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Author: [College Football] Topic: Boise State at Fresno State (09/20/2013)
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#1
Posted: 9/15/2013 2:45:03 PM

Away:  Boise State [1-2 ATS]
Home:  Fresno State [0-2 ATS]

Game Time: 9:00 PM
Stadium: Bulldog Stadium

Recent Meetings:
10/13/12 - FRES 10 vs. BSU 20
10/07/11 - BSU 57 vs. FRES 7
11/19/10 - FRES 0 vs. BSU 51

Team Leaders:

Boise State:
Passing: Joe Southwick (673)
Rushing: Jay Ajayi (298)
Receiving: Matt Miller (188)

Fresno State:
Passing: Derek Carr (661)
Rushing: Josh Quezada (94)
Receiving: Davante Adams (179)

More:
Live Odds
In-Depth Matchup Information
Consensus Betting Information

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#2
Posted: 9/17/2013 4:27:28 PM
Over 68.  Fresno State at home last year produced high scoring games. Rutgers and CP at Fresno State are two good examples this year.  Fresno State defense is suspect and a good Boise state offense can take advantage in this contest.  Both teams will reach or exceed the high 30s
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#3
Posted: 9/17/2013 10:16:15 PM
Took Boise st ML +145. I know what to expect from Boise, and I'm suspicious that Fresno is overvalued here
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#4
Posted: 9/18/2013 3:35:08 AM
Fresno st. -3. Better qb, wanna talk about defense? This is not the Boise of old. They have 3 freshman starters on defense and can't stop the run. Fresno finally gets its chance! 
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#5
Posted: 9/18/2013 6:51:33 AM
Favorites are 11-0 ATS in this series.  Bulldogs cover.
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#6
Posted: 9/18/2013 2:51:00 PM
I'm not sold on either team, but my lean is on Boise.  Will go small since like Surf said, it's not the boise of old.  That is about the only smart thing you said though.  Can't stop the run??  They played 2 teams so far this year.  The first ran the ball 49 times at a whopping 3.1 rpg.  Next game was against Air Force.... seriously?? They ran on almost every play and were kept to a 3.8 rpg.  Two teams that dial up running plays 80-90% of the time and you say Boise can't stop the run? 

And Compass, thanks for contributing to the conversation with that impressive bit of statistics.   What you said is true, the favorite has covered 11 out of the last 11 times.... Boise was the favorite on all but 1 of those, so you will forgive me if that statistic doesn't mean anything to me.

I don't have any amazing stats like these 2 guys (thank God.)  Honestly if it wasn't the only football game on that day, I would most likely find a better candidate to drop a bet on.  That being said, I will go small on Boise because I haven't seen anything from Fresno's defense that shows me they can slow them down.  Fresno will get their points though, so a small-medium play will be going on the over.

GL 
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#7
Posted: 9/18/2013 6:47:26 PM
How is Boise's passing game??
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#8
Posted: 9/18/2013 10:21:02 PM

BOISE STATE  + 3.5

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#9
Posted: 9/19/2013 1:46:45 PM

Fresno has a very soft front 7 on the D   BSU needs and will chew clock and keep FSU O off the field. However, if FSU gets a couple TD's ahead BSU isnt built to catch up.  Going to tease BSU with Clem for shits and giggles

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#10
Posted: 9/19/2013 7:08:51 PM
I'm not into stats. I watch games and call it as I see it. When I say they can't stop the run, i'm saying Boise st usually does a lot better in all aspects of their defense and I don't see their defense being close to Boise standards.  A slow offense, with a young d and a very hostel hungry Fresno team... Fresno covers, and crushes your teaser. Cry to me later...
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#11
Posted: 9/19/2013 11:43:26 PM
http://i.imgur.com/3OSVm.gif
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#12
Posted: 9/19/2013 11:44:57 PM
garbage Thrower special!
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#13
Posted: 9/20/2013 12:06:24 AM
2 QB's that can get it done on offense! Southwick will rink-a-dink you all day long down the field. Derek Carr has a big arm and can make big special plays. Defenses are about average on both sides! I'm glad this game is not being played on the "smurf turf" otherwise I would be all over Boise St. However, my early lean is on Fresno St. with home field advantage and due to the fact that they finally have a team that can keep pace with Boise!!!
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#14
Posted: 9/20/2013 12:30:58 AM
Anyone want to talk about how it made no sense for NC State to not go for two at the end of the game to try and make it an 11 point game instead of 12.  Announcers didn't even talk about how an extra point made no sene in that situation
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#15
Posted: 9/20/2013 12:36:07 AM
I might just get my fix tomorrow and place a small wager.  $40 BoiseSt + Over Parlay 
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#16
Posted: 9/20/2013 12:38:32 AM
True.. They fucked me.. I had -13,,, Clemson isn't the 3rd best team in nation... Long season ... Will see
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#17
Posted: 9/20/2013 12:39:32 AM
I thought Clemson would cover my 13... Oh we'll uab will sat. For sure-14.5
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#18
Posted: 9/20/2013 12:40:24 AM
Sorry about language.. Thought it would be corrected 
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#19
Posted: 9/20/2013 12:41:34 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by knasty007:

I thought Clemson would cover my 13... Oh we'll uab will sat. For sure-14.5
Boise st looks better ,,on both sides of the ball
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#20
Posted: 9/20/2013 1:20:35 AM
So i had to take the live play on clemson -11.5 to cover my 13.5 and the yanks bust me for 12 k 8 teamer!!!! , Yea so only way i see this game going is fresno by 2ds. Carr will do whatever he wants at home against boise in this spot, boise's offense is not that good and i know fresno d is not that great either however fresno needs to pick up there play on D if there gunna have any shot at a bcs bowl game like they have bin talking about since the start of the year. Fresno -3 *5 units*
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#21
Posted: 9/20/2013 1:28:20 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by zacharycashman:

Anyone want to talk about how it made no sense for NC State to not go for two at the end of the game to try and make it an 11 point game instead of 12.  Announcers didn't even talk about how an extra point made no sene in that situation


NC State got screwed on the 'foot out of bounds' call. That was pretty big. Either way, they covered for me so I'm happy. I was +14.5

That being said. The Bulldogs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 conference games. Fresno State is ranked for the first time since 2008 (No. 25) and seeking its first 3-0 start since 2004. In addition, The Bulldogs are 10-0 under head coach Tim DeRuyter when scoring 30 or more points in a game. Fresno State has won eight straight home games with an average margin of victory of 25.9 points.

Boise St has some significant injuries at the QB, TE, & NT positions. Broncos QB Finley has missed two games and is questionable for Friday's game. However their sophomore Jay Ajayi rushed for a career-high 125 yards and four touchdowns against Air Force and could be a big factor agaisnt a not very physical FSU defense.

IMO, i think FSU's aerial attack could be the factor. WR Davante Adams has made a TD reception in 10 straight games, and senior wideout Isaiah Burse has 338 all-purpose yards in the first two games. But FSU struggles with the run.

All in all, FSU will win through the air and go 3-0. Put me down for the chalk and a big Fresno St win at home!
BOL to all. 
 


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#22
Posted: 9/20/2013 4:25:17 AM
Getting +4 and taking Boise St tomorrow

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#23
Posted: 9/20/2013 6:59:09 AM
Started my college football with Kansas st + 12.5. I'm going with Boise +4. Last three times those two squads played FSU were destroyed, just putting it out there. 
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#24
Posted: 9/20/2013 8:56:39 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by tbone4au:

I'm not sold on either team, but my lean is on Boise.  Will go small since like Surf said, it's not the boise of old.  That is about the only smart thing you said though.  Can't stop the run??  They played 2 teams so far this year.  The first ran the ball 49 times at a whopping 3.1 rpg.  Next game was against Air Force.... seriously?? They ran on almost every play and were kept to a 3.8 rpg.  Two teams that dial up running plays 80-90% of the time and you say Boise can't stop the run? 

And Compass, thanks for contributing to the conversation with that impressive bit of statistics.   What you said is true, the favorite has covered 11 out of the last 11 times.... Boise was the favorite on all but 1 of those, so you will forgive me if that statistic doesn't mean anything to me.

I don't have any amazing stats like these 2 guys (thank God.)  Honestly if it wasn't the only football game on that day, I would most likely find a better candidate to drop a bet on.  That being said, I will go small on Boise because I haven't seen anything from Fresno's defense that shows me they can slow them down.  Fresno will get their points though, so a small-medium play will be going on the over.

GL 

I don't have any amazing stats like these 2 guys (thank God.)  Honestly if it wasn't the only football game on that day, I would most likely find a better candidate to drop a bet on.  That being said, I will go small on Boise because I haven't seen anything from Fresno's defense that shows me they can slow them down

Ya, b/c ur analysis is just so wise, right? Clown...
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#25
Posted: 9/20/2013 11:31:58 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by leoph97:

Started my college football with Kansas st + 12.5. I'm going with Boise +4. Last three times those two squads played FSU were destroyed, just putting it out there. 

not the same boise team of the past three years...34-30 fresno...so it all depends where you get this line

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