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Author: [College Football] Topic: 2013 Week 1 Point Spread Guesses***Never Too Early$$$
LonghornHoosier
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#26
Posted: 4/10/2013 1:43:09 PM
and you've got to think the bettor sentiment will be against USC after last years half assed debacle...sure, the game is in Hawaii, and SC is breaking in a new full time QB, but I don't think it will matter.   i think it may be higher than 24.5 (maybe like 27), but if its not, I will be all over SC.   they were embarrassed by Ga Tech last year, and that Trojan moxie is on the line.  if they struggle with a bad Hawaii team, they will continue their slippery slope, and Kiffin may not survive (after throwing his dad under the bus after last season).    I don't want to be a sucker chump backing SC, but I think they will be better overall this year, even without Barkley.   P Steele's considers them to be one of five significantly improved teams this season...plus, the angle with chow...
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#27
Posted: 4/10/2013 2:55:10 PM
I think I could dig down in some Rice +37.5 also. 
A&M will be good, no doubt....but I'm not as high on them as most. Rice could play competitive ball this year w/ 19 returning starters. And how hott they finished last season 
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#28
Posted: 4/10/2013 9:49:12 PM

Northwestern will be close to pk at Cal.

Scar will be close to 14 at home vs UNC

ok st should be -13 but prob closer to 7-7.5

U might be right about ark-19 vs la-Lafayette but that's the upset of the week, I make that line 7

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#29
Posted: 4/11/2013 3:27:51 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by getoffmyface:

Northwestern will be close to pk at Cal.

Scar will be close to 14 at home vs UNC

ok st should be -13 but prob closer to 7-7.5

U might be right about ark-19 vs la-Lafayette but that's the upset of the week, I make that line 7

Hoping to throw down ok Oklahoma St minus anything under DD's ...

No Clue what to do with Sun Belt games right now ... afraid of who might not be elgiable ..

might be a long trip for the Wildcats ..... Cal decent at home !! anything less than -3.5 and I am in

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#30
Posted: 4/12/2013 3:57:21 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by HammersSpreads:

I think I could dig down in some Rice +37.5 also. 
A&M will be good, no doubt....but I'm not as high on them as most. Rice could play competitive ball this year w/ 19 returning starters. And how hott they finished last season 

A&M beat 4 schools by over that spread last year (including 2 SEC school), but they lose alot from that team.  I'm with you.  I'll take some Rice at that number.
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#31
Posted: 4/12/2013 1:08:11 PM

Updated Line Guesses for week 1

Thanks for all Input Brothers

Thursday August 29th

USC 27.5 *Hawai'i

Minnesota 19.5 UNLV

Tulsa 3.5 *Bowling Green

Utah 13 Utah St

Fresno St 5.5 Rutgers

UCF 22.5 Akron

SC 9.5 UNC

Ole Miss 2.5 *Vanderbilt

Friday

Michigan St 21.5 WMU

Miami 23.5 FAU

Texas Tech 7 *SMU

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#32
Posted: 4/12/2013 10:31:39 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by bpoint:


A&M beat 4 schools by over that spread last year (including 2 SEC school), but they lose alot from that team.  I'm with you.  I'll take some Rice at that number.

Rice ML

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#33
Posted: 4/13/2013 1:23:20 AM
might have to re-think my USC post...

read today the secondary hasn't looked very good in spring practice
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#34
Posted: 4/13/2013 1:28:48 PM

it is indeed to early, but based on Sagarins final power ratings last year...I like the following 3 for week 1, so far...

Texas -38 (Home) over New Mexico State (

Texas seems to still be in flux...But, showed well against a good Oregon St team in the Alamo Bowl.   If Texas wants to dominate it will.   Honestly, I think the fans will expect a dominating performance with a strong stable of RB's, an improving Ash at QB, and a D with Diaz the DC under fire, to produce...It will hurt for the D to use Okafor and Vararo, a 2nd and 1st rounder) but I think an improved scheme will make this D stronger.  

Texas 56

NMST 3

Northwestern -13 over California (Home)

Fitzgerald is a good coach and seems to have NW believeing...Sonny Dykes is the new coach at Cal and will eventually turn them into winners.  But, Tedford left the cupboard bare.  Only 9 returning starters 4 and 5, new schemes, new coach, and a well coached NW team spells trouble for Dykes in his debut...there seems to be excitement in Berkeley for Dykes...give him 2-3 years, with all that home grown Oakland North Bay Talent, and he will have them winning again...

Oklahoma State -7 over Mississippi State (Neutral - Reliant @Houston)

two good coaches, good matchup...Big XII v SEC.   both return QB's and schemes...Ok St lost their starting RB to the NFL.   I just think Ok St's O firepower and improving D will facilitate a cover.

I know its to early, the college rags have not even come out...this is just my prelim analysis.  the only thing the DFW Metroplex that involves contested sports these days is the Masters.  

What do you think???

 

 

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#35
Posted: 4/14/2013 1:47:27 AM
I like sunny dykes and cal has talent. But I also like northwestern. That's a game ill prob have to sit out and see how those teams fair through the year. 

I love ok st against miss st. Ok st is undervalued and miss st overvalued. If that spread is single digits then yes sir. 


I'm in the middle of watching ou's spring game right now. Ill try to post some thoughts on it later
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#36
Posted: 4/14/2013 1:53:45 AM
hammers - thanks for the takes...it will be interesting to see how ou transitions its offense with the new qb...cheers
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#37
Posted: 4/14/2013 12:32:17 PM
Yea I like Tulsa, Florida and Washington State. I'm going to do more research on Tulsa / BG , I want to see how many pieces from Tulsa' O-line comes back.
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#38
Posted: 4/14/2013 2:40:06 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by HammersSpreads:

I like sunny dykes and cal has talent. But I also like northwestern. That's a game ill prob have to sit out and see how those teams fair through the year. 

I love ok st against miss st. Ok st is undervalued and miss st overvalued. If that spread is single digits then yes sir. 


I'm in the middle of watching ou's spring game right now. Ill try to post some thoughts on it later


gonna be a big culture shift at Cal under Dykes.  may take some time to get the hosses necessary
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#39
Posted: 4/14/2013 6:09:10 PM
sunny dykes

I think that's a porn star....or stripper maybe Hammer.....
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#40
Posted: 4/15/2013 8:20:14 PM

I think you should stick to ur guns with 24 usc/ Hawaii.  that game was -40 last year in USC, when they were ranked #1.  Breaking in a new qb and traveling to Hawaii. 

USC 35-17 

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#41
Posted: 4/16/2013 1:01:21 PM

SATURDAY

Auburn 18.5 Washington St

Arkansas 19.5 ULL

CAL 7.5 Northwestern

X Colorado 13.5 Colorado St

Florida 21.5 Toledo

Notre Dame 25.5 Temple

Louisville 18.5 Ohio

X Kentucky 14 WKU

Maryland 13.5 FIU

Michigan 27.5 CMU

Nc St 9.5 la Tech

Nebraska 24.5 Wyoming

New Mexico 2.5 UTSA

X Penn St 12.5 Syracuse

Ohio St 32.5 U at Buffalo

x Oklahoma St 9 Miss St

Oklahoma 24.5 ULM

A&M 36.5 Rice

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#42
Posted: 4/16/2013 1:55:34 PM

Texas 37.5 New Mexico St

BYU 1.5 *Virginia

Boise St. +1.5 *washington

Wisconsin 40.5 UMass

Marshall 7.5 Miami Ohio

Purdue +2.5   *Cincinnati

iowa 1.5 Northern Illinois

So Miss 20.5 Texas St

Troy 13.5 UAB

X Alabama 14.5 Virginia Tech

Georgia 1.5 *Clemson

X LSU 12.5 TCU

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#43
Posted: 4/16/2013 11:27:31 PM
if the bama spread is only 14.5 then I will be all over it..I think it will be between 17 and 20...and bama will still cover that...these are the type of games bama performs...and like last year, saban will want to start the year off right in Atlanta...
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#44
Posted: 4/18/2013 5:07:11 AM

what do you think the Miami v. FAU spread will be for Friday, August 30, 2013

My guess Miami -24

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#45
Posted: 4/19/2013 8:49:57 AM
I would love to get Northwestern at +7.5.
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#46
Posted: 4/19/2013 1:00:41 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by LonghornHoosier:

if the bama spread is only 14.5 then I will be all over it..I think it will be between 17 and 20...and bama will still cover that...these are the type of games bama performs...and like last year, saban will want to start the year off right in Atlanta...

 

While I agree ... the back door might be left open ... something Like 20-7 ????

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#47
Posted: 4/19/2013 9:14:58 PM
QUOTE

no way NW gets +7.5...NW will be the favorite by 10+

DUFL - do you think a Cal team with 6 returning starters will be favored over a pretty good NW team?

 

Originally Posted by Absolutxedge22:

I would love to get Northwestern at +7.5.

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#48
Posted: 4/19/2013 9:17:03 PM
so double et al...what do you guys think about Miami at home against FAU on Friday, 30 August 2013...
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#49
Posted: 4/23/2013 9:26:50 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by LonghornHoosier:

so double et al...what do you guys think about Miami at home against FAU on Friday, 30 August 2013...

Not so sure what to do with this one

guessing the line around 23/24.5

 

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#50
Posted: 4/23/2013 11:31:32 AM

Miami has struggled going 7-5 last year, and they face sanctions, but i think they they are set at QB and RB, return 19 starters, and SH et al decided to come back for their senior years.   Sure, Pellini's Mighty Mights at FAU played folks tough last year, but I think Vegas will factor that in.   Da U still  ownsthe florida  region and I see a classic cane beat down at home to kick off the season.  

Miami -24 over FAU

Miami 45

FAU 7

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