Two teams that rely heavily on a defence first, attack later mentality. It certainly makes plenty of sense to see a similar game as the one in Turin a week ago, but betting the U2.5 @ 1.48 is just pure stupidity. At this level, anything can happen since the individual talent is supreme. The only thing that makes sense to me is the fact that Monaco require at least 1 goal in order to survive the 2 leg endeavor, and that will play perfectly into Juventus hands. Expect Juventus to find that all important away goal, and clinically finish off Monaco.
Juventus @ 2.28 ( 2 units )
A. Madrid / R. Madrid
These two teams have so much recent history together that neither one will surprise the other. I would normally lean to Real here, knowing that their superior midfield, and having the most talented player Ronaldo on the pitch, would be more then enough to sway me. However, injuries to Bale, Benzema and Modric, and the suspension to Marcello, more then outweigh the possible loss of Mandzukic to Atletico. Its a no play for me until I see confirmed line ups, but its extremely tempting to back Atletico @ 4.33 or DNB @ 2.70. Any goal in this game, will change the whole complexion of the 2 leg affair, and make the Over 2.5 @ 2.15 a moot point.
Santos Dg @ 1.92 ( 3 units ) Costa Rica 5pm est
Santos Dg -1 @ 2.84 ( 2 units )
Dep Tachiro @ 1.92 ( 3 units )
Lean:
Sao Paulo @ 2.10
This game is important to Sao Paulo and has no meaning to Corinthians outside of the heated rivalry between the two teams. Im assuming that Corinthians will rest players tonight, but I will await commentary from Beertapper before pulling the trigger.
Two teams that rely heavily on a defence first, attack later mentality. It certainly makes plenty of sense to see a similar game as the one in Turin a week ago, but betting the U2.5 @ 1.48 is just pure stupidity. At this level, anything can happen since the individual talent is supreme. The only thing that makes sense to me is the fact that Monaco require at least 1 goal in order to survive the 2 leg endeavor, and that will play perfectly into Juventus hands. Expect Juventus to find that all important away goal, and clinically finish off Monaco.
Juventus @ 2.28 ( 2 units )
A. Madrid / R. Madrid
These two teams have so much recent history together that neither one will surprise the other. I would normally lean to Real here, knowing that their superior midfield, and having the most talented player Ronaldo on the pitch, would be more then enough to sway me. However, injuries to Bale, Benzema and Modric, and the suspension to Marcello, more then outweigh the possible loss of Mandzukic to Atletico. Its a no play for me until I see confirmed line ups, but its extremely tempting to back Atletico @ 4.33 or DNB @ 2.70. Any goal in this game, will change the whole complexion of the 2 leg affair, and make the Over 2.5 @ 2.15 a moot point.
Santos Dg @ 1.92 ( 3 units ) Costa Rica 5pm est
Santos Dg -1 @ 2.84 ( 2 units )
Dep Tachiro @ 1.92 ( 3 units )
Lean:
Sao Paulo @ 2.10
This game is important to Sao Paulo and has no meaning to Corinthians outside of the heated rivalry between the two teams. Im assuming that Corinthians will rest players tonight, but I will await commentary from Beertapper before pulling the trigger.
Just a word of note.......Money management is everything. Not to over kill the obvious, but to remind people not to drink the Kool Aid when someone puts smoke and mirrors in front of you. Its an illusion. If you wager on heavily juiced games @ .50 return on every $1, you will need to win 67 % just to break even. So don't buy into Tout services, or Tout Wannabes who promote records like 8 - 3 last 11 wagers etc. Risk / Reward should always be your first consideration.
Just a word of note.......Money management is everything. Not to over kill the obvious, but to remind people not to drink the Kool Aid when someone puts smoke and mirrors in front of you. Its an illusion. If you wager on heavily juiced games @ .50 return on every $1, you will need to win 67 % just to break even. So don't buy into Tout services, or Tout Wannabes who promote records like 8 - 3 last 11 wagers etc. Risk / Reward should always be your first consideration.
Franz what's your real record without all these live bets you have posted. Your good with them you hit 49% but if you exclude all your live bets you will be in a huge loss.
Franz what's your real record without all these live bets you have posted. Your good with them you hit 49% but if you exclude all your live bets you will be in a huge loss.
São Paulo has to win today to qualify...You're right that Corinthians have little to play for but they are undefeated in the Copa. I'm not playing this one but lean under.
The conspiracy angle says Corinthians will let São Paulo win to eliminate San Lorenzo....thus allowing both Brazilian teams in the group to advance and eliminating the Argentine side. Something like this took place last week with Tigres beating Juan Aurich in a crazy game. That let river plate squeak by into the next round...
São Paulo has to win today to qualify...You're right that Corinthians have little to play for but they are undefeated in the Copa. I'm not playing this one but lean under.
The conspiracy angle says Corinthians will let São Paulo win to eliminate San Lorenzo....thus allowing both Brazilian teams in the group to advance and eliminating the Argentine side. Something like this took place last week with Tigres beating Juan Aurich in a crazy game. That let river plate squeak by into the next round...
LFC........Actually im probably 50 / 50 on my live bets, but I fail to see what difference it makes either way. I love betting " ljve " wagers when a heavy fav is down early in a game. Feel free tk note all times of my posts and research every wager I post.....heck, I insist. Just because one angry Bigot / Racist name Samjakjor questioned them without substance doesnt mean squat. Only angry losers make false claims, or misleading statements.
LFC........Actually im probably 50 / 50 on my live bets, but I fail to see what difference it makes either way. I love betting " ljve " wagers when a heavy fav is down early in a game. Feel free tk note all times of my posts and research every wager I post.....heck, I insist. Just because one angry Bigot / Racist name Samjakjor questioned them without substance doesnt mean squat. Only angry losers make false claims, or misleading statements.
Franz what's your real record without all these live bets you have posted. Your good with them you hit 49% but if you exclude all your live bets you will be in a huge loss.GL today.
If I take away the 49% of live wagers as u stated......how would I be down money. Im up over 11 grand this term. I can only assume math is an issue for you. Gl as well. I will await your pointing out the flaw in my " live " wages.
Franz what's your real record without all these live bets you have posted. Your good with them you hit 49% but if you exclude all your live bets you will be in a huge loss.GL today.
If I take away the 49% of live wagers as u stated......how would I be down money. Im up over 11 grand this term. I can only assume math is an issue for you. Gl as well. I will await your pointing out the flaw in my " live " wages.
If I take away the 49% of live wagers as u stated......how would I be down money. Im up over 11 grand this term. I can only assume math is an issue for you. Gl as well. I will await your pointing out the flaw in my " live " wages.
Did your misledaing comments and false claims about me a few days ago make you an agry loser. I doubt so. Your overall win rate is 49%. Not only your live bets. Your live bets are at least 60% imo. My point was that if you exclude them from your total strike rate of 45% what will be your real record and strike rate ? I have a friend with 48% win rate but with 9% Yield which is huge but his average odds are around 2.5. If you have SR below 50% your count on average odds beyond 2. I don't know what's your average odds though.
If I take away the 49% of live wagers as u stated......how would I be down money. Im up over 11 grand this term. I can only assume math is an issue for you. Gl as well. I will await your pointing out the flaw in my " live " wages.
Did your misledaing comments and false claims about me a few days ago make you an agry loser. I doubt so. Your overall win rate is 49%. Not only your live bets. Your live bets are at least 60% imo. My point was that if you exclude them from your total strike rate of 45% what will be your real record and strike rate ? I have a friend with 48% win rate but with 9% Yield which is huge but his average odds are around 2.5. If you have SR below 50% your count on average odds beyond 2. I don't know what's your average odds though.
FRANZ ,your predictions always ROCK HARD ,WIN ARE LOOSE,ITS WORTH A TRY AND I AM WAY ON TOP JUST BY KEEPING UP WITH YOU,I DONT BET ON ALL BUT YOU MAKE MY MINE UP ,SO I HIT HARD, AND YOU GOT IT GOING ON....................LIKE...............................ALL THE TIME
FRANZ ,your predictions always ROCK HARD ,WIN ARE LOOSE,ITS WORTH A TRY AND I AM WAY ON TOP JUST BY KEEPING UP WITH YOU,I DONT BET ON ALL BUT YOU MAKE MY MINE UP ,SO I HIT HARD, AND YOU GOT IT GOING ON....................LIKE...............................ALL THE TIME
Did your misledaing comments and false claims about me a few days ago make you an agry loser. I doubt so. Your overall win rate is 49%. Not only your live bets. Your live bets are at least 60% imo. My point was that if you exclude them from your total strike rate of 45% what will be your real record and strike rate ? I have a friend with 48% win rate but with 9% Yield which is huge but his average odds are around 2.5. If you have SR below 50% your count on average odds beyond 2. I don't know what's your average odds though.
Just to clarify, I was never angry and approached you in a very civilized manner, as pointed out to you by others in your thread that day. I merely asked how your record was now 13 - 2 when you had posted only 2 days earlier that you were 10 - 3. Seemed like simple math to me.
As to your above comments regarding percentages of wins and losses, I would be more then happy to educate you. To me, what you win or lose Money wise is the ONLY standard that matters. I could care less if my record was 20 - 50, so long as I was up money. That's a no brainer for me because why else are you wagering / investing if not to make money. I post several longshots or 2 team parlays lately, that are for .5 or 1 unit. They will lose most of the time, but when they hit its a decent payoff. They are also classified as a wager, just as a 5 unit wager for an outright win would be.
" Live " bets: MANY cappers here on Covers utilize live wagering to their advantage, unlike yourself who claimed 2 days ago that they were stupid. Allow me once again to educate you on the bonuses to wagering as such. Upon my initial research I will come across teams that I think will win with ease, but don't care to wager at heavy juice / risk without any equal reward. I often keep a separate sheet / list of these games and have " flashscore " on one of my two screens. When a goal against the run of play is scored, the new line for that heavy favorite is now of value. all that is in question is time value or intrinsic value ( terms, and trading strategies I apply to wagering from my 20 years in the finance industry ). I do not post as many live wagers as straight wagers but will use my last, and most recent " live " wager as an example for you.
Re: Monday April 20th
Warriors ( Singapore Armed Forces ) were playing at a bottom feeders stadium in Singapore. The game was a 7:30est kickoff, and Warriors were down 1 - 0 at halftime. The new price on Warriors " live " to win was 4.40. They had scored a minimum of 2 goals in a long stretch of games ( all wins ). So I placed @ 8: 31 est, a wager on the over 2.5 @ 1.78 and Warriors to win outright @ 4.40. The tying and winning goals did not occur unti 30 minutes later, as facts will bare me out. That is what I call SMART wagering/ investing, as opposed to wagering 1 unit on a wager that will only give me a .50 return.
Again, please feel free to bring up any particular wager you wish for discussion. I will be the first to admit that I USE all the good cappers on this site to benefit me in my daily wagering / investing. You should get out more and try it......Its absolutely FREE here on covers. No hidden agendas or misleading information, just a great bunch of people sharing info and insight in an effort to make money. I hope this will help you moving forward here on Covers.
Did your misledaing comments and false claims about me a few days ago make you an agry loser. I doubt so. Your overall win rate is 49%. Not only your live bets. Your live bets are at least 60% imo. My point was that if you exclude them from your total strike rate of 45% what will be your real record and strike rate ? I have a friend with 48% win rate but with 9% Yield which is huge but his average odds are around 2.5. If you have SR below 50% your count on average odds beyond 2. I don't know what's your average odds though.
Just to clarify, I was never angry and approached you in a very civilized manner, as pointed out to you by others in your thread that day. I merely asked how your record was now 13 - 2 when you had posted only 2 days earlier that you were 10 - 3. Seemed like simple math to me.
As to your above comments regarding percentages of wins and losses, I would be more then happy to educate you. To me, what you win or lose Money wise is the ONLY standard that matters. I could care less if my record was 20 - 50, so long as I was up money. That's a no brainer for me because why else are you wagering / investing if not to make money. I post several longshots or 2 team parlays lately, that are for .5 or 1 unit. They will lose most of the time, but when they hit its a decent payoff. They are also classified as a wager, just as a 5 unit wager for an outright win would be.
" Live " bets: MANY cappers here on Covers utilize live wagering to their advantage, unlike yourself who claimed 2 days ago that they were stupid. Allow me once again to educate you on the bonuses to wagering as such. Upon my initial research I will come across teams that I think will win with ease, but don't care to wager at heavy juice / risk without any equal reward. I often keep a separate sheet / list of these games and have " flashscore " on one of my two screens. When a goal against the run of play is scored, the new line for that heavy favorite is now of value. all that is in question is time value or intrinsic value ( terms, and trading strategies I apply to wagering from my 20 years in the finance industry ). I do not post as many live wagers as straight wagers but will use my last, and most recent " live " wager as an example for you.
Re: Monday April 20th
Warriors ( Singapore Armed Forces ) were playing at a bottom feeders stadium in Singapore. The game was a 7:30est kickoff, and Warriors were down 1 - 0 at halftime. The new price on Warriors " live " to win was 4.40. They had scored a minimum of 2 goals in a long stretch of games ( all wins ). So I placed @ 8: 31 est, a wager on the over 2.5 @ 1.78 and Warriors to win outright @ 4.40. The tying and winning goals did not occur unti 30 minutes later, as facts will bare me out. That is what I call SMART wagering/ investing, as opposed to wagering 1 unit on a wager that will only give me a .50 return.
Again, please feel free to bring up any particular wager you wish for discussion. I will be the first to admit that I USE all the good cappers on this site to benefit me in my daily wagering / investing. You should get out more and try it......Its absolutely FREE here on covers. No hidden agendas or misleading information, just a great bunch of people sharing info and insight in an effort to make money. I hope this will help you moving forward here on Covers.
FRANZ ,your predictions always ROCK HARD ,WIN ARE LOOSE,ITS WORTH A TRY AND I AM WAY ON TOP JUST BY KEEPING UP WITH YOU,I DONT BET ON ALL BUT YOU MAKE MY MINE UP ,SO I HIT HARD, AND YOU GOT IT GOING ON....................LIKE...............................ALL THE TIME
And that's why we are here........Lets keep on cashing buddy.
FRANZ ,your predictions always ROCK HARD ,WIN ARE LOOSE,ITS WORTH A TRY AND I AM WAY ON TOP JUST BY KEEPING UP WITH YOU,I DONT BET ON ALL BUT YOU MAKE MY MINE UP ,SO I HIT HARD, AND YOU GOT IT GOING ON....................LIKE...............................ALL THE TIME
And that's why we are here........Lets keep on cashing buddy.
live bet is dangerous when someone doesnt use proper money management. i use live bet a lot when it comes to hoops, years back it was very tough to cap NBA. but with live bet, i am able to generate 15-20%more return per season even the odds is like 1.85.
here is my 2cents, making a living out of a living is not suit for everyone and not every method of betting suits all bettors/investors. find out what suits you.
but most importantly be open to what people say, listen to criticism from fellas in the same trade but never from people that never tried. after the 2 main ingredient to success is confidence and ignorance and never arrogance
live bet is dangerous when someone doesnt use proper money management. i use live bet a lot when it comes to hoops, years back it was very tough to cap NBA. but with live bet, i am able to generate 15-20%more return per season even the odds is like 1.85.
here is my 2cents, making a living out of a living is not suit for everyone and not every method of betting suits all bettors/investors. find out what suits you.
but most importantly be open to what people say, listen to criticism from fellas in the same trade but never from people that never tried. after the 2 main ingredient to success is confidence and ignorance and never arrogance
Dude I have the feeling that you are reading what you want to read and you always act like you understand everything.You were spamming and lieing about me and this is not a civilized manner. Everytime I posted my record when I was 11-2 I was saying my last soccer bets. You were trying to blame me of claiming that was my only record. Yet again you are talking bullshit. I didn't say that Live Betting is stupid because I posted 2 live bets as well-both won. I was saying it's stupid to post live bets in thread where I keep a record. Nobody can take the same odds if they don't check your thread every second. And with my last post I was trying to say that I highly doubt this is your true record. Sometimes I feel your living in a different world with all your behaviour.
Dude I have the feeling that you are reading what you want to read and you always act like you understand everything.You were spamming and lieing about me and this is not a civilized manner. Everytime I posted my record when I was 11-2 I was saying my last soccer bets. You were trying to blame me of claiming that was my only record. Yet again you are talking bullshit. I didn't say that Live Betting is stupid because I posted 2 live bets as well-both won. I was saying it's stupid to post live bets in thread where I keep a record. Nobody can take the same odds if they don't check your thread every second. And with my last post I was trying to say that I highly doubt this is your true record. Sometimes I feel your living in a different world with all your behaviour.
Franzzzz!!! Juve Juve!! Hope we see 1-0 and we both win! So Nucks and Flamers get 4 but nothing in the third, empty netter would have been nice. Hope U hit the Flames ML, Nucks R done, don't think they win back in Van City either. Gonna ride the Sens tonight, don't think they wanna get swept at home. GL
Franzzzz!!! Juve Juve!! Hope we see 1-0 and we both win! So Nucks and Flamers get 4 but nothing in the third, empty netter would have been nice. Hope U hit the Flames ML, Nucks R done, don't think they win back in Van City either. Gonna ride the Sens tonight, don't think they wanna get swept at home. GL
Dude I have the feeling that you are reading what you want to read and you always act like you understand everything.You were spamming and lieing about me and this is not a civilized manner. Everytime I posted my record when I was 11-2 I was saying my last soccer bets. You were trying to blame me of claiming that was my only record. Yet again you are talking bullshit. I didn't say that Live Betting is stupid because I posted 2 live bets as well-both won. I was saying it's stupid to post live bets in thread where I keep a record. Nobody can take the same odds if they don't check your thread every second. And with my last post I was trying to say that I highly doubt this is your true record. Sometimes I feel your living in a different world with all your behaviour.Anyway GL
DUDE.......Again......" Put up or Shut up ". Once again you have come into MY THREAD and falsely accused me of not being honest with my record. I am a huge believer in Integrity, and dont care for people throwing around false claims questioning my integrity. If you wish to discuss something " soccer related "im all ears, but coming into my threads with your whinny little school girl BS is real boring. Once again........Im not in your thread, you are distrspecting me in mine
Dude I have the feeling that you are reading what you want to read and you always act like you understand everything.You were spamming and lieing about me and this is not a civilized manner. Everytime I posted my record when I was 11-2 I was saying my last soccer bets. You were trying to blame me of claiming that was my only record. Yet again you are talking bullshit. I didn't say that Live Betting is stupid because I posted 2 live bets as well-both won. I was saying it's stupid to post live bets in thread where I keep a record. Nobody can take the same odds if they don't check your thread every second. And with my last post I was trying to say that I highly doubt this is your true record. Sometimes I feel your living in a different world with all your behaviour.Anyway GL
DUDE.......Again......" Put up or Shut up ". Once again you have come into MY THREAD and falsely accused me of not being honest with my record. I am a huge believer in Integrity, and dont care for people throwing around false claims questioning my integrity. If you wish to discuss something " soccer related "im all ears, but coming into my threads with your whinny little school girl BS is real boring. Once again........Im not in your thread, you are distrspecting me in mine
Sorry for all the BS in the thread again today. Haters are gonna Hate, I just get tired of them coming into my threads, uninvited, with all their personal BS. Im sorry that Mommy and Daddy didn't love you, but this isn't the place for whinning.
Back to footy............and time for a Cold Spaden Beer.
Sorry for all the BS in the thread again today. Haters are gonna Hate, I just get tired of them coming into my threads, uninvited, with all their personal BS. Im sorry that Mommy and Daddy didn't love you, but this isn't the place for whinning.
Back to footy............and time for a Cold Spaden Beer.
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