I'm in a season long pool where the 7 people ahead of me don't have Purdue, and I do. So every Purdue game has been enormous all season for me. I would be absolutely thrilled if Purdue wins tonight because I expect them to lose. Purdue is the type of team who can beat anyone, or lose to anyone. They far and away play their best ball at home though. I give Purdue a 40-45 % chance of winning this game. I laughed out loud at the guy who said Purdue should be -3.
As for Jthay. Purdue has been GREAT defensive in their 13 conference games. That is the main reason they are 9-4. Raphael Davis is hands down one of the best defenders in the big 10 and probably the country. Octeus, and Smotherman are both very athletic and can defend. To say this team is horrible against the 3 is misleading because when the season started they sucked all around on defense. The last 14 games they have been extremely solid in every aspect of their defense.
I'm in a season long pool where the 7 people ahead of me don't have Purdue, and I do. So every Purdue game has been enormous all season for me. I would be absolutely thrilled if Purdue wins tonight because I expect them to lose. Purdue is the type of team who can beat anyone, or lose to anyone. They far and away play their best ball at home though. I give Purdue a 40-45 % chance of winning this game. I laughed out loud at the guy who said Purdue should be -3.
As for Jthay. Purdue has been GREAT defensive in their 13 conference games. That is the main reason they are 9-4. Raphael Davis is hands down one of the best defenders in the big 10 and probably the country. Octeus, and Smotherman are both very athletic and can defend. To say this team is horrible against the 3 is misleading because when the season started they sucked all around on defense. The last 14 games they have been extremely solid in every aspect of their defense.
I agree Indiana should be favored but not by more than 3.5.
Here is an ATS comparison for you:
Purdue all games:17-6
Indiana all games: 13-12
Purdue coming off of a win: 10-4
Indiana coming off of a win: 8-8
Purdue on the road: 5-2
Indiana at home: 8-7
Purdue when underdog: 7-5
Indiana when favored: 6-7
Purdue as a road dog: 3-1
Indiana when favored at home: 6-7
Purdue off of 2-3 days rest: 8-4
Indiana off of 2-3 days rest: 9-7
Purdue in conf. play: 11-2
Indiana in conf. play: 7-6
With the line being 4.5 or higher, Purdue should cover the spread. I have 4 units on Purdue tonight.
I agree Indiana should be favored but not by more than 3.5.
Here is an ATS comparison for you:
Purdue all games:17-6
Indiana all games: 13-12
Purdue coming off of a win: 10-4
Indiana coming off of a win: 8-8
Purdue on the road: 5-2
Indiana at home: 8-7
Purdue when underdog: 7-5
Indiana when favored: 6-7
Purdue as a road dog: 3-1
Indiana when favored at home: 6-7
Purdue off of 2-3 days rest: 8-4
Indiana off of 2-3 days rest: 9-7
Purdue in conf. play: 11-2
Indiana in conf. play: 7-6
With the line being 4.5 or higher, Purdue should cover the spread. I have 4 units on Purdue tonight.
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