Big Breaking News!

Forum: College Football Page 1 of 2  1 2  
Author: [College Football] Topic: Big Breaking News!
bonilla420 PM bonilla420
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Posted: 8/19/2012 10:18:11 AM
I will be posting 4 out of my 6 plays this week..now, just to give fair warning, i know im gonna receive alot of heat from alot of u due to my style of wagering.. you see, i bet my own kind of way and its a way that has gotten me up on the books for 3 outta the last 4 years( woulda been 4 ina row but that stupid paquio/bradley darn job screwed me). anyway, i look foward to this new season in which i will begin with week 1 college football, nfl, then some nba action. it will be about a good 10 months of wagering coming up for me than i will take my usual 3 month layoof because baseball sucks and mma/boxing are just too damn unpredictable and corrupted these days. so, i will post my 1st bet right fuckin now!!!yeeeaaaahh!!!!!!
bonilla420 PM bonilla420
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Posted: 8/19/2012 10:29:45 AM

now just to let you know, my style is not to bet the same way every week so the following bets you see here will not be a typical routine evry single week strategy i use.. its just for week 1,week 2 will be week 2, then week 3, and so on..now with no further a do.. here we go!!!                                                 The 1st bet of the 2012 cfb season for bonilla420: A 7 tm parlay-1)Ohio state-20.5........ 2)West Virginia -20.5.......3) Florida -23.5....4)Georgia ml... ................5)LSU Ml....6)Oklahoma ML......7) Usc ml.... easy moneylines r included to make up for a couple of pts i bought on my spreads..also, y not take easy money when u can as none of those teams realisticly will lose.. and if they some how fkn did, then my take on it is that i just wasnt truely meant to win the bet.. but ill take that risk with these any day of the week 10 times on saturday.. all these games will be a winner,i repeat all will win! thanku and stay tuned for my next big play..                                                

                   

nc1capper PM nc1capper
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Posted: 8/19/2012 11:33:18 AM
Ty, expect much grief , and yes, of course I will " stay tuned for your next big play"--- gl this season 
Sabanade PM Sabanade
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Posted: 8/19/2012 11:43:00 AM

Those really go out on a limb lol....

nickeydyme PM nickeydyme
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Posted: 8/19/2012 12:36:16 PM
So you operate on a 13 month year? Haha...those ml's will not add very much to your bet...
Posted using a mobile device.
DAWGPRINT PM DAWGPRINT
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Posted: 8/19/2012 1:09:29 PM
7 team parlay....I agree with nc1capper - expect much grief, ridicule and bashing when you lose at least half these bets....



jmw59 PM jmw59
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Posted: 8/19/2012 2:25:33 PM
lots of people waiting on the edge of their consoles  
jdnmoney PM jdnmoney
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Posted: 8/19/2012 3:06:29 PM
horrible 1st play...
buying several points on three games and 4 huge ML's,

no ATS strait wagers?

a 7 team parlay....foolish...


Good luck to you buddy but you are in for a long seaon.
WISEGUY36 PM WISEGUY36
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Posted: 8/19/2012 3:13:10 PM
What's the O/U on how deep you go into the season
before you have to "reload" ?
snowjocky PM snowjocky
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Posted: 8/19/2012 4:03:46 PM

I'm going with a 5 teamer:

Mich.St - 7

OSU - 23

Fla - 29 1/2

USC - 38 1/2

Okla. - 30 1/2

GOOD  this season

 

snowjocky PM snowjocky
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Posted: 8/19/2012 4:14:02 PM
I might be scratching Okla.
WISEGUY36 PM WISEGUY36
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Posted: 8/19/2012 4:20:25 PM
Hey Bonilla, I may give you some heat,but Best of luck this season,
Buddy.I'll be cheering for ya.(unless we're on different sides of the
play).
jdnmoney PM jdnmoney
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Posted: 8/19/2012 4:23:19 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by WISEGUY36:

What's the O/U on how deep you go into the season
before you have to "reload" ?

week 4
WISEGUY36 PM WISEGUY36
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Posted: 8/19/2012 4:28:51 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by jdnmoney:


week 4





TreyInventor PM TreyInventor
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Posted: 8/19/2012 4:35:29 PM

you're really just better off betting ATS man. Its just too risky. Even though all the powerhouse teams should WIN, you just never know when a backdoor cover will happen or when the football gods decide to darn you (case in point Appalachian state vs Michigan a couple yrs ago). Im pretty damn sure people had them in a ML parlay as well. Anyway Im not a hater and I want everybody to beat the punk behind books so BOL... O and WVU may be the one to darn you

WISEGUY36 PM WISEGUY36
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Posted: 8/19/2012 4:42:01 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by jdnmoney:


week 4



jdn, Make it 4 1/2, I'll take the under,but I want to parlay it with
LSU and USC on the moneyline.
bonilla420 PM bonilla420
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Posted: 8/19/2012 5:30:53 PM
lololol ok now i just got back on here and i read all of ur feedback.. i 1st, i want to say that i do appreciate the feedback as thats what covers should be about and i dont by no means take it personal. However, i cant help but to notice nothin but plain negativity toward my play. i mean, i did state clearly that this was 1 of about 6 or so bets i will have and that this was particularly my week 1 strategy so to speak.. i didnt say that i will just do this week in and week out. And all im reading is that i will lose and i wont last. well, let me say this, if u say the o/u for me this year is 4.5.. than ur behind is grass if u play the under! i believe in all my plays no matter what.. u guys here are just terrified and traumatized of parlays cause u just dont have the testicular fortitude to bet one. so u just bet those str8 bets in complete denial like u cant get backdoored and fucked with 1 team as u can wit 3 teams..anyway guys ive explained myself enough and we will see when kickoff comes in 1.5 weeks and u will swallow ur words.Now, if u haters dont mind, i will now post my 2nd play of week 1 cfb.      thanku  Pannywastes!
WISEGUY36 PM WISEGUY36
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Posted: 8/19/2012 5:58:16 PM
hey Bonilla, we're just having a little fun with you.While I personally
do not bet parlays, I hope you do well and make a killing this year.
I just think that Week 1 poses enough betting uncertainty without
adding having to win multiple bets to cash a ticket.You've earned
the right to bet them anyway you see fit.I'm not a "hater",I just
think differently than you do about handicapping and money
management.Go get 'em and good luck.

P.S. I've got faith in you and wouldn't have taken the "under" anyway.
MrPidaso PM MrPidaso
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Posted: 8/19/2012 6:10:35 PM
There is less a correlation between Not betting parlays and not having balls, them it is simply not a wise choice unless you just like the action and want to limit your risk.

The math is simply as to why parlays are not a good proposition: Any football game has a 50-50 probability of a win/lose outcome (excluding the push). The probability of getting two 50-50 bets correct is 4:1. However, the payout is 2.6:1. Paying a lot of juice to add that other game. (the larger the parlay the worse the odds).

My two cents (and no disrespect intended, just expressing why I do not like parlays)




bonilla420 PM bonilla420
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Posted: 8/19/2012 6:15:38 PM
wiseguys- thank u very much i appreciate that buddy..u seem like a real cool son of a girl sir. i wish u nothin but the best too     NOW! here is my 2nd bet for week 1 cfb! a 12 tm parlay- All on the moneyline- 1)Bama. 2)Tennessee. 3)South Carolina.. 4)Georgia..5)Florida..6)Ohio st..7)Usc..8)OU.9)lsu..10) OREGON ..11)W.VIRGINIA...12)Texas...all 12 WILL WIN!!!!!! WITHOUT A FKN DOUBT..
JFen31 PM JFen31
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Posted: 8/19/2012 6:17:56 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by bonilla420:

lololol ok now i just got back on here and i read all of ur feedback.. i 1st, i want to say that i do appreciate the feedback as thats what covers should be about and i dont by no means take it personal. However, i cant help but to notice nothin but plain negativity toward my play. i mean, i did state clearly that this was 1 of about 6 or so bets i will have and that this was particularly my week 1 strategy so to speak.. i didnt say that i will just do this week in and week out. And all im reading is that i will lose and i wont last. well, let me say this, if u say the o/u for me this year is 4.5.. than ur behind is grass if u play the under! i believe in all my plays no matter what.. u guys here are just terrified and traumatized of parlays cause u just dont have the testicular fortitude to bet one. so u just bet those str8 bets in complete denial like u cant get backdoored and fucked with 1 team as u can wit 3 teams..anyway guys ive explained myself enough and we will see when kickoff comes in 1.5 weeks and u will swallow ur words.Now, if u haters dont mind, i will now post my 2nd play of week 1 cfb.      thanku  Pannywastes!


Betting parlays on a consistent basis has nothing to do with testicular fortitude.

It is, however, a hallmark of terrible bettors who consistently fail to understand basic probability and logic.
bonilla420 PM bonilla420
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Posted: 8/19/2012 6:19:35 PM

STAY TUNED! MY 3RD BET WILL BE ON THE WAY! after that, that will be it for now as i wont be locking in any more tuntil at least thurs-fri time later in the week..

WISEGUY36 PM WISEGUY36
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Posted: 8/19/2012 6:26:40 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by bonilla420:

wiseguys- thank u very much i appreciate that buddy..u seem like a real cool son of a girl sir. i wish u nothin but the best too     NOW! here is my 2nd bet for week 1 cfb! a 12 tm parlay- All on the moneyline- 1)Bama. 2)Tennessee. 3)South Carolina.. 4)Georgia..5)Florida..6)Ohio st..7)Usc..8)OU.9)lsu..10) OREGON ..11)W.VIRGINIA...12)Texas...all 12 WILL WIN!!!!!! WITHOUT A FKN DOUBT..


Did I miss something? I only count 11.
jdnmoney PM jdnmoney
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Posted: 8/19/2012 6:29:45 PM
do u have a real bet or just ML parlays?

maybe a bet that requires some actual capping and research involved?

maybe some facts to back up what ur playing? 

I want to take u seriously Bonilla but I cannot stop thinking about this

http://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=33&sub=101184917&page=2



WISEGUY36 PM WISEGUY36
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Posted: 8/19/2012 6:30:32 PM
Never mind.There's 12 there. BOL
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