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Orlando at Boston (05/17/2009)

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Prospect
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Posted: #1

Away:  Orlando [54-39-1 ATS]
Home:  Boston [49-45-1 ATS]

Game Time: 8:00 PM
Stadium: TD Banknorth Garden

Recent Meetings:
05/14/09 - BOS 75 vs. ORL 83
05/12/09 - ORL 88 vs. BOS 92
05/10/09 - BOS 95 vs. ORL 94

Team Leaders:

Orlando:
Points: Dwight Howard (20.5)
Assists: Jameer Nelson (5.4)
Rebounds: Dwight Howard (14.2)

Boston:
Points: Paul Pierce (20.6)
Assists: Rajon Rondo (8.5)
Rebounds: Kendrick Perkins (8.6)

More:
Live Odds
In-Depth Matchup Information
Consensus Betting Information

 
Rookie
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Joined: Mar, 2009
Posts: 930
Posted: #2
Why is this already here? This series might be over tonight.
 
Hall of Fame
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Posted: #3
THIS WILL BE A GREAT GAME
 
Rookie
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Posted: #4
Easiest pick of the playoffs

MAGIC ML
 
Banned
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Posted: #5
Nice try Orlando, but it ends here tonight. That'll give Dwight plenty of off season time to work on his free throws. I'm not sure about the over/under play, but Celtics -2 is looking pretty tasty! -
 
Captain
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Posted: #6
BOS 98
ORL  92
 
GREEN by 6
 
Veteran
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Posted: #7
If the game is called fair Magic by 20.
 
Veteran
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Posted: #8
Boston will get the job done at home.  Home court is too huge in a game 7.  Boston -2.  GLA
 
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Posted: #9
Quote Originally Posted by kamahsutra:

Boston will get the job done at home.  Home court is too huge in a game 7.  Boston -2.  GLA

Tell that to the Bruins

 
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Posted: #10
Quote Originally Posted by kamahsutra:

Boston will get the job done at home.  Home court is too huge in a game 7.  Boston -2.  GLA


I agreed with you with every bone in my body, but i just can't get over the progression of spreads that the books have been dropping...

game 1 ORL +3.5 (RLM to 1.5)
game 2 ORL +2.5
game 3 @ORL -5
game 4 @ORL -5
game 5 ORL +2.5 (RLM to 2)
game 6 @ ORL -6 (RLM to 7)
game 7 ORL +1 ...

the books know that everyone believes in boston to get it done here and yet they keep throwing the public these cookies... i don't want to say that i was lucky to have made the right call in game 6 (especially since i bought down to -4 for more breathing room), but there are too many reasons NOT to play Orlando for the books to be making it so easy to play boston... whatever i settle on, i think it'll be some derivative of buying points on orlando... this is just too fishy. Plus i think orlando will come out and win the first half as they normally own first halves against boston and these teams have traded first half dominance with the celtics doing so last game.... Something's afoot here and i don't plan on donating my bankroll to the books without a fight.

 
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Posted: #11
magic by 6
 
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Posted: #12
Quote Originally Posted by JerryWrasse:

If the game is called fair Magic by 20.


Hey Jerry (or is it Geri?, I've known some hot chicks with that name). Let me know the next time you're taking a canoe trip down river in the Appalachians - -
 "You sure got a purty mouth boy, I'd love to see you squeal like a pig........"

.....and if you think Magic by 20, I've got some oceanfront property in Albuquerque to sell you.....
 
 
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Posted: #13
Quote Originally Posted by BloodyShredder:

Tell that to the Bruins

Uh.. I had the Canes for that game... it matters way more in NBA than in NHL.  The discrepency in home winning % and road winning % in the biggest in the NBA for the 4 major sports in North America.

 
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Posted: #14

Quote Originally Posted by wangichu:



I agreed with you with every bone in my body, but i just can't get over the progression of spreads that the books have been dropping...

game 1 ORL +3.5 (RLM to 1.5)
game 2 ORL +2.5
game 3 @ORL -5
game 4 @ORL -5
game 5 ORL +2.5 (RLM to 2)
game 6 @ ORL -6 (RLM to 7)
game 7 ORL +1 ...

the books know that everyone believes in boston to get it done here and yet they keep throwing the public these cookies... i don't want to say that i was lucky to have made the right call in game 6 (especially since i bought down to -4 for more breathing room), but there are too many reasons NOT to play Orlando for the books to be making it so easy to play boston... whatever i settle on, i think it'll be some derivative of buying points on orlando... this is just too fishy. Plus i think orlando will come out and win the first half as they normally own first halves against boston and these teams have traded first half dominance with the celtics doing so last game.... Something's afoot here and i don't plan on donating my bankroll to the books without a fight.

Well, I already took Boston when the line came out at -1.5.  I'm going with my gut on this one.  You're probably right about Orlando coming out strong and have the lead by the half.  But I still see them fading in the 4th again.  If Orlando comes out slow, there's no way I see them coming back on the road.

 
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Posted: #15
First the Bruins now the Celtics.
Orlando - 101               Boston - 97
Magic +2                 over 186
The loss of Garnett shows up here in game 7..
Howard comes up big tonight.
Upset special
 
Captain
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Posted: #16
This one's scary. Gotta like the mystique of Boston but if Orlando had played halfway decent for a continued stretch at ANY point over the last week. The series is over. Even in winning on Thursday they hit only 55% of their free throws. Before you go Howard sucks he only shot 39% of the free throws and missed over half. Even Redick missed at the stripe. Anyway, Orlando is better. I know everyone will point to the games but I still think the real Orlando will show up, the one that woke up in game 3, and score over 100. And though I think Allen will be clutch now that it matters it won't be enough. Big baby clangs too many in the fourth quarter and the Magic win by 7. Howard gets 20 boards and 21 points, hits an astounding 60% of his foul shots and fouls out with 3 minutes left (at this point Van Gundy sighs with relief because he doesn't have to justify taking the big guy out because he can't hit from the stripe), but Turkulo gets some clutch bounds and the Magic win. 
Next week the stay close to Cleveland only losing by 5 in game one.

 
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Posted: #17
who cares
 
Veteran
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Posted: #18
Heres The main problem when a Line looks so Tasty thats when you know you have to Fade it. There making it real easy for Boston Backers a simple -2.5-3. Just like in Game 1 when the boston backers were suprise with a Su Win by Orlando at Boston! Orlando will have a game plan in Boston and Im not sure about you guys but Orlando plays better at Boston. They won Game 1. Blown out Game 2. Game 5 were up 14 to loose by 4 in a Fluke win by Celtics. Now we head into game 7 going against a STRONG TREND SPONSORED BY ESPN 32-0 when leading the series 3-2.....mmmmm???? Seen this way to many times but this is my Team. Orlando is my Squad thats why its been tough to make big bets this series bc you feel its your heart playing but the games that I have played Orlando They have taken Care of Business

+1.5 Dog
-5 Fav
-7 Fav

(Pending) +2.5 Dog....Going for my Close out Game.

GL TO ALL IN THIS. LET THE BEST TEAM COVER!!!!!


 
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Posted: #19

I don't see the shady refs calling a fair game,,,,and thats why I'm leaning Boston -2.5.....however I want Orlando to win, because I hate Boston teams.

Lets see how the line moves closer to game time....

 
All-Star
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Posted: #20
Quote Originally Posted by wangichu:



I agreed with you with every bone in my body, but i just can't get over the progression of spreads that the books have been dropping...

game 1 ORL +3.5 (RLM to 1.5)
game 2 ORL +2.5
game 3 @ORL -5
game 4 @ORL -5
game 5 ORL +2.5 (RLM to 2)
game 6 @ ORL -6 (RLM to 7)
game 7 ORL +1 ...

the books know that everyone believes in boston to get it done here and yet they keep throwing the public these cookies... i don't want to say that i was lucky to have made the right call in game 6 (especially since i bought down to -4 for more breathing room), but there are too many reasons NOT to play Orlando for the books to be making it so easy to play boston... whatever i settle on, i think it'll be some derivative of buying points on orlando... this is just too fishy. Plus i think orlando will come out and win the first half as they normally own first halves against boston and these teams have traded first half dominance with the celtics doing so last game.... Something's afoot here and i don't plan on donating my bankroll to the books without a fight.


perhaps, by make boston small faves at home in a must win makes people think orlando may be a bigger threat than they really are enough to only give boston 2 pts decievingly. I'm not gonna over think this one and back the team who has more hustle, clutch and grind than any team in the playoffs atm.
 
Prospect
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Posted: #21
The NBA is the biggest racket in sports betting. Wangichu got the point across. Vegas started the line at with  Boston at -2. People are going to jump all over that number by Sunday. Why do I say it's a racket? Because the linesmakers have the hook.  The infamous half point. Dknight is right. Watch the line. Now at 4:30 am the line is 2.5 and 3 at some books. And you can take the Boston mystique (David Stern and the shitty calls). That is the Boston mystique if Stern wants a Boston/LA match up, one fuck-up call, the hook, and my money goes to building another casino.  Staying away on the side, looking at the over in the total at 186. Good luck, because its better to be lucky than smart. But if I did take a side, Boston would be it because THATS the team and the market that Stern wants. This game will be decided by the refs.
 
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Posted: #22
 
 
  Game 7 in Boston, the Green has the experience in clutch situations.  Defensive battle.
 
CELTS 96 MAGIC 89
 
  good luck everyone!
 
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Posted: #23

Quote Originally Posted by Boludojones:



Hey Jerry (or is it Geri?, I've known some hot chicks with that name). Let me know the next time you're taking a canoe trip down river in the Appalachians - -
 "You sure got a purty mouth boy, I'd love to see you squeal like a pig........"

.....and if you think Magic by 20, I've got some oceanfront property in Albuquerque to sell you.....
 


Maybe not 20, but pay attention here:

better players+better coach=better team

better team+refs calling fouls everytime Perk or Baby pull Dwight Howard away from the rebound+refs calling a foul the first time Howard gets fouled(not third)+Pierce and Rondo not getting continuation calls in obvious non-shooting plays=easy victory

not saying its gonna happen

 
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Posted: #24
Everyone hates on the Master the Panic and its all because of what ESPN has fed us and told us to believe.
 
 
Covers Rehab
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Posted: #25
Quote Originally Posted by Cugine:

Easiest pick of the playoffs

MAGIC ML


I don't believe in calling any picks EZ .. but I do BELIEVE IN THE MAGICS!
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