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Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: ATS system plays
jonnymega send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#51
Posted: 9/17/2012 4:42:36 PM
9/17

Overall Rec: 41-51-3, -15.1u
NCAAF Rec: 14-20-2, -8u
WNBA Rec: 18-25, -9.5u
NFL Rec: 9-6-1, +2.4u
playbook


5-6-1 overall, yesterday.

Today's Play:

WNBA
MIN +5






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#52
Posted: 9/18/2012 11:28:23 AM
9/18

Overall Rec: 42-51-3, -14.1u
NCAAF Rec: 14-20-2, -8u
WNBA Rec: 19-25, -8.5u
NFL Rec: 9-6-1, +2.4u
playbook


1-0 last night and it was actually -5, not +5. The system calls for a double-unit play on LA tonight to beat PHX by 20.5 points tonight. Yeah, good luck with that.


Today's Play:

WNBA
LA -20.5 (PHX) (2u)



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#53
Posted: 9/18/2012 11:54:01 AM
sorry about all the typos and stuff - trying to do this at work.

Just a quick note to say the NBA and NCAA BB plays are coming up. The NBA will follow 6 teams according to wins and losses while the NCAA BB plays will follow 14. As you can see, there will be a large amount of plays so get ready for that. I'll try to map out a tentative schedule in the playbook when I can.



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#54
Posted: 9/18/2012 12:35:38 PM
Took your spreadsheet and separated the results for good teams and bad teams.
Here's what I got:

on good teams 19-27 -10.7 betting other way +6.1

against bad teams 23-24 -3.4 betting other way -1.3

when a good team plays a bad team the good team is 0-5 -5.5 betting bad team +5

Taking out the 5 games with both teams:
on good teams 19-22 -5.2 other way +1.1

against bad teams 23-19 +2.1 other way -6.3

fading all good teams and fading bad teams except when they're playing a good team is 50-38 +8.2.   56.8%

Copy of Playbook
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#55
Posted: 9/18/2012 6:55:27 PM
Nice job, Burchar! I like those interpretations. I will certainly be keeping an eye on this.


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#56
Posted: 9/19/2012 8:42:55 AM
9/19

Overall Rec: 44-51-3, -12.1u
NCAAF Rec: 14-20-2, -8u
WNBA Rec: 21-25, -6.5u
NFL Rec: 9-6-1, +2.4u
playbook



2-0 last night with that win by the Sparks. There are two plays tonight with a play on CONN and a NCAAF play on KENST, which is actually a fade on BUF.

Today's Plays:


WNBA
CONN -5

NCAAF
KENST +3.5 (BUF)






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#57
Posted: 9/20/2012 9:51:42 AM
9/20

Overall Rec: 46-51-3, -10.1u
NCAAF Rec: 15-20-2, -7u
WNBA Rec: 22-25, -5.5u
NFL Rec: 9-6-1, +2.4u
playbook


2-0 again last night. Just one play for this evening. This is the last week on WNBA since the season is ending. Still not sure about the playoffs but the final WNBA regular season play will be on Sunday.



Today's Plays:


WNBA
NY -5.5 (TUL)



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#58
Posted: 9/21/2012 1:34:11 PM
9/21

Overall Rec: 46-52-3, -11.2u
NCAAF Rec: 15-20-2, -7u
WNBA Rec: 22-26, -6.6u
NFL Rec: 9-6-1, +2.4u
playbook


0-1 yesterday. 3 WNBA plays today with a 2 unit play on MIN.


Today's Plays:


WNBA
IND +5 (WAS)
MIN -14 (PHO) (2u)






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#59
Posted: 9/22/2012 9:42:44 AM
9/22

Overall Rec: 49-52-3, -8.2u
NCAAF Rec: 15-20-2, -7u
WNBA Rec: 25-26, -3.6u
NFL Rec: 9-6-1, +2.4u
playbook



3-0 yesterday. God bless those ladies of the WNBA. Today offers a full NCAAF card and 2 WNBA plays. Note that OHIST is a 2u play since their opponent, UAB is also a fade. You can find rotation numbers in the playbook if you need them. The system's NCAAF picks are due bigtime so let's effing nail this today!






Today's Plays:

NCAAF
OHIST -35.5
OHIST -35.5 (UAB)
WISC -17.5 (UTEP)
IOWA -14.5 (CMICH)
MARSH -3 (RICE)
ALAB -48.5
USC -15
LSU -20.5
NOTEX +1.5 (TROY)
MICH +6
OKL -16
AIRFC -10.5 (UNLV)
NEV -7 (HAW)
ORE -21

WNBA
CHI -10.5 (WAS)
NY -6 (TUL)





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#60
Posted: 9/23/2012 11:39:29 AM
9/23

Overall Rec: 53-62-5, -15.2u
NCAAF Rec: 17-30-4, -16u
WNBA Rec: 25-26, -1.6u
NFL Rec: 9-6-1, +2.4u
playbook


Brutal day yesterday going 4-10-2. Last day on WNBA.



Today's Plays:


NFL
SF -6.5
BUF -3 (CLE)
IND -3 (JAX)
PIT -3.5 (OAK)
HOU -1
ATL +3
PHI -3
NO -9 (KC)

WNBA
SEA -8 (PHX)
MIN -1.5
CONN -4.5
IND -6 (TUL)


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#61
Posted: 9/23/2012 3:14:44 PM
You might want to double check the Nevada game.
I've got them winning by 45 yesterday.
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#62
Posted: 9/23/2012 10:07:16 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by burchar:

You might want to double check the Nevada game.
I've got them winning by 45 yesterday.




thanks for the back up. I adjusted the playbook.


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#63
Posted: 9/24/2012 11:01:04 AM
9/24

Overall Rec: 61-67-4, -12.7u
NCAAF Rec: 18-30-3, -15u
WNBA Rec: 30-27, +.3u
NFL Rec: 13-10-1, +2u
playbook


7-5 yesterday.
We finished the WNBA last night with a record of 30-27 for +.3 units to end the season with a positive record. Those following the system may recall the huge dive the nags took about 2 weeks ago and had to come back from an 11-21 record to finish above the .500 mark. Well done, ladies. I give you props.




We also split the NFL yesterday going 4-4 and losing about half a unit, so that record remains above .500 going into week 4. As for the NCAAF plays, they are a miserable 18-30-3 for -15 units. I fully expect that record to turn around after a few weeks but for now it kinda sucks. Whatever. Just remember that this system is more of an investment than a cash cow. We're okay if the units trickle in at an uneven pace... just as long as they keep trickling in. Practically all of our NCAAF teams will even out and eventually break .500 so it's all good.


With the WNBA gone, the majority of the plays for this system are now on the weekends since we are only playing the NFL and NCAAF. In late October we start BB.


I think our next play is Friday when we fade HAW. Until then, we just chill....







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#64
Posted: 9/28/2012 2:41:49 PM
9/24

Overall Rec: 60-68-4, -14.8u
NCAAF Rec: 18-30-3, -15u
WNBA Rec: 30-27, +.3u
NFL Rec: 12-11-1, -.1u
playbook


Alright...
We're back for the wkend. Just one play today which is a fade on HAW.


Today's Play:

NCAAF
BYU -25.5 (HAW)





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#65
Posted: 9/28/2012 3:20:56 PM
Sorry if this has already been explained, but you bet against the Browns on Sunday. 
Is there any reason you passed on their opponent Thursday night?
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#66
Posted: 9/28/2012 6:29:19 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by burchar:

Sorry if this has already been explained, but you bet against the Browns on Sunday. 
Is there any reason you passed on their opponent Thursday night?



yeah... I totally missed that play. CLE most def should've been a play. Good thing we missed it I guess. We'll still play 4 bottom teams this Sunday along with a top 4. Right now it looks like ARI, HOU, ATL and SF are the top 4 while NO, MIA, JAX and IND are the bottom 4. These may change once I look closer at the matchups for the 1-2 teams and the 2-1 teams since we only want the ones with the best chances to win SU. But the 3-0 teams and 0-3 NO are locked in.

As far as NCAAF goes, our teams still are and always will be USC, LSU, ALAB, ORE, OKL, OHIST, and MICH, while our fades are (UTEP), (UAB), (RICE), (HAW), (TROY), (CMICH), (UNLV) and (BUF). I know that's 15 teams and I said 14 but a UNLV fade slipped in during week 1 and we just kept them in the pool. 12 are playing this weekend -  11 on Sat and 1 tonight.





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#67
Posted: 9/29/2012 11:05:39 AM
9/29

Overall Rec: 61-68-4, -13.8u
NCAAF Rec: 19-30-3, -14u
WNBA Rec: 30-27, +.3u
NFL Rec: 12-11-1, -.1u
playbook


1-0 last night. Today's card has 11 plays. A lot of these lines are moving in our favor so some of these may change a little, but for the most part, this is what we've got today. You can refer to the playbook for the final, most up to date plays throughout the day. The plays below are listed in order of game-time starting with CONN at 12:00 EST.


Today's Plays:


NCAAF
CONN -16.5 (BUF)
TULSA -14.5 (UAB)
NOILL -9.5 (CMICH)
OHIST +2.5
HOU -7.5 (RICE)
SALB +8.5 (TROY)
ECAR -4 (UTEP)
LSU -43
UTAST -20.5  (UNLV)
ALAB -30
ORE -30.5




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#68
Posted: 9/30/2012 10:09:13 AM
9/30

Overall Rec: 66-74-4, -15.4u
NCAAF Rec: 24-36-3, -15.6u
NFL Rec: 12-11-1, -.1u
WNBA Rec: 30-27, +.3u
playbook



5-6 yesterday in NCAAF, 6-6 overall for the week 5 games. Today, in the NFL, the system has two 2-unit plays since two of the top 4 teams are playing fades.


Today's Plays:

NFL
HOU -11.5
ATL -7
CIN +1 (JAX)
DEN -7 (OAK)
GB -9 (NO) (2u)
ARI -4.5 (MIA) (2u)






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#69
Posted: 10/4/2012 2:50:55 PM
10/04

Overall Rec: 69-79-4, -17.9u
NCAAF Rec: 24-36-3, -15.6u
NFL Rec: 15-16-1, -.2.6u
WNBA Rec: 30-27, +.3u




Today's Plays:

NCAAF
USC -14


NFL
ARI -1



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#70
Posted: 10/6/2012 10:46:51 AM
10/06

Overall Rec: 69-81-4, -21.1u
NCAAF Rec: 24-37-3, -16.7u
NFL Rec: 15-17-1, -3.7u
WNBA Rec: 30-27, +.3u



0-2 on Thursday's plays.

Today's Plays:

NCAAF
LSU -2.5
ORE -24
OKL -4
OHIST -3
MICH -3
SMU +3 (UTEP)
SELA +18.5 (UAB)
MEM -+5.5 (RICE)
SDST -21.5 (HAW)
TOL -11 (CMICH)
OHI -14 (BUF)
LTECH -27.5 (UNLV)






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#71
Posted: 10/7/2012 10:08:40 AM
10/07

Overall Rec: 77-85-4, -16.5u
NCAAF Rec: 32-41-3, -13.1u
NFL Rec: 15-17-1, -3.7u
WNBA Rec: 30-27, +.3u


8-4 yesterday. We've got 6 NFL plays this afternoon. HOU will be a play tomorrow night to finish out our 8 NFL plays for the weekend (ARI last thurs).


Today's Plays:


NFL
ATL -2.5
BAL -6.5
SD +4 (NO)
NYG -7.5 (CLE)
GB -6.5 (IND)
CHI -5.5 (JAX)





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#72
Posted: 10/8/2012 4:16:25 PM
10/08

Overall Rec: 80-88-4, -16.8u
NCAAF Rec: 32-41-3, -13.1u
NFL Rec: 18-20-1, -4u
WNBA Rec: 30-27, +.3u



3-3 with yesterday's system plays. The next games after tonight's HOU play are on Thurs.


Today's Plays:


NFL
HOU -9






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#73
Posted: 10/11/2012 4:25:24 PM
10/11

Overall Rec: 80-89-4, -17.9u
NCAAF Rec: 32-41-3, -13.1u
NFL Rec: 18-21-1, -5.1u
WNBA Rec: 30-27, +.3u


HOU lost Monday night to complete last weekends games. The NCAAF plays went 8-5 and the NFL plays were 3-5. Tonight, the system has 3 plays.


NCAAF
WKEN -1 (TROY)
TULSA -17 (UTEP)


NFL
PIT -6 (TEN)



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#74
Posted: 10/12/2012 12:48:51 PM
10/12

Overall Rec: 82-90-4, -17u
NCAAF Rec: 34-41-3, -11.1u
NFL Rec: 18-22-1, -6.2u
WNBA Rec: 30-27, +.3u



2-1 last night. There's one NCAA play for tonight.


Today's Play:


NCAFF
NAVY +2 (CMICH)



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#75
Posted: 10/13/2012 10:52:09 AM
10/13

Overall Rec: 83-90-4, -16u
NCAAF Rec: 35-41-3, -10.1u
NFL Rec: 18-22-1, -6.2u
WNBA Rec: 30-27, +.3u


1-0 last night with the NAVY win. Today offers a full card of games.



Today's Plays:

NCAAF
OKL -3
NOILL -14 (BUF)
HOU -13.5 (UAB)
MICH -25
USC -13
ALAB -21.5
LSU -2.5
OHIST -17.5
TXSA +2.5 (RICE)
NEV -11 (UNLV)
NMEX -2 (HAW)





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