That sounds like a license to print money if it was legitimate. I found it on amazon and it's $200 lol. No reviews or anything either, how did you find it? Also just because the method worked so far, doesn't mean there will be future positive results.
That sounds like a license to print money if it was legitimate. I found it on amazon and it's $200 lol. No reviews or anything either, how did you find it? Also just because the method worked so far, doesn't mean there will be future positive results.
If his system worked, why did he need to waste time writing a book instead of devoting said energies to maximizing his "12%" revenue stream? Also, this is a zero sum game. We can't all win, you win the money others have lost, so why would you want to dilute your pool of winnable cash by sharing such knowledge, thus increase the winnings of others thus diluting the pool of cash you seek to win from?
If he was for real, he'd sell his picks, not sell the system behind the picks. That way his bets would get first crack at player A's odds before other bets from book purchasers could move them before he himself bet, and he'd guarantee an ongoing secondary revenue stream from the picks being bought day in & day out rather than the one time limited lump sum payment given up for the purchase of a book. Let's not kid ourselves: if you could sell a guaranteed 12% return, you could charge a sight lot more than $200 to just one person for a mere handful of picks.
What this smells like is a guy who is done with betting, probably lucked onto something that worked for a short time when he was betting, he then figured out a way to back-engineer a betting system out of his brief period of success that looks good with hindsight, and is looking to make some guaranteed cash by charging through the roof for something he knows has no similar guarantee of replicating its results in the future (and it's this no guarantee angle that shoots down any thought he might have of selling picks). Those buying the book will get seduced by how well the back-engineered system looks, and when it doesn't work all the time (no doubt if it has anything to it at all it'll work sometimes/for brief periods), the buyers will have no comeback since the author's retort will be, well life's like that. Things change, seek to tweak the system to account for unforeseen changes.
Cliff notes: if his system really worked as consistently as it is portrayed as doing so over 20,000 previous matches then he'd be selling picks, not selling a book.
If his system worked, why did he need to waste time writing a book instead of devoting said energies to maximizing his "12%" revenue stream? Also, this is a zero sum game. We can't all win, you win the money others have lost, so why would you want to dilute your pool of winnable cash by sharing such knowledge, thus increase the winnings of others thus diluting the pool of cash you seek to win from?
If he was for real, he'd sell his picks, not sell the system behind the picks. That way his bets would get first crack at player A's odds before other bets from book purchasers could move them before he himself bet, and he'd guarantee an ongoing secondary revenue stream from the picks being bought day in & day out rather than the one time limited lump sum payment given up for the purchase of a book. Let's not kid ourselves: if you could sell a guaranteed 12% return, you could charge a sight lot more than $200 to just one person for a mere handful of picks.
What this smells like is a guy who is done with betting, probably lucked onto something that worked for a short time when he was betting, he then figured out a way to back-engineer a betting system out of his brief period of success that looks good with hindsight, and is looking to make some guaranteed cash by charging through the roof for something he knows has no similar guarantee of replicating its results in the future (and it's this no guarantee angle that shoots down any thought he might have of selling picks). Those buying the book will get seduced by how well the back-engineered system looks, and when it doesn't work all the time (no doubt if it has anything to it at all it'll work sometimes/for brief periods), the buyers will have no comeback since the author's retort will be, well life's like that. Things change, seek to tweak the system to account for unforeseen changes.
Cliff notes: if his system really worked as consistently as it is portrayed as doing so over 20,000 previous matches then he'd be selling picks, not selling a book.
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