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Author: [College Football] Topic: Big Breaking News!
bonilla420 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
bonilla420
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#1
Posted: 8/19/2012 10:18:11 AM
I will be posting 4 out of my 6 plays this week..now, just to give fair warning, i know im gonna receive alot of heat from alot of u due to my style of wagering.. you see, i bet my own kind of way and its a way that has gotten me up on the books for 3 outta the last 4 years( woulda been 4 ina row but that stupid paquio/bradley darn job screwed me). anyway, i look foward to this new season in which i will begin with week 1 college football, nfl, then some nba action. it will be about a good 10 months of wagering coming up for me than i will take my usual 3 month layoof because baseball sucks and mma/boxing are just too damn unpredictable and corrupted these days. so, i will post my 1st bet right fuckin now!!!yeeeaaaahh!!!!!!
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#2
Posted: 8/19/2012 10:29:45 AM

now just to let you know, my style is not to bet the same way every week so the following bets you see here will not be a typical routine evry single week strategy i use.. its just for week 1,week 2 will be week 2, then week 3, and so on..now with no further a do.. here we go!!!                                                 The 1st bet of the 2012 cfb season for bonilla420: A 7 tm parlay-1)Ohio state-20.5........ 2)West Virginia -20.5.......3) Florida -23.5....4)Georgia ml... ................5)LSU Ml....6)Oklahoma ML......7) Usc ml.... easy moneylines r included to make up for a couple of pts i bought on my spreads..also, y not take easy money when u can as none of those teams realisticly will lose.. and if they some how fkn did, then my take on it is that i just wasnt truely meant to win the bet.. but ill take that risk with these any day of the week 10 times on saturday.. all these games will be a winner,i repeat all will win! thanku and stay tuned for my next big play..                                                

                   

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#3
Posted: 8/19/2012 11:33:18 AM
Ty, expect much grief , and yes, of course I will " stay tuned for your next big play"--- gl this season 
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#4
Posted: 8/19/2012 11:43:00 AM

Those really go out on a limb lol....

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#5
Posted: 8/19/2012 12:36:16 PM
So you operate on a 13 month year? Haha...those ml's will not add very much to your bet...
Posted using a mobile device.
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#6
Posted: 8/19/2012 1:09:29 PM
7 team parlay....I agree with nc1capper - expect much grief, ridicule and bashing when you lose at least half these bets....



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#7
Posted: 8/19/2012 2:25:33 PM
lots of people waiting on the edge of their consoles  
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jdnmoney
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#8
Posted: 8/19/2012 3:06:29 PM
horrible 1st play...
buying several points on three games and 4 huge ML's,

no ATS strait wagers?

a 7 team parlay....foolish...


Good luck to you buddy but you are in for a long seaon.
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WISEGUY36 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Bellagio |
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#9
Posted: 8/19/2012 3:13:10 PM
What's the O/U on how deep you go into the season
before you have to "reload" ?
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snowjocky
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#10
Posted: 8/19/2012 4:03:46 PM

I'm going with a 5 teamer:

Mich.St - 7

OSU - 23

Fla - 29 1/2

USC - 38 1/2

Okla. - 30 1/2

GOOD  this season

 

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snowjocky
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#11
Posted: 8/19/2012 4:14:02 PM
I might be scratching Okla.
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WISEGUY36 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Bellagio |
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#12
Posted: 8/19/2012 4:20:25 PM
Hey Bonilla, I may give you some heat,but Best of luck this season,
Buddy.I'll be cheering for ya.(unless we're on different sides of the
play).
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jdnmoney
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#13
Posted: 8/19/2012 4:23:19 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by WISEGUY36:

What's the O/U on how deep you go into the season
before you have to "reload" ?

week 4
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WISEGUY36 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Bellagio |
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#14
Posted: 8/19/2012 4:28:51 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by jdnmoney:


week 4





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#15
Posted: 8/19/2012 4:35:29 PM

you're really just better off betting ATS man. Its just too risky. Even though all the powerhouse teams should WIN, you just never know when a backdoor cover will happen or when the football gods decide to darn you (case in point Appalachian state vs Michigan a couple yrs ago). Im pretty damn sure people had them in a ML parlay as well. Anyway Im not a hater and I want everybody to beat the punk behind books so BOL... O and WVU may be the one to darn you

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WISEGUY36 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Bellagio |
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#16
Posted: 8/19/2012 4:42:01 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by jdnmoney:


week 4



jdn, Make it 4 1/2, I'll take the under,but I want to parlay it with
LSU and USC on the moneyline.
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bonilla420 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#17
Posted: 8/19/2012 5:30:53 PM
lololol ok now i just got back on here and i read all of ur feedback.. i 1st, i want to say that i do appreciate the feedback as thats what covers should be about and i dont by no means take it personal. However, i cant help but to notice nothin but plain negativity toward my play. i mean, i did state clearly that this was 1 of about 6 or so bets i will have and that this was particularly my week 1 strategy so to speak.. i didnt say that i will just do this week in and week out. And all im reading is that i will lose and i wont last. well, let me say this, if u say the o/u for me this year is 4.5.. than ur behind is grass if u play the under! i believe in all my plays no matter what.. u guys here are just terrified and traumatized of parlays cause u just dont have the testicular fortitude to bet one. so u just bet those str8 bets in complete denial like u cant get backdoored and fucked with 1 team as u can wit 3 teams..anyway guys ive explained myself enough and we will see when kickoff comes in 1.5 weeks and u will swallow ur words.Now, if u haters dont mind, i will now post my 2nd play of week 1 cfb.      thanku  Pannywastes!
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WISEGUY36 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Bellagio |
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#18
Posted: 8/19/2012 5:58:16 PM
hey Bonilla, we're just having a little fun with you.While I personally
do not bet parlays, I hope you do well and make a killing this year.
I just think that Week 1 poses enough betting uncertainty without
adding having to win multiple bets to cash a ticket.You've earned
the right to bet them anyway you see fit.I'm not a "hater",I just
think differently than you do about handicapping and money
management.Go get 'em and good luck.

P.S. I've got faith in you and wouldn't have taken the "under" anyway.
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#19
Posted: 8/19/2012 6:10:35 PM
There is less a correlation between Not betting parlays and not having balls, them it is simply not a wise choice unless you just like the action and want to limit your risk.

The math is simply as to why parlays are not a good proposition: Any football game has a 50-50 probability of a win/lose outcome (excluding the push). The probability of getting two 50-50 bets correct is 4:1. However, the payout is 2.6:1. Paying a lot of juice to add that other game. (the larger the parlay the worse the odds).

My two cents (and no disrespect intended, just expressing why I do not like parlays)




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#20
Posted: 8/19/2012 6:15:38 PM
wiseguys- thank u very much i appreciate that buddy..u seem like a real cool son of a girl sir. i wish u nothin but the best too     NOW! here is my 2nd bet for week 1 cfb! a 12 tm parlay- All on the moneyline- 1)Bama. 2)Tennessee. 3)South Carolina.. 4)Georgia..5)Florida..6)Ohio st..7)Usc..8)OU.9)lsu..10) OREGON ..11)W.VIRGINIA...12)Texas...all 12 WILL WIN!!!!!! WITHOUT A FKN DOUBT..
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#21
Posted: 8/19/2012 6:17:56 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by bonilla420:

lololol ok now i just got back on here and i read all of ur feedback.. i 1st, i want to say that i do appreciate the feedback as thats what covers should be about and i dont by no means take it personal. However, i cant help but to notice nothin but plain negativity toward my play. i mean, i did state clearly that this was 1 of about 6 or so bets i will have and that this was particularly my week 1 strategy so to speak.. i didnt say that i will just do this week in and week out. And all im reading is that i will lose and i wont last. well, let me say this, if u say the o/u for me this year is 4.5.. than ur behind is grass if u play the under! i believe in all my plays no matter what.. u guys here are just terrified and traumatized of parlays cause u just dont have the testicular fortitude to bet one. so u just bet those str8 bets in complete denial like u cant get backdoored and fucked with 1 team as u can wit 3 teams..anyway guys ive explained myself enough and we will see when kickoff comes in 1.5 weeks and u will swallow ur words.Now, if u haters dont mind, i will now post my 2nd play of week 1 cfb.      thanku  Pannywastes!


Betting parlays on a consistent basis has nothing to do with testicular fortitude.

It is, however, a hallmark of terrible bettors who consistently fail to understand basic probability and logic.
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#22
Posted: 8/19/2012 6:19:35 PM

STAY TUNED! MY 3RD BET WILL BE ON THE WAY! after that, that will be it for now as i wont be locking in any more tuntil at least thurs-fri time later in the week..

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#23
Posted: 8/19/2012 6:26:40 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by bonilla420:

wiseguys- thank u very much i appreciate that buddy..u seem like a real cool son of a girl sir. i wish u nothin but the best too     NOW! here is my 2nd bet for week 1 cfb! a 12 tm parlay- All on the moneyline- 1)Bama. 2)Tennessee. 3)South Carolina.. 4)Georgia..5)Florida..6)Ohio st..7)Usc..8)OU.9)lsu..10) OREGON ..11)W.VIRGINIA...12)Texas...all 12 WILL WIN!!!!!! WITHOUT A FKN DOUBT..


Did I miss something? I only count 11.
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#24
Posted: 8/19/2012 6:29:45 PM
do u have a real bet or just ML parlays?

maybe a bet that requires some actual capping and research involved?

maybe some facts to back up what ur playing? 

I want to take u seriously Bonilla but I cannot stop thinking about this

http://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=33&sub=101184917&page=2



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#25
Posted: 8/19/2012 6:30:32 PM
Never mind.There's 12 there. BOL
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