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Author: [College Basketball] Topic: New System Plays
Degen4Ever
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Degen4Ever
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#1
Posted: 12/11/2013 5:42:38 PM
New system:
Davidson covering by 16
I have North Dakota State covering by 3 (checked this like 10 times who knows new system could totally be off)
And I have Ohio State covering by 14.

So my plays are Davidson -6.5
North Dakota State +7
And Bryant +20.5

This is a system I came up with literally yesterday picked three games. Ill see how they turn out. Believe it may be off because the games are higher scoring this year need to correct that just havent found an average of scores from  all teams this year. 
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Degen4Ever
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#2
Posted: 12/11/2013 5:46:19 PM
Rephrase that not covering by those amounts winning by those amounts.
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#3
Posted: 12/11/2013 6:34:21 PM
Good Luck
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#4
Posted: 12/11/2013 6:39:10 PM
GL     Will be watching  
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#5
Posted: 12/11/2013 6:41:55 PM
I like the NDSU pick… They have some talent just been a bit of a struggle at times playing all together..   So what kind of system did you create if you don't mind me asking?
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Degen4Ever
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Posted: 12/11/2013 6:44:19 PM
You can message me jerkem11 I might give you the source code or the general concept its pretty simple and its off at the moment until I can find a median for all teams and there points scored basically whats the average amount of points scored in a average d1 basketball by a team.
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#7
Posted: 12/11/2013 6:46:09 PM
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#8
Posted: 12/11/2013 6:53:24 PM
I tried but i had to send you a friend request! which i did… Interested in what you have to say.. thanks

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#9
Posted: 12/11/2013 7:20:09 PM
GL
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Degen4Ever
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#10
Posted: 12/11/2013 8:16:14 PM
Dayton god underachieve much.
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Degen4Ever
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#11
Posted: 12/11/2013 8:55:03 PM
Adding CSU -9.5 and Arizona -14.5 both are very low in my system beating the spread by 2-4 pts.
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Degen4Ever
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#12
Posted: 12/11/2013 8:58:26 PM
North Dakota St won by 4 and were 7 point underdogs system had them winning by 3 feeling good about the fact it predicted that.


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Degen4Ever
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#13
Posted: 12/11/2013 11:30:06 PM
Hit Arizona lost csu system wasn't really picking csu it was barely a pick gonna make some adjustments 2-3 on first day
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#14
Posted: 12/12/2013 12:30:01 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by jerkem11:

I like the NDSU pick… They have some talent just been a bit of a struggle at times playing all together..   So what kind of system did you create if you don't mind me asking?

Yep NDSU was a good spot.

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#15
Posted: 12/12/2013 12:31:05 AM
Good Luck with your system boss....
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#16
Posted: 12/12/2013 12:44:38 AM
The Median points scored by CBB teams NOT COUNTING OVERTIME is 70.9 points.

Using medians of many variables is an integral part of my handicapping method.Good luck in your endeavors.

Shirley
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Degen4Ever
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#17
Posted: 12/12/2013 2:46:21 AM
Yeah I was using that but it seemed low
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#18
Posted: 12/12/2013 3:00:34 AM
That's the number you should use. But here's a hint: Normalize the numbers for each conference. Some conferences are more bump and grind than run and gun. Once you figure out how to make these adjustments properly, you'll be on your way to beating the totals posted by the books.

Shirley 
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KiefferJDs1
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#19
Posted: 12/12/2013 3:25:19 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by shirley-jester:

The Median points scored by CBB teams NOT COUNTING OVERTIME is 70.9 points.

Using medians of many variables is an integral part of my handicapping method.Good luck in your endeavors.

Shirley

Medians are not as good as means, and knowing the deviance is the most important 
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Degen4Ever
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#20
Posted: 12/12/2013 3:43:05 AM
I mean I've been using 71 but I'm using a new method for certain games
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#21
Posted: 12/12/2013 4:18:53 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by KiefferJDs1:


Medians are not as good as means, and knowing the deviance is the most important 

This statement is incorrect. I'll elaborate another time.

Shirley
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Degen4Ever
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#22
Posted: 12/12/2013 9:30:49 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Degen4Ever:

Adding CSU -9.5  and Arizona -14.5  both are very low in my system beating the spread by 2-4 pts.
2-3 So far ugh.
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Degen4Ever
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#23
Posted: 12/12/2013 4:42:18 PM
TOMORROW: Colorado -13.5 tomorrow massive would take this line at -18. Just posting now cause I dont have time to run numbers tomorrow no way this falls out of system.
Memphis -23 would also take this at -28 so no way it falls out of system. 
Dont like the Iowa Iowa state matchup dont see an advantage at all from a betting standpoint seems to be a complete tossup.
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KiefferJDs1
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#24
Posted: 12/12/2013 4:52:59 PM
Colorado-13.5 and Iowa State-2.5 look amazing to me...
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Degen4Ever
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#25
Posted: 12/12/2013 5:12:47 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Degen4Ever:

TOMORROW: Colorado -13.5 tomorrow massive would take this line at -18. Just posting now cause I dont have time to run numbers tomorrow no way this falls out of system.
Memphis -23 would also take this at -28 so no way it falls out of system. 
Dont like the Iowa Iowa state matchup dont see an advantage at all from a betting standpoint seems to be a complete tossup.
Disregard Both Picks only play is Arkansas Little Rock +23. Messed up running numbers and used last years stats on accident
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