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Author: [College Football] Topic: North Carolina at Georgia Tech (09/21/2013)
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#1
Posted: 9/15/2013 2:45:03 PM

Away:  North Carolina [1-1 ATS]
Home:  Georgia Tech [2-0 ATS]

Game Time: 12:00 PM
Stadium: Bobby Dodd Stadium

Recent Meetings:
11/10/12 - GT 68 vs. UNC 50
09/24/11 - UNC 28 vs. GT 35
09/18/10 - GT 30 vs. UNC 24

Team Leaders:

North Carolina:
Passing: Bryn Renner (533)
Rushing: Romar Morris (115)
Receiving: Mark McNeill (99)

Georgia Tech:
Passing: Vad Lee (314)
Rushing: Vad Lee (125)
Receiving: Robert Godhigh (83)

More:
Live Odds
In-Depth Matchup Information
Consensus Betting Information

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#2
Posted: 9/16/2013 11:35:44 PM
NC plus the chalk
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#3
Posted: 9/17/2013 4:01:09 PM
Yup, I'm taking the chalk !   
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#4
Posted: 9/18/2013 9:13:34 PM
lol NC  +6.5
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#5
Posted: 9/19/2013 5:21:18 PM
GT
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#6
Posted: 9/19/2013 11:04:14 PM

UNC is soft up front on defense, GT will roll that option over the Heels all day.  One of the best bets of the day take GT and lay the 6.

GT   -6          Four unit play 

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#7
Posted: 9/19/2013 11:22:10 PM
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#8
Posted: 9/19/2013 11:53:37 PM
GT
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#9
Posted: 9/20/2013 10:41:31 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Macallanlover:

UNC is soft up front on defense, GT will roll that option over the Heels all day.  One of the best bets of the day take GT and lay the 6.

GT   -6          Four unit play 

Mac I agree.   The Heels have given up 228 rushing yds to SC and 158 rushing yds to MTS in their first two games. In last years contest with the Jackets they gave up 380 yds rushing in a 50-68 loss in the highest scoring game in ACC history! 15 starters return for Ga Tech from that team and while they do break in a new QB, he has thrown for 4 scores in his first 2 games and could add another dimension to a potent offense. Tech has owned NC in recent years going 8-2 SU,  winning and covering the last 4 in a row. The Jackies too much for the Heels on their home field. Ga Tech -6. GLTA!
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#10
Posted: 9/20/2013 12:11:44 PM
. GT is the pick
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#11
Posted: 9/20/2013 12:15:33 PM
GT is better than NC on offense and defense
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#12
Posted: 9/20/2013 3:08:35 PM
GT for the close in.
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#13
Posted: 9/20/2013 6:21:11 PM

so far 7 for GT, 1 for UNC

Play UNC

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#14
Posted: 9/20/2013 6:40:26 PM

Leaning towards GT.  UNC defense is not good.  I like their QB but don't think they will be able to keep up.  Paul Johnson has done a good job down in Atlanta. 

Prediction:

GT 38

NC 26

 

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#15
Posted: 9/20/2013 8:28:06 PM

GT-6.5

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#16
Posted: 9/20/2013 11:34:29 PM

This game will be an off beat. The forecast calls for rain which will work in unc favor.  Taking unc at +7 for a dime.  good luck!

 

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#17
Posted: 9/21/2013 12:21:12 AM
QUOTE

Not arguing with your score prediction but how can you say Johnson has done a good job?  They only win about seven games a year in an age where they play 12-13, and only go to low level bowls.  Fan attendance is very poor in an area with 4-5 million people to draw from, only fill a small stadium when the visiting team brings 15K fans. 

GT is located in a state which is #4 nationally in the number of D1 athletes it produces.  He has been a poor recruiter and is awkward with the press and boosters.  GT once played football at a competitive level but now gets most of their wins from cupcakes or mediocre teams.  When the boosters/administration finally pull the plug on him, they will be stuck with athletes that were recruited to run an offense that only the service academies and D1AA teams run.  It will take years to change the system to a new offensive scheme.  would give him a C- at best, far from excellent. 

Originally Posted by doggs:

Leaning towards GT.  UNC defense is not good.  I like their QB but don't think they will be able to keep up.  Paul Johnson has done a good job down in Atlanta. 

Prediction:

GT 38

NC 26

 

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#18
Posted: 9/21/2013 3:19:21 AM
I'm gonna go w/ the over here GTech always been a good offense to put points on the board, I think NCarolina will have 2 put up the points to stay in this one. 
Good Luck. Peace Out 
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#19
Posted: 9/21/2013 5:46:30 AM
I can't see that UNC defense slowing down GT, where as I can see GT shutting down UNC for a couple of stops.. Should be enough for a cover..

Going with GT
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#20
Posted: 9/21/2013 6:13:53 AM
Passing vs run game I'll take the run game all day. Go GT..
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#21
Posted: 9/21/2013 6:53:09 AM

As stated before, I am playing UNC +6.5 vs Ga Tech

First, I checked the forum on Covers and the GT side is running about 80%.  The SI consensus is also running about 80%.  Both of these indicate a strong public bias toward GT. 

Betting against the public will not make you a winner but betting with the public is guaranteed to make you a loser. 

Early line move was on UNC (6.5 to 5.5) and the most significant moves were seen at 3 of the 4 sharpest books.  Today we have started to hear from the public because the line on GT has begun moving the other way and is back to UNC +6.5

Money line players at sharp books like UNC by 57% while money line bettors as square books like GT by 81%.  Using the money line to make plays on pointspread lines is something I started watching a year ago and it seems to still be working in CFB.

I follow 12 indicators.  Two are on UNC.  None are on GT.  

 I correspond with  a network of sharp cappers from around the US. whose opinions I use  to guide me off the weakest plays.  So far, none of these sharper players have any dislikes  about UNC to any great degree.  The most negative opinion I have received is that there are better plays on the board this weekend.

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#22
Posted: 9/21/2013 9:52:49 AM
U/59 GLA
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#23
Posted: 9/21/2013 10:35:00 AM
Gutsy under pick Ber.  Both teams scored that many on their own last year.  Maybe the rain will slow the scoring enough for you but I have more confidence that the option will roll over the Heels and cover a less than TD line.  Good luck to you.
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#24
Posted: 9/21/2013 10:46:16 AM
Now that C has gone for NC I feel a lot better about the GT pick.
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#25
Posted: 9/21/2013 11:00:24 AM

Record this year 15 wins 10 losses

Posted on my blog at Covers

Covers Contest 19 Wins, 16 Losses

Verifiable - look 'em up

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