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[Systems & Strategies] Topic: 2011 NCAAF Strategy |
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irage |
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#351 Posted: 11/22/2011 11:06:58 PM OK so the line is at 75. The sharps are again right on the mark, if the D's step up then its a for sure UNDER, but if offenses go off this could easily go OVER. There are just too many unknowns and I am not going to force something that's just not there.
Stick with -3
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BookieCrusher88 |
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#352 Posted: 11/23/2011 1:37:20 AM Will all of those be official plays irage or will you narrow down the plays as friday comes? |
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#353 Posted: 11/23/2011 5:19:10 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by BookieCrusher88:
Will all of those be official plays irage or will you narrow down the plays as friday comes?
No, those are just plays I am looking at. I will weed those down. I've already eliminated a few of them.
I will give the final list tomorrow.
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#354 Posted: 11/23/2011 5:41:20 PM Pretty happy with the season so far. We only have a couple of weeks left and I still expect to make my goal of a 76% win ratio. I'm currently at 68.5. Notice the Texas play tonight is an unofficial play.
37 - 17 - 0 SEP 03 - Auburn -24 (H39) LOSS SEP 03 - Stanford -30 (H49) WIN SEP 03 - Ohio St -34 (H49) WIN SEP 03 - Virginia Tech -26 (H53) WIN SEP 03 - Mississippi St. -30 (V40) WIN SEP 09 - Missouri +10 - WIN SEP 09 - Stanford (V39) - WIN SEP 09 - USC -8.5 - WIN SEP 09 - N. Illinois -4 - LOSS SEP 09 - Arkansas -35.5 (V41) - WIN SEP 16 - Boise St.. -19 - WIN SEP 17 - TCU -28.5 (H58) - LOSS SEP 17 - Temple +7.5 - WIN SEP 17 - Stanford -10 - WIN SEP 23 - BYU -2.5 - WIN SEP 24 - Missouri +22 - WIN SEP 24 - Boise St OVER 61 - WIN SEP 24 - Wisconsin -35 (H62) - WIN SEP 24 - TCU -38 (H55) - WIN SEP 30 - BYU -7.5 - LOSS OCT 01 - Wisconsin -9 - WIN OCT 01 - Stanford -20 (H35) - WIN OCT 01 - TCU -11.5 - LOSS OCT 01 - Arizona +12.5 - WIN OCT 07 - Boise St -21 - WIN OCT 08 - Ohio St. +12 - WIN OCT 08 - Stanford -29.5 (H33) - WIN OCT 08 - Alabama -29 (H35) - WIN OCT 08 - Connecticut +19 - LOSS OCT 08 - San Jose St. +12 - LOSS OCT 14 - Hawaii -6 - LOSS OCT 15 - Utah St. -3 - LOSS OCT 15 - Stanford -21 (V33) - WIN OCT 15 - Iowa -6.5 - WIN OCT 15 - UTEP +1.5 - WIN OCT 20 - Arizona -4.5 - WIN OCT 22 - Nevada -10.5 - LOSS OCT 22 - UTEP -7 - WIN OCT 22 - Wisconsin -7 - LOSS OCT 26 - Connecticut +10.5 - LOSS OCT 27 - Virginia v Miami OVER 48 - WIN OCT 29 - Stanford -7.5 - WIN OCT 29 - Oklahoma St -14 - WIN OCT 03 - Boston College OVER 44 - WIN NOV 05 - SMU -25 (H27) - LOSS NOV 05 - Ohio St. -27.5 (H30) - LOSS NOV 09 - Miami Ohio OVER 44 - WIN NOV 12 - Stanford -3.5 - LOSS NOV 12 - Wisconsin -27 - WIN NOV 19 - New Mexico UNDER 50.5 - WIN NOV 19 - Arkansas OVER 53 - WIN NOV 19 - BYU -22.5 - WIN NOV 19 - Oklahoma -15.5 - LOSE NOV 19 - Stanford -18 - LOSE NOV 25 - N. Illinois -19.5 - PENDING NOV 25 - Houston -3 - PENDING NOV 25 - Iowa OVER 53.5 - PENDING
3 - 3 - 0
UNOFFICIAL PLAYS SEP 15 - Mississippi St. +3 LOSS SEP 17 - Utah +4.5 WIN SEP 24 - Utah St. -10.5 LOSS OCT 15 - Arizona St. +14.5 - WIN OCT 27 - Rice v Houston OVER 70.5 WIN NOV 03 - CFU OVER 48.5 - LOSE NOV 23 - Texas OVER 54 - PENDING |
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#355 Posted: 11/23/2011 5:43:47 PM Oh yeah, you'll notice that all of these plays are for Friday. I will have a few more for Saturday.
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ERBATIZ |
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#356 Posted: 11/23/2011 6:08:23 PM  |
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trendsetterSIA |
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#357 Posted: 11/25/2011 3:40:36 AM Irage, Do you want to sell me your system? Last four weeks, I have lost over 6k, I need help. Im willing to pay big bucks for your systems thanks. Please email me at nuxscoot@yahoo.com. Thanks |
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jkp714 |
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#358 Posted: 11/25/2011 6:01:22 AM  |
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#359 Posted: 11/25/2011 12:13:04 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by trendsetterSIA:
Irage, Do you want to sell me your system? Last four weeks, I have lost over 6k, I need help. Im willing to pay big bucks for your systems thanks. Please email me at nuxscoot@yahoo.com. Thanks
Why would you pay for something I post for free every week? Just follow the picks and you would be up 20K right now. Sounds like you need to exercise some discipline. My guess is you are randomly picking games from sports. Guessing or following people with unproven records can hurt you bad. Just remember its better to be up 1K for the week then to loose 6K.
Curious, did you bet on NFL?
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#360 Posted: 11/25/2011 3:07:52 PM Cougars  |
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#361 Posted: 11/25/2011 3:49:31 PM Houston |
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cheeersM8 |
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#362 Posted: 11/25/2011 4:22:55 PM irage - i think we all want to know how you are doing it and what limitations/filters you are using. Are you going to share? or just keep posting. I think trendsetterSIA is saying is that he you are doing so well he is scared that you may stop posting or post late that he can't get the plays. Thanks for all the postings!! |
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#363 Posted: 11/25/2011 10:30:39 PM Irage,
I'll be at the Texas Tech vs Baylor game tomorrow, any leans on that game?
BOL  |
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irage |
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#364 Posted: 11/26/2011 3:39:51 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by cheeersM8:
irage - i think we all want to know how you are doing it and what limitations/filters you are using. Are you going to share? or just keep posting. I think trendsetterSIA is saying is that he you are doing so well he is scared that you may stop posting or post late that he can't get the plays. Thanks for all the postings!!
I've mentioned this several times, the formula I used can not easily be translated into an easy to follow plan. I look for mis-matches at the player level, how a team is playing whether they are winning or losing, gut instinct, reading periodicals such as local papers that often have the inside scoop on injuries and many other intangibles. Honestly, I have been analyzing college games for many years and I am just locking in on a successful seasons. This has been a very good year.
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#365 Posted: 11/26/2011 3:54:00 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by skew8: Irage,
I'll be at the Texas Tech vs Baylor game tomorrow, any leans on that game?
BOL 
So I called a co-worker of mine that is a Raider Alumn and we discussed this game. We both feel the value is on the Raiders. They are giving 13.5 and both think they push Baylor to maybe a TD if they don't win outright. The O/U in this game is tight, we both think that 61-65 should be expected, but there is a strong possibility of an OT game which could push the game over. Don't think the O/U is worth any risk, but I seriously thinking about making the +13.5 an official play.
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#366 Posted: 11/26/2011 4:12:02 AM 1 - 2 this week so far. N. Illinois should have easily covered today and they were on their way and then backed off. Iowa I just flat out got wrong. Sometimes the D's step it up.
These are the games I am focusing on for tomorrow. Texas Tech is official, but the rest I will decide on in the morning. Stanford has lost confidence since that USC game and ND could easily upset them, plus I have a rule about take 2 ranked teams. So I will probably drop that game. Nevada is a strong pick. UTST has got 2 wins and playing great ball. There record is deceiving, but the Pack can move the ball and score points. This is another situation where all the pressure is on one team UTST to not mistakes. if they do Nevada will capitalize and I think that's what will happen and with only 1 pt to give, I'm willing to risk it.
Texas Tech +13.5 Nevada +1.5 Mississippi +17 Stanford -7
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#367 Posted: 11/26/2011 6:36:34 AM I made money 1unit N.Illinois ,1 Iowa-over ,1col , 5 units houston, |
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#368 Posted: 11/26/2011 6:47:24 AM Col |
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#369 Posted: 11/26/2011 7:18:23 AM Thx for your time and work bro. final card for sat.  |
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#370 Posted: 11/26/2011 11:30:03 AM http://www.marshu.com/articles/calculate-percent-with-simple-number-percentage-calculator.php
38 - 19 - 0
Sept 03 - Auburn -24 (H39) LOSS Sept 03 - Stanford -30 (H49) WIN Sept 03 - Ohio St -34 (H49) WIN Sept 03 - Virginia Tech -26 (H53) WIN Sept 03 - Mississippi St. -30 (V40) WIN Sept 09 - Missouri +10 - WIN Sept 09 - Stanford (V39) - WIN Sept 09 - USC -8.5 - WIN Sept 09 - N. Illinois -4 - LOSS Sept 09 - Arkansas -35.5 (V41) - WIN Sept 16 - Boise St.. -19 - WIN Sept 17 - TCU -28.5 (H58) - LOSS Sept 17 - Temple +7.5 - WIN Sept 17 - Stanford -10 - WIN Sept 23 - BYU -2.5 - WIN Sept 24 - Missouri +22 - WIN Sept 24 - Boise St OVER 61 - WIN Sept 24 - Wisconsin -35 (H62) - WIN Sept 24 - TCU -38 (H55) - WIN Sept 30 - BYU -7.5 - LOSS Oct 01 - Wisconsin -9 - WIN Oct 01 - Stanford -20 (H35) - WIN Oct 01 - TCU -11.5 - LOSS Oct 01 - Arizona +12.5 - WIN Oct 07 - Boise St -21 - WIN Oct 08 - Ohio St. +12 - WIN Oct 08 - Stanford -29.5 (H33) - WIN Oct 08 - Alabama -29 (H35) - WIN Oct 08 - Connecticut +19 - LOSS Oct 08 - San Jose St. +12 - LOSS Oct 14 - Hawaii -6 - LOSS Oct 15 - Utah St. -3 - LOSS Oct 15 - Stanford -21 (V33) - WIN Oct 15 - Iowa -6.5 - WIN Oct 15 - UTEP +1.5 - WIN Oct 20 - Arizona -4.5 - WIN Oct 22 - Nevada -10.5 - LOSS Oct 22 - UTEP -7 - WIN Oct 22 - Wisconsin -7 - LOSS Oct 26 - Connecticut +10.5 - LOSS Oct 27 - Virginia v Miami OVER 48 - WIN Oct 29 - Stanford -7.5 - WIN Oct 29 - Oklahoma St -14 - WIN Nov 3 - Boston College OVER 44 - WIN Nov 5 - SMU -25 (H27) - LOSS Nov 5 - Ohio St. -27.5 (H30) - LOSS Nov 9 - Miami Ohio OVER 44 - WIN Nov 12 - Stanford -3.5 - LOSS Nov 12 - Wisconsin -27 - WIN Nov 19 - New Mexico UNDER 50.5 - WIN Nov 19 - Arkansas OVER 53 - WIN Nov 19 - BYU -22.5 - WIN Nov 19 - Oklahoma -15.5 - LOSE Nov 19 - Stanford -18 - LOSE Nov 25 - N. Illinois -19.5 - LOSE Nov 25 - Houston -3 - WIN Nov 25 - Iowa OVER 53.5 - LOSE Nov 26 - Texas Tech +13.5 - PENDING Nov 26 - Nevada +1.5 - PENDING Nov 26 - Mississippi +17 - PENDING
3 - 4 - 0
UNOFFICIAL PLAYS Sept 15 - Mississippi St. +3 LOSS Sept 17 - Utah +4.5 WIN Sept 24 - Utah St. -10.5 LOSS Oct 15 - Arizona St. +14.5 - WIN Oct 27 - Rice v Houston OVER 70.5 WIN Nov 3 - CFU OVER 48.5 - LOSE Nov 23 - Texas OVER 54 - LOSE
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#371 Posted: 11/26/2011 11:40:48 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by jkp714: I made money 1unit N.Illinois ,1 Iowa-over ,1col , 5 units houston,
JKP, garbage, I was pissed that I didn't leave Colorado on the official, but here's why. Utah is my Alumn. This is there first year in the PAC and this game was going to decide whether they go bowling or not. Too much was hinging on this win. I knew that Colorado was going to test them which is why the lean was on them. I backed off because of my emotional attachment to the Utes. I did drop 5 dimes on Houston. They are HOT and have all the elements of a championship team. They are second best team right now next to LSU and I am anxious to see who they get in the bowl.
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#372 Posted: 11/27/2011 7:02:00 AM We gave some back today |
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#373 Posted: 11/27/2011 1:16:00 PM We gave too much back yesterday. 0 - 3 and 1 - 5 for the week. By far the worst week this year. The shitty part is that next week is the end of the season. I'm not sure how I went so wrong.
Texas Tech was right there for most of the game and then just couldn't move the ball.
This is what makes football so hard to cap. There are so many factors in this game. What other sport can one player change the momentum of a game.
What's done is done and I have to move on.
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BookieCrusher88 |
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#374 Posted: 11/27/2011 7:14:50 PM The important thing is were still up this season and that winning percentage of yours is really great! |
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trendsetterSIA |
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#375 Posted: 11/27/2011 11:51:49 PM ...Irage....
I lost alot on nfl and college football. |
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