Posted: 12/21/2012 7:23:23 PM
Originally Posted by combato
A lousy 1 -2 start to the bowl season thus far but here are my criteria for tonight's bowl game
1. My modified scoring indicator makes Ball a 1 pt pick ( 35-34 over UCF ) which means a play on Ball St.
2. Points per yard model makes UCF a -7 pt fav which means no play from this indicator.
3. Parlay bettors are split on this game which indicates a lack of a square consensus to go against. Hence no play called for from this indicator. 52% parlays on Ball, 48% on UCF. No edge either way.
4. My sharp / square money line indicator calls for a point spread play on Ball at +7.
2 of 4 indicators point to Ball, while the other 2 are neutral. I will be playing Ball for a 2 unit play ( based on a unit range from1 to 4).
Dude you agreed with someone to take UCF and then had this BS "modified scoring indicator" thing say Ball State is the play... I've seen you post before and you are never right. You talk about the "public" and "squares" but in reality you are exactly that...
UCF wins tonight, slowly piling on points. It won't be an early blowout but UCF should win by at least 13.
I don't mean to get on you about everything but you talk like you just read a dictionary of gambling terms and are trying to sound like an expert... You really just sound like a nerd though...