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Author: [College Basketball] Topic: Whoever is responsible for the spread of 12 in the Zags game must have been on acid.
RonaldRegan22 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#1
Posted: 12/8/2012 11:18:07 PM

9-0 illinois, 12th best team in the country....catching 12!!?!??!?!

12!?!?!?!?!?!

i wish i saw this line earlier....wtf is wrong with these oddsmakers lately.

Vegas is putting local bookies out of business, players have been cleaning up on these lopsided spreads today.

I saw West Virginia -8 earlier against an undefeated Va tech team that has been playing extremely well, and thought to myself....this has to be a trap?  a fix?  or the easiest bet of all time.

same goes with this gonzaga game....no value in illinois 2nd half, but im still really tempted to take it.

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Posted: 12/8/2012 11:19:50 PM

oddsmakers need to get their shiiit together

 

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Posted: 12/8/2012 11:25:16 PM
There are 2 halves to CBB. I am with you.....#10 vs #13 -11.5 spread on the open. Dug deeper and Illimois has had a very weak schedule. They will not be able to keep up with the Zags 2nd half as there aren't many tougher places to play on the road and the Zags are going to turn the ball over a lot less than they did in that 1st half with more focused play.
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Pasteur
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#4
Posted: 12/8/2012 11:25:49 PM
They know exactly what they're doing.
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Posted: 12/8/2012 11:28:50 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by Pasteur:

They know exactly what they're doing.

for the most part...

however, the past 5 weeks have been the worst 5 weeks for books in the history of sportsbetting.

not opinion, fact.

and i know youre gonna respond with the ..."bu bu but they know what theyre doing, its longterm blah blah blah"

which maybe the case....however, this line is friggin ludicrous

 

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Posted: 12/8/2012 11:30:42 PM

i mean if the goal is to get 50/50 action, why not make the line 6.5?  see what happens....it should be no higher than 8.

but 12!?!??!?

12 points to a team that could easily win outright???

ridiculous.

duke gives 7 to temple....yet gonzaga gives 12 to illinois?

No sense.

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BeatThaBooks416 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: bet365 |
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#7
Posted: 12/8/2012 11:31:38 PM
i feel like a friggin loser i went on in game and saw the Zags at -7.5 and put $500 on them. basically Toasted my account
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#8
Posted: 12/8/2012 11:33:27 PM
it goes in cycles my man
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#9
Posted: 12/8/2012 11:34:08 PM

lmao illinois up 5 in the 2nd half...

getting 12.

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Posted: 12/8/2012 11:35:25 PM

Illinois up 8 lol

 

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#11
Posted: 12/8/2012 11:36:06 PM
Why would you ever do this
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#12
Posted: 12/8/2012 11:37:25 PM
I just happen to take Illinois +12 and i'm Loving it
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#13
Posted: 12/8/2012 11:38:15 PM
Spread should've been Illinois -9
Gonzaga is a joke
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#14
Posted: 12/8/2012 11:38:34 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by leboyboy:

Why would you ever do this

 

sigh...

People dont believe that sports are fixed, yet believe that one individual from boston massachusetts can jinx a game by making a post on covers.com

some people in this forum need their head examined...

 

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Posted: 12/8/2012 11:40:45 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by rokodesh:

Spread should've been Illinois -9
Gonzaga is a joke

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Posted: 12/8/2012 11:41:58 PM
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Originally Posted by PolarExpress:

I just happen to take Illinois +12 and i'm Loving it

 

I got home late....wish i was with you on this one buddy.

Almost took illinois 2nd hf +6.5 but absolutely no value in that spread.

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#17
Posted: 12/8/2012 11:56:12 PM

hahahaha

gonzaga -12

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#18
Posted: 12/8/2012 11:58:09 PM
cantor gaming, who is setting the opening lines these days for 90% of the shops, has all but taken the human element out of oddsmaking and is employing a next-gen algorithm to set #s.  this algo weights the rec player at approx 55%. doubt me if u wish but sharp situational cappers are killing it right now for a reason. 
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#19
Posted: 12/9/2012 12:02:04 AM
algo also assigns indiv HC advs, which GU is close to the top of that spectrum, hence the seemingly "whack" #.  
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#20
Posted: 12/9/2012 12:09:32 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by RonaldRegan22:

9-0 illinois, 12th best team in the country....catching 12!!?!??!?!

12!?!?!?!?!?!

i wish i saw this line earlier....wtf is wrong with these oddsmakers lately.

Vegas is putting local bookies out of business, players have been cleaning up on these lopsided spreads today.

I saw West Virginia -8 earlier against an undefeated Va tech team that has been playing extremely well, and thought to myself....this has to be a trap?  a fix?  or the easiest bet of all time.

same goes with this gonzaga game....no value in illinois 2nd half, but im still really tempted to take it.

LOL!  I had this Illini game and didn’t invest…  This was an absolute gift from the Wise Men in Vegas… 

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Posted: 12/9/2012 12:11:04 AM
?????

they weren't on acid

they were generating action

would you have wanted to bet this game if it was gonzaga -4 ??????

books gave themselves insurance with the -11.5 knowing people out there will take the ZAGS
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Posted: 12/9/2012 12:18:34 AM
why are you complaining it was obvious?? should you just have pounded illinois???

to be honest i have illinois and i was scared to death in the first 3 minmwhen zags ran off 8 pt in a row to start game 8-0
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#23
Posted: 12/9/2012 12:23:03 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by tiedup2night:

why are you complaining it was obvious?? should you just have pounded illinois???

to be honest i have illinois and i was scared to death in the first 3 minmwhen zags ran off 8 pt in a row to start game 8-0

GREAT fxcking play…  If anybody had the balls to take them to win paid +620… 

 

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Posted: 12/9/2012 12:29:09 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by CoverLane:

?????

they weren't on acid

they were generating action

would you have wanted to bet this game if it was gonzaga -4 ??????

books gave themselves insurance with the -11.5 knowing people out there will take the ZAGS

 

easily the dumbest post i have ever seen on covers.

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Posted: 12/9/2012 12:33:30 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by CoverLane:

?????

they weren't on acid

they were generating action

would you have wanted to bet this game if it was gonzaga -4 ??????

books gave themselves insurance with the -11.5 knowing people out there will take the ZAGS

books gave themselves insurance?? lol

are you high?  dumb? or just slow?

do you understand that the entire world was on Illinois in this game? 

Do you understand that books desperately needed gonzaga to cover 11.5?

if they wanted insurance, to try to even out the action....the line would have moved down from 11.5 instead of going up to 12.  The oddsmakers took a gamble with this game, and they lost.  They failed miserably.

because this line was soo off/inflated do you understand what this did to the money line?  Do you know how many people looked the ML of illinois and saw +500 and said "wow that is insane value on the 12th best team in the country"

not only did illinois cover the 1st half, the 2nd half, and the entire game.....but they also covered the ML as well.

Books got hammered son, please stop smoking drugs.

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