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Author: [College Football] Topic: Central Florida at Ball State (12/21/2012)
Alien-1 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#26
Posted: 12/21/2012 4:13:32 PM
what is a modified scoring indicator ????????????
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DJNY
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#27
Posted: 12/21/2012 4:17:02 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by DrDogs:

Ah Christ doc all over the place. I keep flippy floppin on these games. Took und last nite last second so dont hate..goin Cfl now!

Come on Doc, talk is cheap. You posted OVER on last nights game so don't flip it now...We don't need another PRICETOPHER! 
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#28
Posted: 12/21/2012 4:34:01 PM
Some of my fav cappers to tail are on UCF. I dont see the numbers that reflect a stout d for UCF and INHO the MAC is a more impressive conf.  One thing I did note watching Ball St. is how well they tackled.  I have to take the points here.
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#29
Posted: 12/21/2012 5:53:41 PM
ball state.
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mmcghee11
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#30
Posted: 12/21/2012 6:04:10 PM
Central Florida should put up 35 points as Ball State will not be able to stop them.  It is uncertain how well Ball State's QB will play coming off a major injury.  Also backup qb was banged up as well.  If the freshman has to play they have no shot.  I think UCF has a slightly better defense and will win this one 38-24.  Good luck guys.
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#31
Posted: 12/21/2012 6:22:17 PM
Ball State  +7 
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#32
Posted: 12/21/2012 7:03:27 PM
Central Florida -7
Over 60.5

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#33
Posted: 12/21/2012 7:06:17 PM
I think ball st gets their running game going in this one and they keep it close. UCF defense is overrated. I don't care about their rank bc they play garbage teams. 7 is too many points here and ball st seem to hang in games and get wins this year. Don't know if they get their first bowl win here but they will cover. Ill buy the hook just in case the back door is open at the end. 

Ball st +7.5 (2 units)

Get it
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#34
Posted: 12/21/2012 7:23:23 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by combato:

A lousy 1 -2 start to the bowl season thus far but here are my criteria for tonight's bowl game

1.  My modified scoring indicator makes Ball a 1 pt pick ( 35-34 over UCF ) which means a play on Ball St.

2.  Points per yard model makes UCF a -7   pt fav which means no play from this indicator.

3.  Parlay bettors are split on this game which indicates a lack of a square consensus to go against. Hence no play called for from this indicator. 52% parlays on Ball, 48% on UCF.  No edge either way.

4.  My sharp / square money line indicator calls for a point spread play on Ball at +7.

2 of 4 indicators point to Ball, while the other 2 are neutral.  I will be playing Ball for a 2 unit play ( based on a unit range from1 to 4).

Dude you agreed with someone to take UCF and then had this BS "modified scoring indicator" thing say Ball State is the play... I've seen you post before and you are never right. You talk about the "public" and "squares" but in reality you are exactly that...

UCF wins tonight, slowly piling on points. It won't be an early blowout but UCF should win by at least 13.

I don't mean to get on you about everything but you talk like you just read a dictionary of gambling terms and are trying to sound like an expert... You really just sound like a nerd though...

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#35
Posted: 12/21/2012 9:13:18 PM
These bowl games is crazy I been taking points and everybody covering look like c.Florida is goin cover. So back to basic lol I like Notre d. +10 at first but how everybody covering I'm taking bama and all the favorites lol...
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Irisheyez
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#36
Posted: 12/21/2012 9:14:37 PM

I guess I got to go with the over in the second half.    My Cards D is doing what they usually do in a game against good athletes......and the O is miss firing!!!!!!

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#37
Posted: 12/21/2012 9:17:38 PM
How did so many people think Ball State would hang with Florida speed?
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#38
Posted: 12/21/2012 9:18:07 PM
Combato...guess you didn't figure the Ball St coach with his double chin and "what am I doing" persona...man-oh-man, team is driving for a touchdown and on first and goal HE CALLS A TIMEOUT to let the defense get set...what a joke..then passes 3 times and gets nothing , with a great N-S back in his backfield...and the 138#, #2, who thinks he is the best player on the field..DUDE, CATCH THE BALL, had 2 thrown to him that went right through his hands...NICE...... what a joke, I knew when COVERS "experts" picked Ball St, it was one where they got paid to pick 'em...come on, a FLORIDA school playing the 10th best team in Ohio....this was a LOCK, take the Florida team EVERYTIME!!!!!!
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#39
Posted: 12/21/2012 9:20:24 PM
Why have a no-huddle offense BALL ST, if you are going to stand at the line and let the clock tick down every time...what  advantage does that give you?????
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#40
Posted: 12/21/2012 9:29:33 PM
Ball St RB averaging 9 yards per carry and they don't give it to him down by the goalline....nice calls coach...keep throwing to the 138 pound guy who can't catch!!!
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#41
Posted: 12/21/2012 9:30:56 PM
The MAC isn't impressive...............
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#42
Posted: 12/21/2012 9:32:08 PM
Toledo gets blown...now Ball....next will be C Mich and B Green..............
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#43
Posted: 12/21/2012 9:36:19 PM
Fair enough djny but I try to own up to last second gut feelings which are especially prevalent with bowls since they are so spread apart. Good news is I could care less your opinion. Peace
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#44
Posted: 12/21/2012 9:50:23 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by W8LIFTER:

Central Florida -7 

BINGO
Congrats all Knights backers! 

W8train still full steam ahead baby! Hope once again you enjoyed the ride this week folks! 
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W8LIFTER
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#45
Posted: 12/21/2012 9:52:53 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by flasportsfan88:

How did so many people think Ball State would hang with Florida speed?

Obviously those folks that did were left off the W8train walking!
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#46
Posted: 12/21/2012 9:55:04 PM
Thanks w8 for settin me str8!
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#47
Posted: 12/30/2012 3:07:06 AM

Nice piece of work Central Florida and Under backers!

 

 

Knights 

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