Nick Kyrgios -240
I have gone back forth on this all day. But we are rolling with King Kyrgios again. This tournament is on his racquet and he knows it. He's got his bright lights again in prime time when the whole tennis world is watching. I've never seen him not show up for a match when he knows all eyes are on him. Kyrgios' powerful serve and elite shotmaking is the kryptonite to a baseline grinder like ferrer. Kyrgios knows he probably won't ever have a much smoother path to an ATP 1000 title. It's his tournament to lose