Stats for starters:
Syracuse is coming off a 35-24 loss to Cincinnati last Saturday to fall to 4-5 SU and 3-5-1 ATS on the year. They're 3-2 SU at home this season and 2-2-1 ATS
The Orange are 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 games and 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games against the conference.
The Cardinals are 14-4 ATS in their last 18 road games and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games against the Big East.
Head-to-head, the underdog in this series is 7-1 ATS in the last eight meetings and the total has stayed under in six of those games. Louisville is 3-0 SU in the last three meetings, but Syracuse is 5-2 ATS in the last seven games between the two.
Week 11 Situations
Kansas State at TCU
Louisville at Syracuse
Notre Dame at Boston College
Oregon at California
Pair them up against an opponent that has some semblance of a defense (allows 24 or fewer PPG on the season) and the shiver in their boots, going 42-31-1 SU and 24-45-1 ATS. The Cardinals and Wildcats will be showing signs of trembling this Saturday.
Bring them in as a favorite or underdog of less than 4 points off a SU/ATS win and it’s time for blindfolds, as these guys are 11-26 ATS.
The bottom line is these teams are at their absolute worst in these games when they take to the road off a SU/ATS conference win from Game 10 out with a perfect record as a favorite or dog of 4 or less points against a foe that allows 24 or fewer PPG provided they’ve won 20 or less of their previous 28 road games. These teams tend to die hard, going 9-9 SU and 2-16 ATS.
Both Kansas State (at TCU) and Louisville (at Syracuse) look to meet their maker this week. Gentlemen, mount your horses… (VI)
Questionable qoute:
“In the past, this was the type of matchup that would tend to derail the Cardinals with a bad loss, but not this time around. The disparity in talent between the two teams is just too great and the stakes are just too high for the Cardinals to come up short on Saturday afternoon. Especially with a showdown against No. 23 Rutgers, which should be for the Big East title, still on the horizon.” Bleacher Report writer
I should assume, based off this writer, that the line should favor Lou heavily and that the line should shift from the public hammering Lou. You know what happens when you assume?
Where the money is :
Opening line: Lou -2.5
Current Line: Lou -2
86% of the public is on Lou according to Sportsbook
RSF:
9/10 = 2 units on Cuse +2.5, my bookie always picks the highest line he can find. He might actually bump it to 3 but I dont know yet because I didnt call it in yet.