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Author: [College Football] Topic: Who out there likes Bama at - 24
WISEGUY36 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Bellagio |
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#51
Posted: 5/6/2013 3:18:13 PM
That same criteria also prevents me from taking a side on the
Clemson / UGA matchup.

The total however .............
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#52
Posted: 5/7/2013 5:00:33 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by WISEGUY36:

That same criteria also prevents me from taking a side on the
Clemson / UGA matchup.

The total however .............

 

 

could see that number being 62/65.5 !!!   still like the over

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#53
Posted: 5/7/2013 5:10:00 PM
I think they'll play some defense.First game of the year.
Don't think the offense will be running on all cylinders in
Week 1.
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#54
Posted: 5/8/2013 2:02:14 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by WISEGUY36:

I think they'll play some defense.First game of the year.
Don't think the offense will be running on all cylinders in
Week 1.




I still like the over in this one !!!!!
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#55
Posted: 5/9/2013 4:45:10 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by WISEGUY36:




Jimmy, I have a rule that if a team loses a QB , 3 rated O linemen,
or 3 rated DB's I will not play that team in week 1.That rule also
applies to teams with a Head Coaching change as under those
circumstances I cannot effectively determine the correct values
that I use to determine pointspread.
In this game Bama loses 3 very highly rated O linemen , which
will cause me to pass on this one.
Best of Luck , Bud


I also factor the "starts on the offensive line" stat in my early season capping.  That stat, however, becomes less reliable as the season wears on.

That said, overall Alabama will have a better offense than they had last season.  In fact I'm very confident in saying that Alabama will have one of the best offensive teams in the country.  I think it is pretty much a lock they score north of 40 points against Virginia Tech the opening week of the season.  Yes they lost 3 highly touted offensive linemen, but they are left with 5 experienced and highly touted linemen.  It will again be one of the best units in the nation.

While there will undoubtedly be some breakdowns from time to time as there is with almost any offensive line - particularly early in the season - I think it will have almost no impact on the outcome of the game.

As I have said previously, I'm not crazy about laying 24 (although I would consider 23.5), I think taking Alabama in the 1st half would bet an outstanding bet, particularly if it falls under 2 TDs, which I don't think it will.  I think the 1st half will play out similar to last season's Michigan and Notre Dames games.


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#56
Posted: 5/9/2013 8:33:22 AM
I personally think Clemson vs Georgia is a tossup...Staying away from that one. Both have great offenses but terrible defenses. Might lean on the over in that one for sure...I think Nwestern is a lock at +5.5...as well as Ole miss +2.5 over Vandy. What do you guys think?
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#57
Posted: 5/9/2013 9:19:45 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by jimmydafreak:



I also factor the "starts on the offensive line" stat in my early season capping.  That stat, however, becomes less reliable as the season wears on.

That said, overall Alabama will have a better offense than they had last season.  In fact I'm very confident in saying that Alabama will have one of the best offensive teams in the country.  I think it is pretty much a lock they score north of 40 points against Virginia Tech the opening week of the season.  Yes they lost 3 highly touted offensive linemen, but they are left with 5 experienced and highly touted linemen.  It will again be one of the best units in the nation.

While there will undoubtedly be some breakdowns from time to time as there is with almost any offensive line - particularly early in the season - I think it will have almost no impact on the outcome of the game.

As I have said previously, I'm not crazy about laying 24 (although I would consider 23.5), I think taking Alabama in the 1st half would bet an outstanding bet, particularly if it falls under 2 TDs, which I don't think it will.  I think the 1st half will play out similar to last season's Michigan and Notre Dames games.





I think that Bama losing 3 O lineman will not be much of a
problem vs Va Tech as I do not expect Va Tech to score
many points in this game.Logan Thomas has proven to be
horrible against very average ACC opponents . I believe he
will really be exposed week 1 against Alabama.
My 3 O lineman , etc rule is mainly for 2nd and 3rd tier teams
as they do not have the same capability to " reload " as Bama
does, but you are correct at - 24 value is an issue.

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#58
Posted: 5/10/2013 9:25:45 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by jimmydafreak:



I also factor the "starts on the offensive line" stat in my early season capping.  That stat, however, becomes less reliable as the season wears on.

That said, overall Alabama will have a better offense than they had last season.  In fact I'm very confident in saying that Alabama will have one of the best offensive teams in the country.  I think it is pretty much a lock they score north of 40 points against Virginia Tech the opening week of the season.  Yes they lost 3 highly touted offensive linemen, but they are left with 5 experienced and highly touted linemen.  It will again be one of the best units in the nation.

While there will undoubtedly be some breakdowns from time to time as there is with almost any offensive line - particularly early in the season - I think it will have almost no impact on the outcome of the game.

As I have said previously, I'm not crazy about laying 24 (although I would consider 23.5), I think taking Alabama in the 1st half would bet an outstanding bet, particularly if it falls under 2 TDs, which I don't think it will.  I think the 1st half will play out similar to last season's Michigan and Notre Dames games.






Hey Jimmy, What can you tell me about Bama's new O line coach.
Thanks Bud.
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#59
Posted: 5/10/2013 6:16:29 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by jimmydafreak:



I also factor the "starts on the offensive line" stat in my early season capping.  That stat, however, becomes less reliable as the season wears on.

That said, overall Alabama will have a better offense than they had last season.  In fact I'm very confident in saying that Alabama will have one of the best offensive teams in the country.  I think it is pretty much a lock they score north of 40 points against Virginia Tech the opening week of the season.  Yes they lost 3 highly touted offensive linemen, but they are left with 5 experienced and highly touted linemen.  It will again be one of the best units in the nation.

While there will undoubtedly be some breakdowns from time to time as there is with almost any offensive line - particularly early in the season - I think it will have almost no impact on the outcome of the game.

As I have said previously, I'm not crazy about laying 24 (although I would consider 23.5), I think taking Alabama in the 1st half would bet an outstanding bet, particularly if it falls under 2 TDs, which I don't think it will.  I think the 1st half will play out similar to last season's Michigan and Notre Dames games.


Jimmy

One of the few guys I really look forward to reading every week.

Any thoughts on the VT TT? I mean, they aint gonna be able to run very well and Logan Thomas is not gonna do well (never has vs a decent defense). What number would make you bite? I assume the total will be high 40s/low 50s? Linemakers looking for a 38-14 type final....

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#60
Posted: 5/13/2013 3:38:45 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by WISEGUY36:




Murray has played well, but for one mistake at the end of the Bama
game last year, they could have had the opportunity to beat Notre
Dame.
Taj Boyd is not the best QB if you measure by QBR.but this game
will be won or lost on the defensive side of the ball.I'm not sure
either defense can stop the opponents offense.


I think will side with the mobile vet.Qb here, vs. a bunch of new DEF starters.
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#61
Posted: 5/13/2013 4:18:01 PM

Boom boom you should move to BAMMER!!

You would fit right in!!

BAMMER isnt better than EVERYONE else!! They play an easy schedule for 2 years!! 3 decent teams in those 2 years of schedules TEXAS A&M, LSU, and GEORGIA  look at the schedules and tell me if any other team is worth a SH IT?????  BAMMERS record against those 3 decent teams is an ASTOUNDING 3 WINS and 2 LOSSES!!!  Could be worse if not for that BAMMER FU CKING LUCK!!!

To say BAMMER is better than EVERYONE else is a GROSS MISJUDGEMENT!!  They are only better than the high schools on their schedule!!  Not better than other teams of same caliber!!!

BAMMER has lost at HOME in NOVEMBER 3 years in a row!!  Hell that RUNT which BAMMERS think is GREATEST coach in world(wonder how many thought that when he was at LSU) isnt great at all!!  SHOWS HOW DUMB BAMMERS ARE!!

IF it wasnt for DO OVERS, HOLDING ALL GAME EVERY GAME, ESPN KISSING RUNTS AZZ, EASY AZZ SCHEDULES,CHEATING IN EVERYWAY POSSIBLE, ETC 

BAMMER WOULDNT BE SITTING WHERE THEY ARE TODAY.

Its kind of like the MAFIA someone works there way to top by doing lots of BAD STUFF and then it all CRUMBLES at some point!!

As soon as MARK EMMERT is run off at NCAA BAMMER will get DRILLED!!!

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#62
Posted: 5/13/2013 4:34:30 PM
ROLL TIDE !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!



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#63
Posted: 5/13/2013 5:06:04 PM
FU CKKKKKKKKKKKK  TIDE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
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#64
Posted: 5/13/2013 5:21:08 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by WISEGUY36:





Hey Jimmy, What can you tell me about Bama's new O line coach.
Thanks Bud.

Their current OL coach is Mario Cristobal. He was the head coach at FIU and did a pretty good job there and was fired after a sub par season. He is well thought of in the coaching community and has brought a new enthusiasm to the Tide staff. 

On Jimmy's point about the Bama OL...they are much more talented than the 2008-2010 OL's at Bama under Saban. They have a 1st round LT, seasoned RG and a guy at center that could have played last year. The question marks are at LG and RT. The RT position is being played by a guy that has been in the program for 3 years and his back up is JUCO transfer that improved during the spring. The LG position has 2-3 guys fighting for the job but the front runner is Arie Kouandijio, the brother of LT Cyrus K., and he has a good spring and seems to be healthy for the first time in his career. 

This team is loaded at the skill positions and very deep as well. I am a little worried about the CB position and the pass rush. One guy that I think will have a big year is Denzel Duval. He reminds me of Danta Hightower. Also I think Adrian Hubbard is a guy that will be much better this year. Hubbard is on a few people's radar as a 1st round possibility because of his measureables but he hasn't been overly productive to this point. That could change this year. They are a very deep team across the board except for CB.



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#65
Posted: 5/13/2013 6:05:55 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by YACKER:


Their current OL coach is Mario Cristobal. He was the head coach at FIU and did a pretty good job there and was fired after a sub par season. He is well thought of in the coaching community and has brought a new enthusiasm to the Tide staff. 

On Jimmy's point about the Bama OL...they are much more talented than the 2008-2010 OL's at Bama under Saban. They have a 1st round LT, seasoned RG and a guy at center that could have played last year. The question marks are at LG and RT. The RT position is being played by a guy that has been in the program for 3 years and his back up is JUCO transfer that improved during the spring. The LG position has 2-3 guys fighting for the job but the front runner is Arie Kouandijio, the brother of LT Cyrus K., and he has a good spring and seems to be healthy for the first time in his career. 

This team is loaded at the skill positions and very deep as well. I am a little worried about the CB position and the pass rush. One guy that I think will have a big year is Denzel Duval. He reminds me of Danta Hightower. Also I think Adrian Hubbard is a guy that will be much better this year. Hubbard is on a few people's radar as a 1st round possibility because of his measureables but he hasn't been overly productive to this point. That could change this year. They are a very deep team across the board except for CB.







Yacker, Thanks for the information. Bama's O line played so well
last year, I was hoping a coaching change would not interfere with
the development of this year's group.
I agree with you on DB's. UGA in the SEC championship game
made them look to have only average ability which could be
problematic.
Thanks again for your insight.
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#66
Posted: 5/14/2013 10:59:39 AM
Laying 24 with Alabama is awful and has no value whatsoever. I don't care if the Tide wins by 40. You are essentially betting on the back to back defending national champs with probably the best whole roster in college football. The bookies know how good Alabama is and made the line higher than it should be.
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#67
Posted: 5/14/2013 11:11:40 AM

Ummm How damn dumb are you people??  BAMMER isnt that good!!  Only problem is VT SUX!!!

LSU  460 yards of offense  Bammer 260  Dumb azz play calling cost LSU!!   Clemson ran up and down the field on LSU   BAMMER COULDNT!!  BAMMER PLAYS A PUZZY SCHEDULE every year and gets DO OVERS etc!!  VT SUX wouldnt touch either side but BAMMER been lucky and given SH IT That is coming to an END!!

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#68
Posted: 5/14/2013 1:14:25 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by ibetbig2:


I think will side with the mobile vet.Qb here, vs. a bunch of new DEF starters.
on the other hand, we have a good SEC team getting points, i like that 2... 
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#69
Posted: 5/15/2013 11:27:01 PM
Has anyone noticed that LSU has moved up to - 8 1/2 ?
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#70
Posted: 5/15/2013 11:52:22 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by ibetbig2:

on the other hand, we have a good SEC team getting points, i like that 2... 

say what ???? 

who is getting points ?

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#71
Posted: 5/16/2013 12:23:11 AM
I guess he's referring to UGA getting 1 1/2 vs Clemson.
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#72
Posted: 5/16/2013 3:00:56 PM
who said georgia is a good team?
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#73
Posted: 5/16/2013 4:25:30 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by packers1992:

who said georgia is a good team?



Pack, We'll know how good UGA is on 8 / 31, when they
play Clemson.
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#74
Posted: 5/17/2013 10:57:13 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by jimmydafreak:



I also factor the "starts on the offensive line" stat in my early season capping.  That stat, however, becomes less reliable as the season wears on.

That said, overall Alabama will have a better offense than they had last season.  In fact I'm very confident in saying that Alabama will have one of the best offensive teams in the country.  I think it is pretty much a lock they score north of 40 points against Virginia Tech the opening week of the season.  Yes they lost 3 highly touted offensive linemen, but they are left with 5 experienced and highly touted linemen.  It will again be one of the best units in the nation.

While there will undoubtedly be some breakdowns from time to time as there is with almost any offensive line - particularly early in the season - I think it will have almost no impact on the outcome of the game.

As I have said previously, I'm not crazy about laying 24 (although I would consider 23.5), I think taking Alabama in the 1st half would bet an outstanding bet, particularly if it falls under 2 TDs, which I don't think it will.  I think the 1st half will play out similar to last season's Michigan and Notre Dames games.


    Totally agree..I get Bama vs a Loeffler offense?I will play Bama @28 or less.This will be blow out city and by end of Sept the talk will begin again..Can Bama beat an NFL team?The more I think about Clemson vs Ga in Death Valley with Ga s early season Richt failures the more I like Clemson plus the Tigers are just LOADED.
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#75
Posted: 5/18/2013 12:18:22 AM
War, totally agree on Bama , not sure I'd take either side on
UGA / Clemson , but It'll be a good one to watch.
We're getting to August !!!!!

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