The odds for the draw in this game opened at 2.55/+155 and I discarded it, however prices have improved to once again reflect some decent value. 3 of the quarter finals have ended in draws and I expect at least one of the semi finals to go into extra time. When you have the total set at 2 goals the odds for a draw should be where they were set at the open, when you have the evenly matched caliber of teams remaining.
2. Lazio/Napoli OVER 2.5 @ 1.96/-104 (ITA) 2 Units
Seven of the past 8 games for Napoli have gone over & for Lazio, 5 of the past 8 also finished over 2.5 goals. Napoli is the top scoring team in Italy with 50 GF their games average 3.14 goals per game. Lazio averages 2.68 goals per game. The last head to head fixture finished with a 5-0 win for Napoli in September and prior to that a 4-2 result for Lazio back in May. Italy has been historically a low scoring league but it does average 2.6 goals per match which is the exact same as the EPL. Any price better that 1.80/-125 is value on my radar.
BOL---
February 3-2 +3.30 Units January 40-47-2 +19.92 Units
The odds for the draw in this game opened at 2.55/+155 and I discarded it, however prices have improved to once again reflect some decent value. 3 of the quarter finals have ended in draws and I expect at least one of the semi finals to go into extra time. When you have the total set at 2 goals the odds for a draw should be where they were set at the open, when you have the evenly matched caliber of teams remaining.
2. Lazio/Napoli OVER 2.5 @ 1.96/-104 (ITA) 2 Units
Seven of the past 8 games for Napoli have gone over & for Lazio, 5 of the past 8 also finished over 2.5 goals. Napoli is the top scoring team in Italy with 50 GF their games average 3.14 goals per game. Lazio averages 2.68 goals per game. The last head to head fixture finished with a 5-0 win for Napoli in September and prior to that a 4-2 result for Lazio back in May. Italy has been historically a low scoring league but it does average 2.6 goals per match which is the exact same as the EPL. Any price better that 1.80/-125 is value on my radar.
BOL---
February 3-2 +3.30 Units January 40-47-2 +19.92 Units
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