(bet it at 19.5 kid you not then double checked line before i submitted this post and already 20.5....record will reflect 20.5 just had to tell you too funny these lines move fast 'm just a virginat this sunday action)
(bet it at 19.5 kid you not then double checked line before i submitted this post and already 20.5....record will reflect 20.5 just had to tell you too funny these lines move fast 'm just a virginat this sunday action)
Snuck in a closer than we wanted Maryland TT under vs Penn St last wk - watched the entire game - and came away super impressed with that D. I won't bang too much on QB Hackenburg even tho he acts a bit like a whiny-pants - but to be fair his OL and lack of running game must be very frustrating....Penn St offense tried their best to give the game away with bonehead penalties and 4 turnovers and finally caved late....That D was SICK. Gave up less than 200Y to a very good at motivated Maryland team who was gifted most of their points - and Penn also gave them a pick 6 which was called back by penalty......Penn run D is a brick wall ranked #1 and that will shut down the only thing Indiana has - stud RB Coleman who is a beast.....but as you may recall from our writeup related to our 24978038572348905723489052 star Michigan STEAM SHOCKER POUND LOCK play - Indiana down to a true freshman QB who was 5/15 for 11 yds vs sparty - last wk it was so bad even tho they were down the entire game they only let him pass 8 times the entire game - Diamont was 5/8 and a whopping 3 yds/attempt......goodgollymissmolly.....been outscored 135-56 since qb injury and lost 56-17 to sparty at home - now penn is not sparty obvously but their D may be close - and we think this one smells like the michigan blowout were it is not indiana's fault they just do not have on offense now....Throw the cumulative rankings for their offense out the window this unit is nowhere near the same....#101 IN RZ off now and #125 in rz D.
what worries us? if penn turns it over 4 more times they may not cover. ind broke an 0-16 SU streak vs penn Ly but this indiana team is way way worse with the QB situation and penn D is lights out spank your momma good.....Maybe LY ind win will make penn think twice about laying down in this one.
Snuck in a closer than we wanted Maryland TT under vs Penn St last wk - watched the entire game - and came away super impressed with that D. I won't bang too much on QB Hackenburg even tho he acts a bit like a whiny-pants - but to be fair his OL and lack of running game must be very frustrating....Penn St offense tried their best to give the game away with bonehead penalties and 4 turnovers and finally caved late....That D was SICK. Gave up less than 200Y to a very good at motivated Maryland team who was gifted most of their points - and Penn also gave them a pick 6 which was called back by penalty......Penn run D is a brick wall ranked #1 and that will shut down the only thing Indiana has - stud RB Coleman who is a beast.....but as you may recall from our writeup related to our 24978038572348905723489052 star Michigan STEAM SHOCKER POUND LOCK play - Indiana down to a true freshman QB who was 5/15 for 11 yds vs sparty - last wk it was so bad even tho they were down the entire game they only let him pass 8 times the entire game - Diamont was 5/8 and a whopping 3 yds/attempt......goodgollymissmolly.....been outscored 135-56 since qb injury and lost 56-17 to sparty at home - now penn is not sparty obvously but their D may be close - and we think this one smells like the michigan blowout were it is not indiana's fault they just do not have on offense now....Throw the cumulative rankings for their offense out the window this unit is nowhere near the same....#101 IN RZ off now and #125 in rz D.
what worries us? if penn turns it over 4 more times they may not cover. ind broke an 0-16 SU streak vs penn Ly but this indiana team is way way worse with the QB situation and penn D is lights out spank your momma good.....Maybe LY ind win will make penn think twice about laying down in this one.
Army really struggling this yr - losses to Yale Kent and Wake - the holy trinity - and now rival air force - last game that matters is navy end of season....D is bad - QB is a special kind of bad - and only scored 21 17 6 last 3 wks vs rice kent af - less than 200 Y last wk....game at yankee stdm no true HF....yes they are 5th in rushing but they cannot i mean cannot throw at all so pay little attention essentially every yd gained is rushing......U Conn off their recent bye played EC tough on the road then beat a good UCF team at home - were outgained - but they are playing better there is no doubt - first 6 games only got 10 19 21 14 10 3....D ranked 47 and 27 vs run....Looks like a mismatch,
what worries us? well hate fading service academies in general but we always do well playing army navy af games and this one looks pretty good to us
Army really struggling this yr - losses to Yale Kent and Wake - the holy trinity - and now rival air force - last game that matters is navy end of season....D is bad - QB is a special kind of bad - and only scored 21 17 6 last 3 wks vs rice kent af - less than 200 Y last wk....game at yankee stdm no true HF....yes they are 5th in rushing but they cannot i mean cannot throw at all so pay little attention essentially every yd gained is rushing......U Conn off their recent bye played EC tough on the road then beat a good UCF team at home - were outgained - but they are playing better there is no doubt - first 6 games only got 10 19 21 14 10 3....D ranked 47 and 27 vs run....Looks like a mismatch,
what worries us? well hate fading service academies in general but we always do well playing army navy af games and this one looks pretty good to us
Took this one based on perceived value compared to our line - do not need to dazzle you with a write up to prove that smu is one of the worst teams of our generation - have scored 0 6 6 0 24 3 10 and given up 45 43 58 56 45 41 48 yes that is correct - tulsa not great but a DD win seems obvious - were only outgained last wk vs memphis 426 - 411 and they can MATRICULATE in the passing game....We think this is a game tulsa can feel really good about laying down a spanking.... They are nothing special - but remember - this is SMU.
Took this one based on perceived value compared to our line - do not need to dazzle you with a write up to prove that smu is one of the worst teams of our generation - have scored 0 6 6 0 24 3 10 and given up 45 43 58 56 45 41 48 yes that is correct - tulsa not great but a DD win seems obvious - were only outgained last wk vs memphis 426 - 411 and they can MATRICULATE in the passing game....We think this is a game tulsa can feel really good about laying down a spanking.... They are nothing special - but remember - this is SMU.
With QB Hill - AM a bit dangerous with a crappy D - without him - outgained at home 347-243 to ULM WTF and now face Auburn....game before that lost 59-CACK at bama,,,,D gave up 48 35 59 before ulm game,,,,this feels like a lay down and die game to us I mean Auburn could probably beat 70-80 teams by 21 at home....sagarin has them #1 we have them in our top 3 - quality wins over k st away - beat ole miss - yes tough ending - but blew out lsu - i mean say what you want about luck auburn just wins and they look a lot better to us right now as outside observers than earlier in the yr just rolling on offense not sure how they do not get 48+ in this one ....they also do a lot of little things right - great on 3rd down - do not turn it over - #1 in punt returns ...great red zone offense and defense - and love that they will score until the final whistle.....our unhealthy MAN CRUSH on the Marshall Artis Payne and Coates trio goes full tilt this week,
With QB Hill - AM a bit dangerous with a crappy D - without him - outgained at home 347-243 to ULM WTF and now face Auburn....game before that lost 59-CACK at bama,,,,D gave up 48 35 59 before ulm game,,,,this feels like a lay down and die game to us I mean Auburn could probably beat 70-80 teams by 21 at home....sagarin has them #1 we have them in our top 3 - quality wins over k st away - beat ole miss - yes tough ending - but blew out lsu - i mean say what you want about luck auburn just wins and they look a lot better to us right now as outside observers than earlier in the yr just rolling on offense not sure how they do not get 48+ in this one ....they also do a lot of little things right - great on 3rd down - do not turn it over - #1 in punt returns ...great red zone offense and defense - and love that they will score until the final whistle.....our unhealthy MAN CRUSH on the Marshall Artis Payne and Coates trio goes full tilt this week,
Might have to tail that PSU play. brass to play Uconn as fav, but army is a special kinda bad on defense
How bout those Appy state crazies coming out without shirts on? what was that about? just an azz whooping I guess.
I've been fading SMU all year, while Tulsa is a dreadful, I watched them be somewhat competent vs a decent Memphis side.
Thanks for the Auburn tip
Before the lines get away from you - take a look at GA Southern. The TX st win vs NMst was fraudulent - got two turnovers, and a Punt block TD, but were outgained by 200 yds!
And speaking of fading the awful - N TX plays again. not sure why I only have to lay 4 with an FAU team who can, but at this point in the season I'm just going with it... And with AF against dreadful UNLV. And get a great line on Utah st after WY shocked the world!!!! by beating Fresno as 14.5 dogs
Might have to tail that PSU play. brass to play Uconn as fav, but army is a special kinda bad on defense
How bout those Appy state crazies coming out without shirts on? what was that about? just an azz whooping I guess.
I've been fading SMU all year, while Tulsa is a dreadful, I watched them be somewhat competent vs a decent Memphis side.
Thanks for the Auburn tip
Before the lines get away from you - take a look at GA Southern. The TX st win vs NMst was fraudulent - got two turnovers, and a Punt block TD, but were outgained by 200 yds!
And speaking of fading the awful - N TX plays again. not sure why I only have to lay 4 with an FAU team who can, but at this point in the season I'm just going with it... And with AF against dreadful UNLV. And get a great line on Utah st after WY shocked the world!!!! by beating Fresno as 14.5 dogs
Dedicated subscribers to MEGALOCKS threads know that we do not rank or rate plays - just make a pick and let you guys decide to follow or fade - and if follow - decide how much to play based on your style, FWIW we love this game, One of our favorites of the yr so far,
App St is cruising right now - coming off impressive wins where they won 44-CACK and 53-14 whilst beating the Vegas line by 76 points,,,,Last wk we got a tweet showing the pre game icy conditions at App St and almost released a pick on the game - and sure enough - they outgained Ga St 567-62 in an icy slippery and cold slaughter - yes Ga St blows but App St is hot hot hot and ULM has a scrappy D but no offense - 118th in rushing and QB only 7 td passes - believe me - they are gonna have to score to win this and do not see it happening - god forbid if it is cold this in our opinion will be an easy win - but for the purposes of the pick now - we are assuming it will be warm and sunny,,,,just an added bonus if app st gets app st weather even running that fast paced offense,,,,Now we may dead wrong on this one tread lightly but they have scored 48 53 44 last 3 games....Special MEGALOCKS TASTY TIDBIT,,,,......App St lost to Liberty,,,,well Liberty is rated by Sagarin higher than C Mich NIU A Force S Alabama - just to name a few,,,,,
Dedicated subscribers to MEGALOCKS threads know that we do not rank or rate plays - just make a pick and let you guys decide to follow or fade - and if follow - decide how much to play based on your style, FWIW we love this game, One of our favorites of the yr so far,
App St is cruising right now - coming off impressive wins where they won 44-CACK and 53-14 whilst beating the Vegas line by 76 points,,,,Last wk we got a tweet showing the pre game icy conditions at App St and almost released a pick on the game - and sure enough - they outgained Ga St 567-62 in an icy slippery and cold slaughter - yes Ga St blows but App St is hot hot hot and ULM has a scrappy D but no offense - 118th in rushing and QB only 7 td passes - believe me - they are gonna have to score to win this and do not see it happening - god forbid if it is cold this in our opinion will be an easy win - but for the purposes of the pick now - we are assuming it will be warm and sunny,,,,just an added bonus if app st gets app st weather even running that fast paced offense,,,,Now we may dead wrong on this one tread lightly but they have scored 48 53 44 last 3 games....Special MEGALOCKS TASTY TIDBIT,,,,......App St lost to Liberty,,,,well Liberty is rated by Sagarin higher than C Mich NIU A Force S Alabama - just to name a few,,,,,
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