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Author: [College Basketball] Topic: DMM's College Roundball Mean Regression Plays - Week of 02.13
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#1
Posted: 2/14/2012 12:29:24 AM
Started this yesterday. Probably better to do one thread per week instead of one each day. Yesterday's thread can be found here: http://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=40&sub=101269168&page=1

Mean Regression Record to Date
Sides: 2-1, .6667, +0.9u
Totals: 0-1, .0000, -1.1u
OVERALL: 2-2, .5000, -0.2u

Large card tomorrow, here is what I see:

Sides:
  1. Hofstra -3
  2. William & Mary +17'
  3. Clemson -1'
  4. James Madison +3
  5. Towson +14'
  6. Indiana St. -4
  7. TCU +8'
  8. Oklahoma +2'
  9. Jacksonville St. +8'
  10. Southern Illinois +7' (strongest play)
  11. Illinois-Chicago +13
  12. Minnesota +7'
  13. VCU pk
  14. LSU -1'
Totals
  1. Eastern Michigan @ Central Michigan, O111'
  2. Loyola-Chicago @ Butler, O112
  3. Virginia @ Clemson, O113
  4. Georgia St. @ JMU, O128
  5. NCW @ ODU, O128
  6. UNLV @ TCU, U148
  7. Cleveland St. @ Wisc-Mil, O119
  8. Ytown St. @ Green Bay, O 136
  9. Creighton @ So. Illinois, U141

GL tomorrow. 
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#2
Posted: 2/14/2012 11:17:53 PM
The Mason winner over VCU stung a bit, and we end up dead even on the night with the juice.

Working on tomorrow's plays now. Hopefully we can make some cash then.

02.14 Results
Sides: 7-6-1
Totals: 4-4

Mean Regression Record to Date
Sides: 9-7, .5294, +1.3u
Totals: 4-5, .4444, -1.5u
OVERALL: 13-12, .5200, -0.2u
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#3
Posted: 2/15/2012 1:50:39 AM
Here we go.

Sides:
  1. E. Washington -7'
  2. Rhode Island +6
  3. NC-Greensboro +4'
  4. Rutgers +8'
  5. Marist +8
  6. Cincinnati -11
  7. Northwestern +9
  8. Miami Ohio +10'
  9. Iona +8
  10. Temple -1'
  11. Southern Miss -6'
Totals:
  1. Southern Utah @ Oakland, U148
  2. Colorado St. @ Boise St., U137'
  3. UMKC @ Western Illinois, U116'
  4. Providence @ Cincinnati, O137'
  5. No. Colorado @ E. Washington, U144'
  6. North Carolina @ Miami, O146'
  7. Oral Roberts @ IUPU-FW, U140'
  8. Northern Iowa @ Evansville, U133'
  9. Elon @ Wofford, O134'
  10. Air Force @ Wyoming, U108
  11. Morehead St. @ Austin Peay, U131'
  12. Fordham @ Duquesne, O141'
  13. Eastern Kentucky @ Tennessee Tech, U136
  14. North Dakota St. @ South Dakota St., U145

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#4
Posted: 2/15/2012 2:28:41 AM
TYPO: Side #9 is Iona -8 (I did not buy 16 points....)
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#5
Posted: 2/15/2012 11:26:50 PM
02.15 Results
Sides: 7-4
Totals: 6-8

Mean Regression Record to Date
Sides: 16-11, .5926, +3.9u
Totals: 10-13, .4348, -4.3u
OVERALL: 26-24, .5200, -0.4u
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#6
Posted: 2/15/2012 11:37:17 PM
2/16 Plays

Sides:
  1. Troy +6
  2. Penn St. -2'
  3. Washington -15'
  4. Santa Clara +14
  5. Florida Atlantic -1'

Totals:
  1. Troy O136'

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#7
Posted: 2/15/2012 11:44:41 PM
looks like the totals were actually 7-7, as I graded the Cincy over incorrectly. Should look like this:

02.15 Results
Sides: 7-4
Totals: 7-7

Mean Regression Record to Date
Sides: 16-11, .5926, +3.9u
Totals: 11-12, .4783, -4.3u
OVERALL: 27-23, .5500, +1.7u


looks a little better 
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#8
Posted: 2/17/2012 1:18:40 AM
The Troy side seemed too good to lose - I suppose just another reminder that there are no locks.

Only one play on Friday:

Totals:
  1. Valpo @ Loyola Marymount, U137

02.15 Results
Sides: 2-3
Totals: 1-0

Mean Regression Record to Date
Sides: 18-14, .5625, +2.6u
Totals: 12-12, .5000, -1.2u
OVERALL: 30-26, .5357, +1.4u
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#9
Posted: 2/17/2012 6:02:50 PM
Two more plays for tonight, so our card looks like this:

Sides:
  1. Loyola Marymount -5'
  2. VCU -5'

Totals:
  1. Valpo @ Loyola Marymount U137

GL.
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#10
Posted: 2/18/2012 9:45:42 AM
3-0 last night. Today's plays done soon. Here is the update thru 2/17:

02.17 Results
Sides: 2-0
Totals: 1-0

Mean Regression Record to Date
Sides: 20-14, 58.82%, +4.6u
Totals: 13-12, 52.00%, -0.2u
OVERALL: 33-26, 55.93%, +3.4u
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#11
Posted: 2/18/2012 11:59:32 AM
ill clean this up later, but these are the games that tip before 1:30

DePaul +10
UCLA O138
UNLV+4'
UNLV O141
Miami O136'
MD +10
NCSt -2
liberty O139
stony o124

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#12
Posted: 2/18/2012 1:24:48 PM
Tennessee O120.5
SC -3
Baylor O137.5
Okla +7'
Okla O139.5
Tex AM +7'
Tex AM O
Wash -3
Wash O140'
San DIego St. -4
KY O134
Fordham +21
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#13
Posted: 2/18/2012 1:33:38 PM
GW O133
OKSt +4
Seton +6
Seton O130
RI+11
NoTX O140
Utah+10'
Fla-5'
Charlotte +6
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#14
Posted: 2/18/2012 1:42:57 PM

Cornel O129'
gtown-7'
Dart O122'
NW-4
SClara+13
Aub+3'
Aub 131
SoBama O133
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#15
Posted: 2/18/2012 1:44:47 PM
Aub O 131
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#16
Posted: 2/19/2012 11:12:43 AM
Well, a lot of basketball, and we end up less than one game ahead of the juice:

02.18 Results
Sides: 11-9
Totals: 9-9

Mean Regression Record to Date
Sides: 31-23, 57.41%, +5.7u
Totals: 22-21, 51.16%, -1.1u
OVERALL: 53-44, 55.93%, +4.6u
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#17
Posted: 2/19/2012 11:19:12 AM


Here's what we have today:

Sides:
  1. Georgia +6
  2. Purdue +5
  3. Duke -15
  4. Pitt -6'
  5. Stanford -5

Totals:
  1. Georgia O130
  2. Rutgers O129'
  3. Iowa U153' ** 
  4. Pitt U123 (strongest play)
  5. Boston U O129' (2nd strongest play)
** - Indiana/Iowa total is at 151 at some books. I would probably not play it that low. Depending on the book, it's dropped 3-5 points since the open.

GL today

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#18
Posted: 2/19/2012 10:18:29 PM
Under .500 today. Monday's plays out soon.

02.19 Results
Sides: 1-4
Totals: 3-2

Mean Regression Record to Date
Sides: 32-27, 57.41%, +2.3u
Totals: 25-23, 52.08%, -0.3u
OVERALL: 57-50, 55.93%, +2.0u
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#19
Posted: 2/20/2012 12:15:17 AM
Just two for tomorrow right now:

Texas Southern +7'
Baylor U138
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#20
Posted: 2/21/2012 6:55:02 PM
1-1 yesterday. I'll update the totals after tonight:

Clemson -3'
Gtown O124'
Ohio St. -15
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#21
Posted: 2/21/2012 6:58:21 PM
Auburn +17
Kent State O132'
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#22
Posted: 2/21/2012 7:11:59 PM
a lot of plays tonight for a short card...

Michigan -2
Clev St. U129
Virginia -1'
New Mexico -6
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#23
Posted: 2/21/2012 7:39:07 PM
Maryland O139
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#24
Posted: 2/21/2012 9:32:44 PM
good start with a few pending...

WIN Clemson -3'
WIN Gtown O124'
WIN Ohio St. -15
WIN Auburn +17
LOSS Kent State O132'
Maryland O139
Michigan -2
Clev St. U129
Virginia -1'
New Mexico -6
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#25
Posted: 2/21/2012 9:46:04 PM
adding: New Mexico O135
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