BRIDGE PLAYS WEEK 3

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Author: [College Football] Topic: BRIDGE PLAYS WEEK 3
Bridge1 PM Bridge1
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Posted: 9/11/2017 9:17:31 PM
2-9 on the season Rough Start!!  

N.Car +10 - L
Ohio +4 - L
Pitt +21 - W
ULM +32.5 - NP
BYU +1 - L
ND-4 - L

Couple to kick off week 3 and get this turned around!

FIRST PLAY
Memphis +3 - UCLA without a D to speak of and their win vs A&M is looking a little less impressive this week.. Tough spot @Stan on deck. Memphis game canceled last week and look forward to Southern Ill next... Should be noted a closer than expected game vs ULM 2 weeks back. Riley Ferguson with a mere 40% passing yikes but it was also in heavy rain and ULM managed to keep it close. Fergey was much better than that last year and with what he's got back on O i think it's safe to call it a misnomer. No rain in the Memp forecast this week (phew!). Memphis also gets a few injured players back they had quite a few go down vs ULM... UCLA however with alot of "?" in donbest's inj report including top 3 tacklers they're looking alot like that ucla team of a few years ago on D... eek...
Bridge1 PM Bridge1
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Posted: 9/11/2017 10:02:25 PM
2ND PLAY

Akron / IA State Over 62.5 - I like Akron to keep it reasonable but with a couple of offenses who can put up some numbers and D's who are just as happy to give them up I like the prospect of going over the total here a little better. IA state giving the normally stoic Iowa O 38 in regulation and even 24 to UNI.. I think 24 might just do it here to hit the number but Akron might surprise with a really big day after a sleepy output vs PSU which is keeping this total more reasonable... Their O returns pretty much in-tact from LY and IA State as expected have performed well on O thus far. 
BWS77 PM BWS77
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Posted: 9/11/2017 10:16:27 PM
You'll bounce back...  plenty of time
Bridge1 PM Bridge1
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Posted: 9/11/2017 10:37:12 PM
Thanks B-W. Yeah couple flat out misses I'll have to stay out of and the ball can bounce my way on a couple others... I had to run an errand with UNC check the score and got socked in the face... great feeling lol...

I actually did hit on UTSA ML / Under parlay 12.5 to 1 so wasn't a total slobberknocker last week... Of course I didn't mention that in the thread last week. typical. 

Keep up the great work you're kickin butt again like last year! 
DrStrangelove PM DrStrangelove
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Posted: 9/11/2017 11:26:04 PM
Good luck this week Bridge
Bridge1 PM Bridge1
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Posted: 9/12/2017 12:09:45 AM
PLAY 3

This one's a little nuts so guess it's the year to play it...

UVA / UCONN O 48.5 - We've seen UCONN in one game quickly giving up 20+ to Holy C and came stoming back for a win. Edsall is going with an uptempo offense which started clicking late but in reality they turned the ball over in H1 a couple of times before things got going in H2... They did give HC a huge day passing 350 yards which is not expected from that old UCONN team and per News UVA has a shakeup in their D backfield with their CB injured last game so now safety is a CB, backup CB is the safety, etc.... UVA is a head scratcher.. terrible day on O vs Indiana but ran 91 plays albeit with quite a few mistakes... I think they pull it together this week on O against a banged up Husky D... Implied score for the game has UVA putting up ~30 I'll say the huskies can find a little rhythm and put a few scores up too.
TRAIN69 PM TRAIN69
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Posted: 9/12/2017 12:11:28 AM
mbiddy PM mbiddy
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Posted: 9/12/2017 7:34:45 AM
gl this week bridge









dcgmt PM dcgmt
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Posted: 9/12/2017 12:08:07 PM
GL Bridge
Bridge1 PM Bridge1
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Posted: 9/12/2017 9:29:43 PM
DC, Biddy, Train, Strange, B-Dub 

Total on Uconn up 4 points today... looks like the cat's out the bag lol

Guess I'll go back to the well with a Baylor ML / Total parlay... Only way I see this getting happening is with Anu snapping out of his anemic passing game which 'could' happen and he also has to make up for what Duke may very well shut down in their normal run game also a 'could' ... Duke D comprised of many freshman and sophomores, NC Central and N'Western O's were not as dynamic as the potential baylor (might maybe could) have... Duke currently running about 70+ plays to opponent's 50ish, so never tested yet and rested easy killing it so far on run D, haven't really faced a passing attack yet and not boasting fantastic TFL numbers which maybe gives the Bay Bay Kids a chance to scramble if needed... Just wasn't meant to be vs UTSA it was Man Moment Machine and their very experienced D rendered Anu a sitting duck... UTSA's O just isin't an all you can score buffet, my parlay last week considered that expecting the DL to make a big impact... I don't think baylor can win without scoring in the 30's, D won't come to the rescue
So at 9.5 to 1 I give you: Baylor Win / Over 60... 
Lionmonster PM Lionmonster
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Posted: 9/12/2017 9:40:25 PM
Keep pounding away, Bridge you'll turn it around! I went 1-5 last week :'( and am 5-10 on the season so I know what it's like. Let's get it going brother BOL
Posted using a mobile device.
mjm1012 PM mjm1012
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Posted: 9/12/2017 10:13:21 PM
BOL
Bridge1 PM Bridge1
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Posted: 9/12/2017 10:51:41 PM
Thanks Lion good luck this week!  

PLAY 4

Tulsa @ Toledo OVER 68.5

So many points but let's start with these two teams who are both in the top 10 most rushing attempts in the FBS. Tulsa D has proven to be a little softer than a porous membrane giving up the monster offensive day to OK State giving up 9 and 7 yards per carry in those events but they averaged about 5ypc themselves in those games and pass game showed signs of life last week!.. still they gave up 42 points to ULL! WOW over 100 pts in that game. Tulsa boasting 3 all AAC linemen very strong up front. YPP for 5.8 against 8.8, woah. 

Toledo numbers a little less absurd but boast a more balanced offense even travelling to reno last week layed on 37 against their anemic O. Only scored 3 pts in the 4th I think they had enough of the altitude. YPP for 4.9, against 6.2 eek. 

TFL's are pretty telling... Toledo with 8 total, 5 vs Elon... Tulsa with 11 total, only 4 vs ULL. So expect these D's to not be a stopper and Toledo... 

Basically see this one alot like BYU / Toledo last year, rush fest, no D, huge score, Toledo with the edge..  Tulsa ML / Over maybe fun for a pinch though... like baylor they'd have to outscore them to pull off a big win. 
Bridge1 PM Bridge1
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Posted: 9/12/2017 11:19:11 PM
PLAY 5

NEW MEX @ BOISE ST.... H1 UNDER 30.5

BSU with a realllly late OT game saturday and quick turn around playing at home vs the lobos. Run D has been solid in B2B games vs superior offenses.. Pass D well, take out WASSU and it looks pretty good against Troy which had about 99.999% of their position player yards back this year. Might be a little tired on both sides I will hope for the O to continue a relatively anemic 1st half play...  Note that last game there were 20 points in H1, 27 by end of Q3.. things only picked up late and wow did they ever... Not much better all game w Troy...

N.Mex D worries me a little but after a "close" loss last week we should see a punch from them out of the gate. Recall they went to BSU last time and flat out beat them.. diff team, def diff offense. N.Mex was down 30 to 5 in the 3rd quarter before their offense started getting garbage points. NMSU with a resurgent offense thank to Tyler Rodgers and LR-3 combo... Still only got 28 in H1 last game with NMSU doing all the work. I think the combo of slow start for BSU and Anemic O for NM is a 1st half under worth taking. 

Staying on the parlay ideas, would have to think if NM can stun them on the blue turf it's from BSU O just not showing up and D might just be exhausted by H2 where NM seems to do all their scoring. NM ML +477 and Under 58.5 might be the way to go for that kind of play.

OurTake PM OurTake
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Posted: 9/12/2017 11:37:28 PM
I like Tulsa.  Thinking about the over there too.  Also love Memphis.
OurTake PM OurTake
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Posted: 9/12/2017 11:38:36 PM
We post our picks and analysis here if you are interested.  https://ourtakeonspreads.wordpress.com/

We also post it in threads, but splitting time is tough.  Good luck this week.
Bridge1 PM Bridge1
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Posted: 9/13/2017 12:02:01 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by OurTake:

I like Tulsa.  Thinking about the over there too.  Also love Memphis.

And how about that Memphis over huh??? I worry a little bit there it's a pretty early start for the Bru crew... 9am LA time .. 
DoubleUp4Life PM DoubleUp4Life
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Posted: 9/13/2017 12:33:54 AM
Sweep your board this week Brother 

BEST OF LUCK 
OurTake PM OurTake
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Posted: 9/13/2017 9:13:07 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Bridge1:


And how about that Memphis over huh??? I worry a little bit there it's a pretty early start for the Bru crew... 9am LA time .. 

Both teams can definitely light it up.  The over here makes me nervous, but I don't know why.  
Bridge1 PM Bridge1
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Posted: 9/13/2017 8:50:12 PM
PLAY 6

VT @ ECU... H1 UNDER 31.5 

Last week ECU didn't get anything going till H2 vs WV and 1 TD vs JM to their H1 credit. Sirk out with concussion protocols not practicing Minneshaw expected to start. Does that mean no Sirk IDK, maybe he he gets more air time in H2. Why Minneshaw is a good deal here is he's hitting about 50% and one may look at LW and see 137 yds sharing time with Sirk but one play was a 90+ yards... take it away and it's 6 for 12 37 yards in his 2nd half appearance. Not unlike his appearance vs JW. Minne also doesn't run the ball like Sirk can, always tally's negative yards. As for the D, well, I sortof expected Grier to flex his passing arm last week 49-zip or something at the half.

VT with a rather pedestrian showing on O again vs Delaware State.. 222 ~55% passing.. Rush wasn't much better 81yds 2.9ypc... O scored 10 in H1 and got a punt return for the difference 57 total plays run... D pitched a shutout and sneaking suspicion a prideful D will want to see how long they can keep that going. ECU's D is PUTRID and maybe VT can light it up but just don't see it, QB really needs to work on some basics, competition goes up next week vs ODU....  

Anyway, lotta factors pointing to a low score, why 60 point total, well Grier putting up massive points last week but VT has no Grier or O like them.. VT and WV combined for a higher than expected total but pace of that game is not this one.. and ECU's offense actually showed life albeit when they were down by 50 or so in H2... Just my guess but I don't think Sirk plays I mean why get him hurt against VT he's the only shot they maybe have to win a game or maybe just a half.....

Risk to consider is D obliterates this team and we get a UF over to hit on short field turnovers... I've had that happen before but it's their first true road game and ECU should maybe get 'some' traction in this one.  
Bridge1 PM Bridge1
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Posted: 9/13/2017 9:05:54 PM
OurTake, MJM, Double!! Thanks for the support!!!  Best of luck on your cards as well!  
WahooS PM WahooS
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Posted: 9/13/2017 9:10:19 PM
bounce back week Bridge 
Bridge1 PM Bridge1
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Posted: 9/16/2017 1:59:44 AM
Final Card... Good Luck!!

1. MEMPHIS +3 
2. Akron / Iowa St. OVER 62.5
3. U VA / UConn OVER 48.5
4. Tulsa @ Toledo OVER 68.5
5. NM / Boise St.... 1ST HALF UNDER 30.5 - W!!!
6. VT / ECU - 1ST HALF UNDER 31.5

Fun Bet:
Parlay BAY ML / OVER 60
MikeMed PM MikeMed
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Posted: 9/16/2017 6:48:34 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Bridge1:

Final Card... Good Luck!!

1. MEMPHIS +3 
2. Akron / Iowa St. OVER 62.5
3. U VA / UConn OVER 48.5
4. Tulsa @ Toledo OVER 68.5
5. NM / Boise St.... 1ST HALF UNDER 30.5 - W!!!
6. VT / ECU - 1ST HALF UNDER 31.5

Fun Bet:
Parlay BAY ML / OVER 60



Thats a solid looking card Bridge.

Better luck this week


wmi799 PM wmi799
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Posted: 9/16/2017 9:57:28 AM
Good luck Bridge
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