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Author: [Tennis] Topic: AUSSIE'S TENNIS picks...
Aussieguy send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#1
Posted: 10/5/2008 10:53:55 PM
Man oh man what can I say. I'm having a week where even if I try to pick my nose, I keep poking my eye...
My Tennis bets have saved my A$$ somehow though, but whatever I win here, I keep losing it in Football. 
Anyway, my capping philosphy is that there will be winning streaks as well as losing streaks along the way. There is the short term luck and law of averages at work too.  SO It evens out eventually, but as long as we keep our head above water, we should be fine! Having said all that though, it's excrusciating to lose more than a few in a row, no matter which you look at it, you feel devestated. Chin up though, let's keep playing percentage and let's not be tempted to chase (I keep telling me as much I keep telling you) I know it sux when you win 2 Units and lose 5 and temptation gets the better of you sometime, but don't do it!
 
To the bloody Tennis Picks today:
STARACE over Chardy. Both guys are claycourt players. A bit of a toss of a coin here. The Italian (Starace) is much better player in general. Chardy has hit some solid form over the last 5-6 mnths. I like Starace here though, because of his vast experience and, I think I've said this before, but he is immaculate on the red dirt. He could give Rafa and Ferrer and Almagro a really good run for their money, on clay. Solid player really.  The hard turf doesn't favour neither player here, and I am sticking with the old guy. Chardy is a great up and comer but hasn't made a believer out of me yet! Hopefully, doesn't make a believer out of me at my own expense today! 
Pick: STARACE for 2 Units. I can't get first set betting yet and I will wait a litle closer to game time. And if I can't get that option I will play him to win the match. But if any of my books offer First Set, then I will take that, as I feel he will be a better starter... I suggest you do the same!
JC FERRERO over Big Ivo
Yeah the Big man has an incredible serve. Yeah he might pass as far as some of his volleyies go too! But apart from that the Big Croat has no game left. I've also noticed that during the past couple of months, his serve has been all over the place. Add to this equation that JC Ferrero is being offered at such a price today, and I can't help but make a play on the better player (imo!)
If Ivo's serve is on fire, then we're in trouble. Period.  But hopefully he continues his inconsistent serving percentage and JC Ferrero's all court game should see him over the line today!
Pick FERRERO to win match 2 Unit play
Cibulkova - Bartoli. Another very close call, but I'm giving Bartoli thumbs up here. I've got the option with tabonline to take her to Win First Set, so I'm taking that, as she's been really solid from the starter versus the Slovakian who can take a while to calm her nerves down! Bartoli is at Pick em for the first set. And it's pretty good value. I am aware that most of you can't get that, so I say take her for the full game, if you have no option!
Pick: BARTOLI to Win First Set for 2Units
Risking 6 Units here tonight hopefully the dogs will bark and pay off..... BOL
 AUSSIE  
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#2
Posted: 10/5/2008 11:12:55 PM
Just took your bets Aussie, best of luck! Hopefully after the ridiculously high scoring first half in the Sunday night game, we can get back on track.
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#3
Posted: 10/5/2008 11:32:01 PM
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#4
Posted: 10/5/2008 11:33:16 PM
I kind on like IVO over JC Ferrero, but I respect the write up.
 
I think you good on the STARCE play but staying away!
 
Good LUCK
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#5
Posted: 10/5/2008 11:34:08 PM
Cibulkova - Bartoli
 
I gotta stay away!  The WTA has been KICKING my behind!
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#6
Posted: 10/5/2008 11:43:01 PM
I like your Ferrero and Bartoli picks, GL aussie
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#7
Posted: 10/5/2008 11:47:08 PM
What do you think about the SANTORO MATCH?
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#8
Posted: 10/5/2008 11:52:27 PM
after reading your writeup on starace vs chardy i have come to an agreement with you. chardy reminds me of schwank because both of them came out of nowhere to go deep into the french open, and then starace played schwank somewhat recently and kicked his behind because he's got the experience and is just the better all around player. so, we could see a similar result here with starace and chardy. the line changed in our favor so i think i am going to play starace for a unit now.
also with you on ferrero. BOL aussie. lets get the paper.
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#9
Posted: 10/5/2008 11:53:44 PM
Got on Ferrero and Bartoli and will wait like yourself for the 1st set option on the Starace match.  Can't get over that name STAR ACE, must be a winner.  Still got 5 hours.  Bad Luck on the NFL today,  your analysis was not completely wrong as the second half total was 13, just unlucky.  Flip the two halves around and we would have been winners.  Good luck on the tennis. 
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#10
Posted: 10/6/2008 12:03:58 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by NOMOREPPARLAYS:

  ...Can't get over that name STAR ACE, must be a winner...... 

Had never thought of that That''s fantastic!  Brought a smile to my face after a horrendous, miserable and gloomy day. Hopefully the star ace shows us the paper tonight.

Yeah mate I thought exactely the same. The Second half portrayed more to the piont what my take was on this match. But we can all be 20/20 hindsight experts now, can't we?!!! But really it shouldn't have totaled more than 27 pts. What can you do after a freakish first half though?! 

Arghhhhhhh ... Hopefully tonight we get a little luckier  

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#11
Posted: 10/6/2008 1:17:47 AM
Cheers Aussie.
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#12
Posted: 10/6/2008 4:23:33 AM
Don't usually play tennis but I'm an Auss believer.  Gonna hit them hard baby!  Hey Auss can you add me as a friend.  Would love to join your group of winners.  If you want that is.  Thanks again for the great Pics bro!
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#13
Posted: 10/6/2008 4:37:32 AM
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#14
Posted: 10/6/2008 5:06:42 AM
Almost time for the first ball to be tossed. Starace has drifted off to $2.65!!! The public seems to be all over Chardy! I couldn't get First Set betting, so I'm in for the whole match. BOL everyone ..   
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#15
Posted: 10/6/2008 5:08:28 AM
where can i find this match as Aussie? thanks
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#16
Posted: 10/6/2008 5:10:07 AM
Check the updated scores on atp website http://www.protennislive.com/frameset.asp?year=2008&wkno=41&lang=en&tabno=1&eventid=M014&ref=www.atptennis.com
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#17
Posted: 10/6/2008 5:11:48 AM
one more thing...do you like Guillermo-garcia today?? he plays in an hour bro-cheers
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#18
Posted: 10/6/2008 5:17:18 AM
Have no opinion on that mate. Sorry. I looked at that match up and I just thought he was way too short. Like I said to mvp about Santoro, he might win but way way too short to bet on him.  It could go either way (what an Einstein I am to "correctly" gues that it might be going either way???!!!!)  But not the kind of play I'd make or recommend bro. BOL if you end up taking it though. Also to be kept in mind, Garcia Lopez has been struggling alot lately
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#19
Posted: 10/6/2008 5:27:20 AM
thanks man..good luck with Starace ...like the pick!
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#20
Posted: 10/6/2008 5:48:54 AM

Bloody Starace 5-2 a double break up!  Hopefully he keeps this garbage up for us boys, cause I'm so freakin sick and tired of the last few picks ..............

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#21
Posted: 10/6/2008 5:54:40 AM
First Set to Starace 6-3...
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#22
Posted: 10/6/2008 5:55:44 AM
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#23
Posted: 10/6/2008 5:57:14 AM
Yes, my streak has come to an end unfortunately am feeling the effects at the moment. So i am hopefully waiting to get back on that winning horse asap.
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#24
Posted: 10/6/2008 5:58:47 AM
thanks aussie, i took the first set option.... hopefully ur other two picks hit and u have a nice week
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#25
Posted: 10/6/2008 6:03:42 AM
Hey Aussie,
 
Whats your view on the Vaidisova v Dushevina game??
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