Messages

Forum Index : Systems & Strategies : Messages Page 1 of 2  1 2  
Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: NBA Homestand system
Kalmerandy1582 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
Kalmerandy1582
Participation Meter
Prospect
Joined: Feb 2012
Posts: 9
Location:
#1
Posted: 11/2/2012 9:16:55 PM
#7
Posted: 11/2/2012 9:14:36 PM
I developed a system that went undefeated last year. It's a chase system....anytime a teams plays 3 or more games in a row at home, you bet that during that home stand, they will cover at least one of the halves...


2-0 spurs yesterday and thunder tonight 

quote
Kalmerandy1582 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
Kalmerandy1582
Participation Meter
Prospect
Joined: Feb 2012
Posts: 9
Location:
#2
Posted: 11/3/2012 12:21:35 AM
YTD 2-0

Saturday 
A bet Miami 1st half
A bet bulls 1st half
A bet Dallas 1st half
A bet Clippers 1st half


If any of these teams fail to cover 1st half, proceed to bet B for second half
quote
jv040 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
jv040
Participation Meter
Banned
Joined: Jan 2009
Posts: 1479
Location: United States
#3
Posted: 11/3/2012 11:10:50 AM
how many bets went past D bet last year?

;;

there's a road system  for halves bet against the road team that work pretty well.


quote
jaime2309
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
jaime2309
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Jan 2011
Posts: 1784
Location: California
#4
Posted: 11/3/2012 5:07:02 PM
Whats the road system? 

Sounds interesting if it works. I know you say undefeated but what was the record break down? If the majority are within c games this may be nice. Im going to check.

quote
Riceboi send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes |
Riceboi
Participation Meter
Captain
Joined: Feb 2011
Posts: 5371
Location:
#5
Posted: 11/3/2012 6:00:32 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Kalmerandy1582:

#7
Posted: 11/2/2012 9:14:36 PM
I developed a system that went undefeated last year. It's a chase system....anytime a teams plays 3 or more games in a row at home, you bet that during that home stand, they will cover at least one of the halves...


2-0 spurs yesterday and thunder tonight 

Do you only play teams that are considered good? I wouldn't feel comfortable chasing bobcats or another crappy team.
quote
jv040 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
jv040
Participation Meter
Banned
Joined: Jan 2009
Posts: 1479
Location: United States
#6
Posted: 11/3/2012 6:01:03 PM
take rd teams of 2 games or more.  bet the 1st and 2nd half of the of the first game on the home side if those don't come in then bet the 1st half against the 2nd game on rd on home side.  this is one way to play and there will be a few C bet losses.

2nd way to play is to wait till first half loses then take second half of the road game and make that the A bet. bet on the home team to win if that loses then bet B bet 2nd game 1st half on home side if that loses then C bet would be the 2nd half of of the 2nd game on home team.

third way to play is to wait till first and second half lose on at home then bet the first half of the second game. bet A and bet the second half of home team second game. there's around 50 plays this way.

theres very few home teams that don't cover. all 4 halfs this way
quote
jaime2309
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
jaime2309
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Jan 2011
Posts: 1784
Location: California
#7
Posted: 11/3/2012 7:41:02 PM
I was just checking a few teams from last year and even teams like detroit won in this homestand system. Ill be done with full season by tonight, but I like the results so far.
Posted using a mobile device.
quote
jv040 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
jv040
Participation Meter
Banned
Joined: Jan 2009
Posts: 1479
Location: United States
#8
Posted: 11/3/2012 8:09:23 PM
I picked the road system a few years ago. haven't played it much but I do know the first 2 home games win about 85% of the time. I will post and keep track of it in another thread.
quote
jv040 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
jv040
Participation Meter
Banned
Joined: Jan 2009
Posts: 1479
Location: United States
#9
Posted: 11/3/2012 8:10:21 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by jaime2309:

I was just checking a few teams from last year and even teams like detroit won in this homestand system. Ill be done with full season by tonight, but I like the results so far.


witch one are you checking on his or mine.
quote
jv040 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
jv040
Participation Meter
Banned
Joined: Jan 2009
Posts: 1479
Location: United States
#10
Posted: 11/3/2012 10:13:51 PM
for your system your talking a six game chase. I would never chase 6 games.
quote
Kalmerandy1582 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
Kalmerandy1582
Participation Meter
Prospect
Joined: Feb 2012
Posts: 9
Location:
#11
Posted: 11/4/2012 3:22:14 AM
3-0 YTD

C bet Miami 
C bet Lac
C bet bulls

I play ALL teams... Good and bad
quote
jaime2309
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
jaime2309
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Jan 2011
Posts: 1784
Location: California
#12
Posted: 11/4/2012 1:07:33 PM
6 games is too much in my opinion as well. So far last night from last years results. Havent finished yet, saturday and sunday with the family. This is what I have so far after checking the below teams:

boston
nets
knicks
philly 
toronto
chicago
cleveland 
detroit
pacers milwaukee

game a:  24-14 63%
game b: 8-5 62 %
game c: 3-2 60%
game d: 2-0 100 %

So far no games after d which is good because it would only be  a four game chase.

quote
stickbit send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
stickbit
Participation Meter
Prospect
Joined: Jan 2008
Posts: 354
Location:
#13
Posted: 11/4/2012 1:19:24 PM
or you can start on the 'c' bet and do a 3 gm chase?  less games and profits but safer?
quote
Kalmerandy1582 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
Kalmerandy1582
Participation Meter
Prospect
Joined: Feb 2012
Posts: 9
Location:
#14
Posted: 11/4/2012 5:03:22 PM
I have done the road system and it was profitable, and from that system I developed this Homestand system....I do 6 game chase (3 full games)
quote
jaime2309
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
jaime2309
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Jan 2011
Posts: 1784
Location: California
#15
Posted: 11/4/2012 5:21:36 PM
If you start at the c game, you miss a lot of the first two game winners. Im starting to see that maybe only playing top teams. Charlotte last year had a game that went to game D. Im not sure I would be willing to lay that much on a team like the cats.
Posted using a mobile device.
quote
jaime2309
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
jaime2309
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Jan 2011
Posts: 1784
Location: California
#16
Posted: 11/5/2012 2:08:32 AM
allright guys, im not taking over this thread but i was intrigued by this system and this is what i came up with from last years season....

game a: 66-57 54%
game b: 30-27 53%
game c: 20-10 67%
game d: 6-4 60%

Chasing after a D game loss is not a profitable way IMO. If you were only laying $10 a unit you would have profited $ 527 counting juice. Pretty good. I'm going to give it a go as well.
quote
jv040 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
jv040
Participation Meter
Banned
Joined: Jan 2009
Posts: 1479
Location: United States
#17
Posted: 11/5/2012 7:41:08 AM
I'm playing against rd teams this year playing  all 4 halfs till a win but playing a one line labby. it's working out ok.
quote
Kalmerandy1582 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
Kalmerandy1582
Participation Meter
Prospect
Joined: Feb 2012
Posts: 9
Location:
#18
Posted: 11/5/2012 10:34:59 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by jaime2309:

allright guys, im not taking over this thread but i was intrigued by this system and this is what i came up with from last years season....

game a: 66-57 54%
game b: 30-27 53%
game c: 20-10 67%
game d: 6-4 60%

Chasing after a D game loss is not a profitable way IMO. If you were only laying $10 a unit you would have profited $ 527 counting juice. Pretty good. I'm going to give it a go as well.


That is why I posted my system... To get feedback. So you are suggesting doing a 4 game chase as opposed to my 6 game chase and we will still generate a nice return correct?
quote
jaime2309
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
jaime2309
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Jan 2011
Posts: 1784
Location: California
#19
Posted: 11/5/2012 11:44:01 AM

I'm sticking with a 4 game chase. I think post-all star break we should minimize the teams and be a bit more selective to avoid the c & d games.

 

This is what I'm playing today:

 

Miami (This is a c game from the first posts, but since I did not bet this first two games, this will be "A" game for me.)

Sacramento : (A )

Clippers : (This is a C game as well, but "a" game for me for the same reason).

 

quote
jaime2309
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
jaime2309
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Jan 2011
Posts: 1784
Location: California
#20
Posted: 11/5/2012 11:59:15 AM
*Miami -7, If this line moves, it wont go down, so I'm taking it now at 7.
*Sacramento -1.
*Clippers -6.

All "A" games for me.

2012 YTD

A game: 0-0
B game: 0-0
C game: 0-0
D game: 0-0
quote
ERBATIZ send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
ERBATIZ
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: May 2008
Posts: 2121
Location: Texas
#21
Posted: 11/5/2012 12:26:23 PM
quote
jaime2309
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
jaime2309
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Jan 2011
Posts: 1784
Location: California
#22
Posted: 11/5/2012 4:57:47 PM

I started looking back at another season and so far not so good. The A and B games were under 50%, but the C & D games were over 60%. The plays i took tonight are in, so thats that. I think I may keep track of just the C & D games. It's like the post above said there may be less money made but less risk involved as well. I dont know about you guys but I rather risk my roll on a system that is 60% and up then something in the 50% range.

Tonight Miami and Clippers would fall into that C range category anyway, so I will chase if they lose the first half. As for the Kings, I will have to see how it goes. More research is needed with this sytem.

Also, two years ago a team like the Celtics who were a top ten team two years ago, were horrible in the first A&B game sets. They would rebound in C & D well. Like I said before, more research before I fully jump into this. Good luck everyone.

quote
Air1 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
Air1
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: Mar 2011
Posts: 907
Location: United States
#23
Posted: 11/5/2012 5:08:42 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by ERBATIZ:


System sounds similar to another one, don't you agree?
quote
jaime2309
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
jaime2309
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Jan 2011
Posts: 1784
Location: California
#24
Posted: 11/5/2012 7:39:57 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by Air1:


System sounds similar to another one, don't you agree?

 

Which one?

quote
jaime2309
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
jaime2309
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Jan 2011
Posts: 1784
Location: California
#25
Posted: 11/5/2012 8:53:31 PM
Miami winner
Posted using a mobile device.
quote
Forum Index : Systems & Strategies : Messages Page 1 of 2  1 2  
You have entered the forum as a GUEST. 
You must login/register to post or reply.