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Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: Streak Strategies
Burly send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Pinnacle Sports |
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#51
Posted: 1/17/2012 2:36:49 PM

also think there might be a way to filter using the last 10 games instead of bottom 3 teams but gotta back check it.

and looked into the chase and if we were to do a chase it would only be A and B because after that a team would be on a streak again, and from what ive seen the chase would not be 100% successful but could add a few more wins in the long run, but i will post more info on this when i know.

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#52
Posted: 1/18/2012 10:58:57 AM
Thanks for all of your work Burly.
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#53
Posted: 1/18/2012 9:05:19 PM

sorry late to get to a computer today but im a quarter way through looking at how the last 10 filter would help this system and so far it would be 7-1 ( with a chase 8-0).

this way also had two losses but they were before 10 games were played by all teams so in coming years might have to be cafeful, both teams were top 2 but im trying to see if we can just use the last 10 instead of what i have set up now.

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#54
Posted: 1/18/2012 9:09:45 PM

in the meantime til i have completely back checked i am still gonna use the last 10 as a filter, with already seeing today WAS who ended their streak beating MTL ( MTL last 10 4-5-1).

NAS also ended a streak but CLB is under .500 in their last 10 (4-5-1) so they will not be a play either.

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#55
Posted: 1/18/2012 9:24:11 PM

so to put it all together

so far ive backchecked 19 unfiltered plays,

with no filter: 11-8

with last 10 filter: 7-1 ( 8-0 with one game chase )

thanks for being patient everyone im back from my holidays tomorrow so ill have a few days to get through the whole league.

Like how its looking so far tho

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#56
Posted: 1/21/2012 12:06:20 PM

here are the final numbers for the last 10 filter

for this filter the team that is playing against the team that ended their streak must have a record above .500 to be a play.

with no filter: 46-33

with last 10 filter: 23 A game wins, 10 one game chase wins, 2 losses A+B games.

still not satified with the losses so im seeing if using the streak team last 10 can eliminate the losses, it will also take out some of the wins but i want perfection.

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#57
Posted: 1/21/2012 12:12:14 PM

and this is late to post but todays play:

with last 10 filter: PHI ( 6-4 Last 10) ( NJ ended streak )

with past filters: PHI ( NJ ended streak )

Teams on streaks: PIT, CHI, DET, STL, ANA

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#58
Posted: 1/21/2012 4:12:27 PM
PHI
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#59
Posted: 1/23/2012 11:44:44 PM
alright so with back checking the streak team last 10 filtering, i found that if teams have 1 or less regulation losses we will not bet against them, i also believe that using the last 10 filter on the team that is playing the team that ended their streak the other filters are not needed, the only one that maybe have to be used is the back to back filter, but in the back checking it was not an issue.
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#60
Posted: 1/23/2012 11:52:11 PM

so heres what the plays would be using new filters

TOR (6-4) ( NYI (5-5) ended streak )

NAS (8-2) ( CHI (5-3-2) ended streak )

PIT will not be a play against STL as STL is 8-1-1 in last 10

also these plays are the first trial will new filter so be careful if you trail them, and keep in mind their is a AB chase with this system now. 

Teams on streaks: DET, PIT, TB, NAS, ANA

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#61
Posted: 1/24/2012 12:24:38 PM
Awesome work, thank you again Burly!
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#62
Posted: 1/28/2012 12:27:53 AM

thanks tehskylark

NSH

TOR

26A-10B-1A+B L ( with filter of dont bet against 1 regulation in last 10 only one chase loss )

Upcoming plays:

Jan 31

CAL (5-4-1) ( DET (8-2) ended streak )

PHO is not a play as they are (3-3-4) ANA is also (8-1-1)

Teams on streaks: PIT, TB, NSH

 

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#63
Posted: 1/31/2012 12:15:03 PM
I'm hesitant to play on today's pick due to the fact that we're coming off of the All-Star break. Don't you think the break would help these teams "forget" their recent loss?
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#64
Posted: 1/31/2012 1:35:19 PM

its hard to say, det loss was brutal, and they are not the same team on the road.

 

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#65
Posted: 2/1/2012 12:21:38 AM

well I was wrong

CAL

CHASE IS ON AGAINST DET

FEB 2: VAN B PLAY

 

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#66
Posted: 2/3/2012 1:46:06 AM

VAN

only the second chase loss, but if we up the filter of dont play against 1 regulation loss, to dont play if win total more than losses x2, it will cut down plays again but increase win percentage, I will post all possible plays either way

Lots of plays for feb 4 will post later

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#67
Posted: 2/3/2012 3:37:56 PM

Feb 4

FLA (3-3-4) no play against TB

STL (7-1-2) (NSH (8-2) ended streak) nash wins more than losses x2 so careful with this play

COL (3-6-1) no play against VAN

Teams on streaks: SJ

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#68
Posted: 2/3/2012 5:34:47 PM

one more play

Feb 4

BOS (5-4-1) (PIT (8-2) ended streak) pit win more than losses x2 careful with this play

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#69
Posted: 2/5/2012 7:46:22 AM

with both plays losing from now on ended streak team must have less wins than losses x2 to be considered a play.

If anyone wants to finish the old method

Today

Chase on Pit: Play NJ

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#70
Posted: 2/6/2012 2:36:39 PM
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#71
Posted: 2/6/2012 6:14:59 PM

Upcoming Plays

Feb 7 Chase on Nsh: Play Van (old method)

Feb 8 CGY (will post after tonights game) (SJ (5-4-1) ended streak)

Teams on streaks: EDM, NJ

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#72
Posted: 2/7/2012 12:59:41 PM

CGY LAST 10 5-3-2

so with that two plays for Feb 8th

CGY (5-3-2) (SJ (5-4-1) ended streak)

DET (7-2-1) (EDM (5-4-1) ended streak)

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#73
Posted: 2/7/2012 11:33:43 PM

NJ

VAN

I will continue to post all plays as both chases cashed

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#74
Posted: 2/9/2012 1:32:32 AM

CAL

DET

FEB 9

PHI (4-3-3) NO PLAY AGAINST TOR (6-3-1)

Teams on streaks: PHX, NJ,  

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#75
Posted: 2/9/2012 1:35:27 AM

Updated Record:

28 A wins 12 B wins 2 A+B losses

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