Washington +7 - I don't really think UW is all that good this year, but I just think this could be a flat spot for Stanford off their win over USC 2 weeks ago. They both had byes last week and I'm sure UW is getting more up for this game than Stanford will.
Friday
BYU -27.5 - I'm going to go ahead and lay the points on this big number. BYU's offense isn't that great but Hawaii's D is horrible. They gave up 69 points to Nevada at home this year. I don't see Hawaii scoring more than a TD or 2 vs BYU's defense and the Cougars should at least get into the 40's in this game.
Washington +7 - I don't really think UW is all that good this year, but I just think this could be a flat spot for Stanford off their win over USC 2 weeks ago. They both had byes last week and I'm sure UW is getting more up for this game than Stanford will.
Friday
BYU -27.5 - I'm going to go ahead and lay the points on this big number. BYU's offense isn't that great but Hawaii's D is horrible. They gave up 69 points to Nevada at home this year. I don't see Hawaii scoring more than a TD or 2 vs BYU's defense and the Cougars should at least get into the 40's in this game.
Kent State +1 - Ball State has played very well beating Indiana and South Florida in consecutive weeks but now they go on the road to play a KSU team that's pretty good. Think Kent wins this one.
NC State +3 - Natural let down spot for Miami off their win at Georgia Tech. I like the Wolfpack to pull this one out on the road.
UCF -2.5 - UCF has had a full two weeks to prepare for this game and they will be fired up to play a now SEC team at home.
Indiana +11.5 - Should've jumped on this before the line move but I like the Hooisers off their disappointing loss to Ball St. They've also had 2 weeks to prepare for Northwestern.
Boston College +10 - Seems like kind of a low line considering BC isn't that great this year. But Clemson could be drained emotionally after losing at Florida State and now they have to play another road game in consecutive weeks. BC on the other hand had a bye last week and should be ready for this one.
Kent State +1 - Ball State has played very well beating Indiana and South Florida in consecutive weeks but now they go on the road to play a KSU team that's pretty good. Think Kent wins this one.
NC State +3 - Natural let down spot for Miami off their win at Georgia Tech. I like the Wolfpack to pull this one out on the road.
UCF -2.5 - UCF has had a full two weeks to prepare for this game and they will be fired up to play a now SEC team at home.
Indiana +11.5 - Should've jumped on this before the line move but I like the Hooisers off their disappointing loss to Ball St. They've also had 2 weeks to prepare for Northwestern.
Boston College +10 - Seems like kind of a low line considering BC isn't that great this year. But Clemson could be drained emotionally after losing at Florida State and now they have to play another road game in consecutive weeks. BC on the other hand had a bye last week and should be ready for this one.
UAB +13.5 - UAB played pretty well last week despite losing, outgaining Ohio State in total yards. This is a tough spot for Tulsa. They are coming off a big win vs Fresno State and they are playing their first road game.
South Alabama +9.5 - South Alabama was only outgained by 9 yards last week vs Miss St and covered spread. Troy is coming off a big win at North Texas and have to play another road game in which they could be flat.
UAB +13.5 - UAB played pretty well last week despite losing, outgaining Ohio State in total yards. This is a tough spot for Tulsa. They are coming off a big win vs Fresno State and they are playing their first road game.
South Alabama +9.5 - South Alabama was only outgained by 9 yards last week vs Miss St and covered spread. Troy is coming off a big win at North Texas and have to play another road game in which they could be flat.
I am really conflicted about the Stanford/Washington game. A play on Stanford means laying almost a touchdown of road chalk, but not just any road chalk. The scariest of all road chalk - weeknight road chalk.
This will also be Stanford QB Josh Nunes' first career road start (similar to Zack Mettenberger last week). And not only that, but his first career road start is in a conference game in a very difficult environment on national tv. Moreover, Nunes has hardly been impressive through 3 games this season.
Offensively Stanford is very one-dimensional right now, and while that dimension is pretty good, it's not nearly what it has been the past few seasons. It seems to me that Washington will crowd the line of scrimmage, and force Nunes to beat them passing the ball. Can he???
On the flip side, Stanford has completely dominated Washington in the trenches the past four seasons, and everything points to that happening again. In their last four meetings Stanford has rushed for 244, 321, 278, & 446 in losses of 35-28, 34-14, 41-0, & 65-21. Both of the Huskies' starting guards from last season are out, so there will be more shuffling in the offensive line again this week, and DE Talia Crichton is still awaiting clearance from the medical staff to play after suffering a concussion in the LSU game.
With such a huge edge in the trenches (and I am a trenches bettor), it's difficult for me to see Washington winning this game, but I certainly wouldn't shock me to see them play within the number. With Stanford's stout defense, and their slow, methodical, clock-grinding offense, everything seems to point to an under play here.
Not really being a west coast guy, I'd be interested to hear your take GoCougs.
I am really conflicted about the Stanford/Washington game. A play on Stanford means laying almost a touchdown of road chalk, but not just any road chalk. The scariest of all road chalk - weeknight road chalk.
This will also be Stanford QB Josh Nunes' first career road start (similar to Zack Mettenberger last week). And not only that, but his first career road start is in a conference game in a very difficult environment on national tv. Moreover, Nunes has hardly been impressive through 3 games this season.
Offensively Stanford is very one-dimensional right now, and while that dimension is pretty good, it's not nearly what it has been the past few seasons. It seems to me that Washington will crowd the line of scrimmage, and force Nunes to beat them passing the ball. Can he???
On the flip side, Stanford has completely dominated Washington in the trenches the past four seasons, and everything points to that happening again. In their last four meetings Stanford has rushed for 244, 321, 278, & 446 in losses of 35-28, 34-14, 41-0, & 65-21. Both of the Huskies' starting guards from last season are out, so there will be more shuffling in the offensive line again this week, and DE Talia Crichton is still awaiting clearance from the medical staff to play after suffering a concussion in the LSU game.
With such a huge edge in the trenches (and I am a trenches bettor), it's difficult for me to see Washington winning this game, but I certainly wouldn't shock me to see them play within the number. With Stanford's stout defense, and their slow, methodical, clock-grinding offense, everything seems to point to an under play here.
Not really being a west coast guy, I'd be interested to hear your take GoCougs.
Jimmy - Good take on the game. Stanford looks to be more of a defensive team this year without Luck. You're right Nunes really hasn't done much at all and I think the UW defense will focus on stopping the run. As far as the previous meetings go, UW has a new defensive coordinator from U of Tennessee this year and he seems to be getting the defense back on the right track. Their old guy was just brutal and I don't think Stanford is just going to dominate their defense like in the past games. The injuries to UW's Oline are definitely a concern. It is also hard for me to see UW winning the game, but I could see a grind it out low scoring game similar to Stanford's game vs San Jose State where they only won by a FG. I don't think this is a game where you want to bet big on UW +7 but I like a small bet on them.
Jimmy - Good take on the game. Stanford looks to be more of a defensive team this year without Luck. You're right Nunes really hasn't done much at all and I think the UW defense will focus on stopping the run. As far as the previous meetings go, UW has a new defensive coordinator from U of Tennessee this year and he seems to be getting the defense back on the right track. Their old guy was just brutal and I don't think Stanford is just going to dominate their defense like in the past games. The injuries to UW's Oline are definitely a concern. It is also hard for me to see UW winning the game, but I could see a grind it out low scoring game similar to Stanford's game vs San Jose State where they only won by a FG. I don't think this is a game where you want to bet big on UW +7 but I like a small bet on them.
Cal - 1-.5 - ASU has certainly played better than anyone expected and Cal really hasn't, but then again Cal has played a brutal schedule having to play Ohio St and USC on the road. Yeah they shouldn't have lost to Nevada at home but the Wolfpack are a pretty good team. ASU is 3-0 in the desert and 0-1 on the road. They are coming off a blowout win vs Utah and I can see this being a tough game for them.
Texas - 2 - Texas looks to be a much better team than OK St this year. Obviously it will be tough on the road but in Texas' last road game they beat Ole miss by 35 points. OK St's only decent opponent was Zona and they lost by 21 to them.
Toledo Even - CMich off their big win over UConn and could have a let down here.
Arkansas State +2.5 - WKen has played great last 2 games but now they go on the road to face the other top team in league.
Cal - 1-.5 - ASU has certainly played better than anyone expected and Cal really hasn't, but then again Cal has played a brutal schedule having to play Ohio St and USC on the road. Yeah they shouldn't have lost to Nevada at home but the Wolfpack are a pretty good team. ASU is 3-0 in the desert and 0-1 on the road. They are coming off a blowout win vs Utah and I can see this being a tough game for them.
Texas - 2 - Texas looks to be a much better team than OK St this year. Obviously it will be tough on the road but in Texas' last road game they beat Ole miss by 35 points. OK St's only decent opponent was Zona and they lost by 21 to them.
Toledo Even - CMich off their big win over UConn and could have a let down here.
Arkansas State +2.5 - WKen has played great last 2 games but now they go on the road to face the other top team in league.
Jimmy - Good take on the game. Stanford looks to be more of a defensive team this year without Luck. You're right Nunes really hasn't done much at all and I think the UW defense will focus on stopping the run. As far as the previous meetings go, UW has a new defensive coordinator from U of Tennessee this year and he seems to be getting the defense back on the right track. Their old guy was just brutal and I don't think Stanford is just going to dominate their defense like in the past games. The injuries to UW's Oline are definitely a concern. It is also hard for me to see UW winning the game, but I could see a grind it out low scoring game similar to Stanford's game vs San Jose State where they only won by a FG. I don't think this is a game where you want to bet big on UW +7 but I like a small bet on them.
Thanks for the response GC.
You didn't say, but from the sound of your response, it seems to me like you talked yourself into an under play. I noticed the total creeped up slightly this morning from 47.5 to 48. I may pull the trigger on a 1st half under. What are your thoughts on the total???
Jimmy - Good take on the game. Stanford looks to be more of a defensive team this year without Luck. You're right Nunes really hasn't done much at all and I think the UW defense will focus on stopping the run. As far as the previous meetings go, UW has a new defensive coordinator from U of Tennessee this year and he seems to be getting the defense back on the right track. Their old guy was just brutal and I don't think Stanford is just going to dominate their defense like in the past games. The injuries to UW's Oline are definitely a concern. It is also hard for me to see UW winning the game, but I could see a grind it out low scoring game similar to Stanford's game vs San Jose State where they only won by a FG. I don't think this is a game where you want to bet big on UW +7 but I like a small bet on them.
Thanks for the response GC.
You didn't say, but from the sound of your response, it seems to me like you talked yourself into an under play. I noticed the total creeped up slightly this morning from 47.5 to 48. I may pull the trigger on a 1st half under. What are your thoughts on the total???
i guess i am not seeing the value here, but why would anyone the indiana hoosiers ATS? I earned my MBA either...I can assure you, the whole freaking Hoosier Nation is anticipating the kick off of BB season as the #1 ranked team...
i guess i am not seeing the value here, but why would anyone the indiana hoosiers ATS? I earned my MBA either...I can assure you, the whole freaking Hoosier Nation is anticipating the kick off of BB season as the #1 ranked team...
Longhorn - I don't think your football team is as bad as you think but I am also looking forward to see Indiana play hoop this year. Man, they have a lot of white boys that can shoot!
Longhorn - I don't think your football team is as bad as you think but I am also looking forward to see Indiana play hoop this year. Man, they have a lot of white boys that can shoot!
Zona -2.5 - Zona is off a bad loss at Oregon but that happens to teams when they go to Eugene. I look for them to bounce back at home where they already beat Ok St. OSU could have a letdown off their win over UCLA.
Southern Miss +10.5 - Southern Miss has been unimpressive so far and in their only home game they did lose by 10 to ECU. However, they did outgain them by about 100 yards in that game. This is the 5th game in consecutive weeks for Louisville and 2nd straight on road. I just think they could be flat.
UT San Antonio -1 - Big line swing in this game but I'm still on it. I liked it at +4 and maybe I should've laid off after line move. But UT SA is 4-0 and I'm thinking line is moving for a reason so maybe they will pull this out on road.
SD St +7.5 - I don't think Fresno is that much better than SD st and I get the hook.
Louisiana Tech -2.5 - I think La Tech is the real deal this year. 3-0 this year wins at Illinois and Houston and they've put up over 50 in all 3 games. Virginia is 0-3 ats. They did beat Penn St but they looked pretty bad in the other 2 games.
Akron +3 - Miami of Ohio is 0-4 ats this year and even in the 2 games they won they were outgained in yards. Since Akron got blown out by UCF in first game they've played well. Losing at FIU by 3 isn't a bad loss and yeah they lost by 21 at Tennessee but the spread was 31 in that game. I like Akron to win this game outright.
SMU +16 - SMU has been pretty bad so far but I'm banking on them playing better this week after a bad loss to A&M. They get another chance against an in state team and 2 weeks to prepare. TCU has hardly been impressive this year only beating Kansas by 14 in their last road game.
Zona -2.5 - Zona is off a bad loss at Oregon but that happens to teams when they go to Eugene. I look for them to bounce back at home where they already beat Ok St. OSU could have a letdown off their win over UCLA.
Southern Miss +10.5 - Southern Miss has been unimpressive so far and in their only home game they did lose by 10 to ECU. However, they did outgain them by about 100 yards in that game. This is the 5th game in consecutive weeks for Louisville and 2nd straight on road. I just think they could be flat.
UT San Antonio -1 - Big line swing in this game but I'm still on it. I liked it at +4 and maybe I should've laid off after line move. But UT SA is 4-0 and I'm thinking line is moving for a reason so maybe they will pull this out on road.
SD St +7.5 - I don't think Fresno is that much better than SD st and I get the hook.
Louisiana Tech -2.5 - I think La Tech is the real deal this year. 3-0 this year wins at Illinois and Houston and they've put up over 50 in all 3 games. Virginia is 0-3 ats. They did beat Penn St but they looked pretty bad in the other 2 games.
Akron +3 - Miami of Ohio is 0-4 ats this year and even in the 2 games they won they were outgained in yards. Since Akron got blown out by UCF in first game they've played well. Losing at FIU by 3 isn't a bad loss and yeah they lost by 21 at Tennessee but the spread was 31 in that game. I like Akron to win this game outright.
SMU +16 - SMU has been pretty bad so far but I'm banking on them playing better this week after a bad loss to A&M. They get another chance against an in state team and 2 weeks to prepare. TCU has hardly been impressive this year only beating Kansas by 14 in their last road game.
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