams. good luck

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#70
Posted: 4/1/2013 12:34:23 PM
Lots of games today...GL all.
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#71
Posted: 4/2/2013 4:16:11 AM
Bad start for those doing this. 4-8 on the "A" games so far, with a bad beat on the Philly-Atl game. Game goes over, but you can't collect because it only went 5 innings. This was my biggest concern with trying to chase so many games at once. A bad start and you're using a ton of bankroll hoping everything works out. Too early in the season to risk this much all at once, IMO. Hopefully, it will work out for those who are doing this full scale.
Posted using a mobile device.
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#72
Posted: 4/2/2013 4:40:09 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by bruin95:

Bad start for those doing this. 4-8 on the "A" games so far, with a bad beat on the Philly-Atl game. Game goes over, but you can't collect because it only went 5 innings. This was my biggest concern with trying to chase so many games at once. A bad start and you're using a ton of bankroll hoping everything works out. Too early in the season to risk this much all at once, IMO. Hopefully, it will work out for those who are doing this full scale.

 

sorry, my bad.  Thought Philly game only went 5 innings.  Last time I trust the Yahoo scoreboard, lol!  Current record stands at 5-8.

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#73
Posted: 4/3/2013 8:00:59 PM
The system is not good so far this year. I am gonna take a loss and try something else. GL 
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Danrules24 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Station |
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#74
Posted: 4/3/2013 8:04:17 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by hyvong:

The system is not good so far this year. I am gonna take a loss and try something else. GL 

 

I might be joining you. Depends on the rest of today's action.

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#75
Posted: 4/3/2013 8:25:31 PM
Dan, it is something very weird if you look at the score board now. The 3 lowest scoring points are the three g2 that we are betting over. In the fifth and was 0-0, pit 2-0, and tor 1-1. 
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