Connecticut is a profitable 20-10 ATS versus teams with a winning record this season, including 11-3 ATS versus teams with a win percentage between .600 and .800. In addition, the Huskies are a money-making 12-1 ATS in all tournament games, 9-1 ATS versus non-conference opponents, 15-6 ATS after covering the spread, 11-4 ATS off three or more consecutive games and 25-8 ATS following a close win by three points or more this season. Let's also note that Connecticut head coach Jim Calhoun is now 42-13 SU in the NCAA Tournament, while the Big East Conference is a perfect 3-0 ATS in the NCAA Championship game.
Connecticut's success is predicated on being extremely well-balanced on both ends of the floor as the Huskies are averaging 72.8 points per game against teams that combine to allow just 65.8 points per game, while yielding just 65.4 points per game to teams that combine to score 70.8 points per game. Overall, Connecticut is 7.0 points per game better than average offensively and 5.4 points per game better than average defensively this season. I also like the fact that Connecticut is shooting 76.1% from the foul line, including 78.0% on the road and 81.0% over its last five games. In contrast, Butler is making 72.9% of its free throw attempts, including just 70.4% away from home this season. Moreover, Connecticut takes the court with a significant rebounding advantage as the Huskies are averaging 39 rebounds per game (+5.0 rebounds better than average), whereas the Bulldogs are pulling down just 35 rebounds per game (+1.0 rebounds better than average). And, after taking into account the fact that Connecticut is averaging five blocks per game compared to Butler's two blocks per game, it becomes evident that the Huskies will have success controlling the paint tonight against an overmatched Butler squad.
As I stated in my Final Four analysis, Connecticut has been a substantially better team since the commencement of the Big East Conference where the Huskies won five games in five days to capture the title. Indeed, if we compare both teams over since the beginning of the NCAA Tournament, my math model actually favors the Huskies by 5 1/2-points.
Last Six Games:
Connecticut
69.0 points per game (offense) 59.0 points per game (defense) 81.0% Free Throw rate 9 Turnovers 4 Blocks
Butler
67.2 points per game (offense) 63.0 points per game (defense) 72.1% Free Throw rate 11 Turnovers 2 Blocks
Connecticut also enters the championship game with a substantially stronger strength of schedule which includes wins over Michigan State, Kentucky (twice), Texas, Villanova, Tennessee, Marquette, Georgetown (twice), Cincinnati (twice), Pittsburgh, Louisville and Arizona, whereas the Bulldogs have quality wins over Florida State, Old Dominion, Pittsburgh, Wisconsin, Florida and Virginia Commonwealth. More importantly, when Butler had the opportunity to face very good defenses that were similar to Connecticut's, the Bulldogs suffered 88-73 and 82-70 blowout losses to Louisville and Duke, respectively.
Finally, Connecticut is a reliable 10-1 when playing on limited rest (<2 days), 12-0 on neutral courts and 10-0 versus non-conference opposition, whereas teams with a win percentage of less than .810 are a terrible 0-4 SU and ATS in the Championship game and 0-3 SU and ATS when seeded No. 5 or worse. With the Big East Conference standing at a perfect 6-0 ATS versus teams with a win percentage of less than .841 in all Final Four games
Connecticut is a profitable 20-10 ATS versus teams with a winning record this season, including 11-3 ATS versus teams with a win percentage between .600 and .800. In addition, the Huskies are a money-making 12-1 ATS in all tournament games, 9-1 ATS versus non-conference opponents, 15-6 ATS after covering the spread, 11-4 ATS off three or more consecutive games and 25-8 ATS following a close win by three points or more this season. Let's also note that Connecticut head coach Jim Calhoun is now 42-13 SU in the NCAA Tournament, while the Big East Conference is a perfect 3-0 ATS in the NCAA Championship game.
Connecticut's success is predicated on being extremely well-balanced on both ends of the floor as the Huskies are averaging 72.8 points per game against teams that combine to allow just 65.8 points per game, while yielding just 65.4 points per game to teams that combine to score 70.8 points per game. Overall, Connecticut is 7.0 points per game better than average offensively and 5.4 points per game better than average defensively this season. I also like the fact that Connecticut is shooting 76.1% from the foul line, including 78.0% on the road and 81.0% over its last five games. In contrast, Butler is making 72.9% of its free throw attempts, including just 70.4% away from home this season. Moreover, Connecticut takes the court with a significant rebounding advantage as the Huskies are averaging 39 rebounds per game (+5.0 rebounds better than average), whereas the Bulldogs are pulling down just 35 rebounds per game (+1.0 rebounds better than average). And, after taking into account the fact that Connecticut is averaging five blocks per game compared to Butler's two blocks per game, it becomes evident that the Huskies will have success controlling the paint tonight against an overmatched Butler squad.
As I stated in my Final Four analysis, Connecticut has been a substantially better team since the commencement of the Big East Conference where the Huskies won five games in five days to capture the title. Indeed, if we compare both teams over since the beginning of the NCAA Tournament, my math model actually favors the Huskies by 5 1/2-points.
Last Six Games:
Connecticut
69.0 points per game (offense) 59.0 points per game (defense) 81.0% Free Throw rate 9 Turnovers 4 Blocks
Butler
67.2 points per game (offense) 63.0 points per game (defense) 72.1% Free Throw rate 11 Turnovers 2 Blocks
Connecticut also enters the championship game with a substantially stronger strength of schedule which includes wins over Michigan State, Kentucky (twice), Texas, Villanova, Tennessee, Marquette, Georgetown (twice), Cincinnati (twice), Pittsburgh, Louisville and Arizona, whereas the Bulldogs have quality wins over Florida State, Old Dominion, Pittsburgh, Wisconsin, Florida and Virginia Commonwealth. More importantly, when Butler had the opportunity to face very good defenses that were similar to Connecticut's, the Bulldogs suffered 88-73 and 82-70 blowout losses to Louisville and Duke, respectively.
Finally, Connecticut is a reliable 10-1 when playing on limited rest (<2 days), 12-0 on neutral courts and 10-0 versus non-conference opposition, whereas teams with a win percentage of less than .810 are a terrible 0-4 SU and ATS in the Championship game and 0-3 SU and ATS when seeded No. 5 or worse. With the Big East Conference standing at a perfect 6-0 ATS versus teams with a win percentage of less than .841 in all Final Four games
Connecticut is a profitable 20-10 ATS versus teams with a winning record this season, including 11-3 ATS versus teams with a win percentage between .600 and .800. In addition, the Huskies are a money-making 12-1 ATS in all tournament games, 9-1 ATS versus non-conference opponents, 15-6 ATS after covering the spread, 11-4 ATS off three or more consecutive games and 25-8 ATS following a close win by three points or more this season. Let's also note that Connecticut head coach Jim Calhoun is now 42-13 SU in the NCAA Tournament, while the Big East Conference is a perfect 3-0 ATS in the NCAA Championship game.
Connecticut's success is predicated on being extremely well-balanced on both ends of the floor as the Huskies are averaging 72.8 points per game against teams that combine to allow just 65.8 points per game, while yielding just 65.4 points per game to teams that combine to score 70.8 points per game. Overall, Connecticut is 7.0 points per game better than average offensively and 5.4 points per game better than average defensively this season. I also like the fact that Connecticut is shooting 76.1% from the foul line, including 78.0% on the road and 81.0% over its last five games. In contrast, Butler is making 72.9% of its free throw attempts, including just 70.4% away from home this season. Moreover, Connecticut takes the court with a significant rebounding advantage as the Huskies are averaging 39 rebounds per game (+5.0 rebounds better than average), whereas the Bulldogs are pulling down just 35 rebounds per game (+1.0 rebounds better than average). And, after taking into account the fact that Connecticut is averaging five blocks per game compared to Butler's two blocks per game, it becomes evident that the Huskies will have success controlling the paint tonight against an overmatched Butler squad.
As I stated in my Final Four analysis, Connecticut has been a substantially better team since the commencement of the Big East Conference where the Huskies won five games in five days to capture the title. Indeed, if we compare both teams over since the beginning of the NCAA Tournament, my math model actually favors the Huskies by 5 1/2-points.
Last Six Games:
Connecticut
69.0 points per game (offense) 59.0 points per game (defense) 81.0% Free Throw rate 9 Turnovers 4 Blocks
Butler
67.2 points per game (offense) 63.0 points per game (defense) 72.1% Free Throw rate 11 Turnovers 2 Blocks
Connecticut also enters the championship game with a substantially stronger strength of schedule which includes wins over Michigan State, Kentucky (twice), Texas, Villanova, Tennessee, Marquette, Georgetown (twice), Cincinnati (twice), Pittsburgh, Louisville and Arizona, whereas the Bulldogs have quality wins over Florida State, Old Dominion, Pittsburgh, Wisconsin, Florida and Virginia Commonwealth. More importantly, when Butler had the opportunity to face very good defenses that were similar to Connecticut's, the Bulldogs suffered 88-73 and 82-70 blowout losses to Louisville and Duke, respectively.
Finally, Connecticut is a reliable 10-1 when playing on limited rest (<2 days), 12-0 on neutral courts and 10-0 versus non-conference opposition, whereas teams with a win percentage of less than .810 are a terrible 0-4 SU and ATS in the Championship game and 0-3 SU and ATS when seeded No. 5 or worse. With the Big East Conference standing at a perfect 6-0 ATS versus teams with a win percentage of less than .841 in all Final Four games
I see that you like to engage in copyright infringement. If you do not call the handicapper in question (you know the number) in the next 24 hours, your membership will be revoked and legal proceedings will be commenced forthwith. By contacting the handicapper in question, you will not lose your membership benefits, nor will any legal action be taken.
Connecticut is a profitable 20-10 ATS versus teams with a winning record this season, including 11-3 ATS versus teams with a win percentage between .600 and .800. In addition, the Huskies are a money-making 12-1 ATS in all tournament games, 9-1 ATS versus non-conference opponents, 15-6 ATS after covering the spread, 11-4 ATS off three or more consecutive games and 25-8 ATS following a close win by three points or more this season. Let's also note that Connecticut head coach Jim Calhoun is now 42-13 SU in the NCAA Tournament, while the Big East Conference is a perfect 3-0 ATS in the NCAA Championship game.
Connecticut's success is predicated on being extremely well-balanced on both ends of the floor as the Huskies are averaging 72.8 points per game against teams that combine to allow just 65.8 points per game, while yielding just 65.4 points per game to teams that combine to score 70.8 points per game. Overall, Connecticut is 7.0 points per game better than average offensively and 5.4 points per game better than average defensively this season. I also like the fact that Connecticut is shooting 76.1% from the foul line, including 78.0% on the road and 81.0% over its last five games. In contrast, Butler is making 72.9% of its free throw attempts, including just 70.4% away from home this season. Moreover, Connecticut takes the court with a significant rebounding advantage as the Huskies are averaging 39 rebounds per game (+5.0 rebounds better than average), whereas the Bulldogs are pulling down just 35 rebounds per game (+1.0 rebounds better than average). And, after taking into account the fact that Connecticut is averaging five blocks per game compared to Butler's two blocks per game, it becomes evident that the Huskies will have success controlling the paint tonight against an overmatched Butler squad.
As I stated in my Final Four analysis, Connecticut has been a substantially better team since the commencement of the Big East Conference where the Huskies won five games in five days to capture the title. Indeed, if we compare both teams over since the beginning of the NCAA Tournament, my math model actually favors the Huskies by 5 1/2-points.
Last Six Games:
Connecticut
69.0 points per game (offense) 59.0 points per game (defense) 81.0% Free Throw rate 9 Turnovers 4 Blocks
Butler
67.2 points per game (offense) 63.0 points per game (defense) 72.1% Free Throw rate 11 Turnovers 2 Blocks
Connecticut also enters the championship game with a substantially stronger strength of schedule which includes wins over Michigan State, Kentucky (twice), Texas, Villanova, Tennessee, Marquette, Georgetown (twice), Cincinnati (twice), Pittsburgh, Louisville and Arizona, whereas the Bulldogs have quality wins over Florida State, Old Dominion, Pittsburgh, Wisconsin, Florida and Virginia Commonwealth. More importantly, when Butler had the opportunity to face very good defenses that were similar to Connecticut's, the Bulldogs suffered 88-73 and 82-70 blowout losses to Louisville and Duke, respectively.
Finally, Connecticut is a reliable 10-1 when playing on limited rest (<2 days), 12-0 on neutral courts and 10-0 versus non-conference opposition, whereas teams with a win percentage of less than .810 are a terrible 0-4 SU and ATS in the Championship game and 0-3 SU and ATS when seeded No. 5 or worse. With the Big East Conference standing at a perfect 6-0 ATS versus teams with a win percentage of less than .841 in all Final Four games
I see that you like to engage in copyright infringement. If you do not call the handicapper in question (you know the number) in the next 24 hours, your membership will be revoked and legal proceedings will be commenced forthwith. By contacting the handicapper in question, you will not lose your membership benefits, nor will any legal action be taken.
You got this place all wrong; you are supposed to have a title to your thread all in caps begging people to look inside; once there, we are supposed to read how hot you have been and what a huge amount of money you have made everybody this year if they were smart enough to tail you. An intelligent write-up based on stats and trends goes against everything this place stands for!
Seriously, tho, love the pick and write-up, makes me feel even better about UConn rolling tonite. Nicely done!
You got this place all wrong; you are supposed to have a title to your thread all in caps begging people to look inside; once there, we are supposed to read how hot you have been and what a huge amount of money you have made everybody this year if they were smart enough to tail you. An intelligent write-up based on stats and trends goes against everything this place stands for!
Seriously, tho, love the pick and write-up, makes me feel even better about UConn rolling tonite. Nicely done!
Excellent write-up!!! Gotta go with uconn-3,good luck,lets get this!!Also I am going to sprinkle a little something on the under 131.5 @ the moment!!!Public is driving this thing way up.
Excellent write-up!!! Gotta go with uconn-3,good luck,lets get this!!Also I am going to sprinkle a little something on the under 131.5 @ the moment!!!Public is driving this thing way up.
I see that you like to engage in copyright infringement. If you do not call the handicapper in question (you know the number) in the next 24 hours, your membership will be revoked and legal proceedings will be commenced forthwith. By contacting the handicapper in question, you will not lose your membership benefits, nor will any legal action be taken.
damn, Im even scared bro...."run and hide, run and hide"
I see that you like to engage in copyright infringement. If you do not call the handicapper in question (you know the number) in the next 24 hours, your membership will be revoked and legal proceedings will be commenced forthwith. By contacting the handicapper in question, you will not lose your membership benefits, nor will any legal action be taken.
damn, Im even scared bro...."run and hide, run and hide"
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