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Author: [College Football] Topic: Here we go again,,,Bama -5 is the biggest trap play this bowl season....
choiOi send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
choiOi
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#1
Posted: 12/8/2009 3:57:59 PM

Seriously,,Bama just knocked off Florida and UT barely snucked into the Bowl with a miracle FG against who? Yeah...Nebraska.

And Bama only giving -5?????? Less than a TD?

Get ready fellas.......the books are loading up the bandwagon for Bama backers in this one.

Line will more than likely bid up to -7 or so by game time,,,,similar to the Gators vs. OU last NC.

UT is the "correct" play here...to all UT backers, of course you will wait til game day to roll your bankroll into UT cause they are going to shut down Bama's running game.

 

Just watch.......

 

 

Biggest play of the century for me will be on UT +pts.......

 

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#2
Posted: 12/8/2009 4:07:41 PM
 Have you ever thought that the books do not take into account just 1 game, especially in a national title game?? The line is about right, a little high IMO but what did you expect to see? If you say anything higher than the 3 it opened at at some places then you are just looking at this last week.....




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#3
Posted: 12/8/2009 4:20:08 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by koko11:

 Have you ever thought that the books do not take into account just 1 game, especially in a national title game?? The line is about right, a little high IMO but what did you expect to see? If you say anything higher than the 3 it opened at at some places then you are just looking at this last week.....




Koko, you didn't stretch the thread!!! 

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#4
Posted: 12/8/2009 4:21:33 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by choiOi:

Seriously,,Bama just knocked off Florida and UT barely snucked into the Bowl with a miracle FG against who? Yeah...Nebraska.

And Bama only giving -5?????? Less than a TD?

Get ready fellas.......the books are loading up the bandwagon for Bama backers in this one.

Line will more than likely bid up to -7 or so by game time,,,,similar to the Gators vs. OU last NC.

UT is the "correct" play here...to all UT backers, of course you will wait til game day to roll your bankroll into UT cause they are going to shut down Bama's running game.

 

Just watch.......

 

 

Biggest play of the century for me will be on UT +pts.......

I don't doubt you are correct, but can you answer one question for me please.  How will Vegas help Texas at the point of attack?

 

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#5
Posted: 12/8/2009 4:21:58 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by jimmydafreak:

Koko, you didn't stretch the thread!!! 


 I do not know why it does that sometimes, but it never does it on my screen...
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#6
Posted: 12/8/2009 4:44:41 PM
I'm sorry but in what facet of the game is Texas better than Bama? Offense, Defense, Special Teams & Coaching point to Bama.
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#7
Posted: 12/8/2009 4:53:18 PM
It wont hit 7 by gametime.  That will leave a huge middle ground for bettors who got in on the early 3 line.  Not to mention, alumni betting of big schools always keep the number from moving too far in BCS games. 
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#8
Posted: 12/8/2009 4:56:29 PM
Just don't see how this is a trap.....Best of luck to you in your play tho.
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#9
Posted: 12/8/2009 4:58:46 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by jimmydafreak:

Koko, you didn't stretch the thread!!! 

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#10
Posted: 12/8/2009 5:03:21 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by DTher85:

I'm sorry but in what facet of the game is Texas better than Bama? Offense, Defense, Special Teams & Coaching point to Bama.

Offense - Texas

Special teams - Equal.

Defense (wins Chamipinships) - Alabama

Coaching - Well, the both have NC ring...but I lean Saban

 

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#11
Posted: 12/8/2009 5:03:36 PM
Believe me,I might be from TX, but I'm no homer. I took the 14 with NEBR. My first thought was the media crowning ALB. the champ and they have'nt even played the game yet. I've been betting football for 40 yrs. and I've seen it all before. TEXAS IS THE BET , win or lose.
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#12
Posted: 12/8/2009 5:04:08 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by jimmydafreak:

I don't doubt you are correct, but can you answer one question for me please.  How will Vegas help Texas at the point of attack?

 


By calling a few timely pass interference calls on Bama
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#13
Posted: 12/8/2009 5:17:16 PM

Bama is one of the most conservative team in the SEC. Saban will keep this game close, close, close, game will be decided by a FG. Throw in the fact Saban's team is still reeling after knocking off Florida and now they are stepping down a conference to the Big 12...so to speak, according to the expert.

I love the dawg in this spot. UT will win this game SU, I will make a play on UT ML too!

Go ahead and throw your money on Bama -5.

That total is a low 45, down to 44.5 in some places. That in itself will tell you it will be a defensive battle as the bookmaker is giving respect to UT Defense - fast/furious. This game will be alot closer than ppl might think.

UT have a DL to shut down Ingram - do that and it's OVER for Bama.

 

 

 

 

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#14
Posted: 12/8/2009 5:20:39 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by koko11:


 I do not know why it does that sometimes, but it never does it on my screen...

I put in a good word for you with Covers, so maybe that did some good!!! 

 

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#15
Posted: 12/8/2009 5:21:43 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by trackem:

LMFAO!!!

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#16
Posted: 12/8/2009 5:28:14 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by phobanbud:

It wont hit 7 by gametime.  That will leave a huge middle ground for bettors who got in on the early 3 line.  Not to mention, alumni betting of big schools always keep the number from moving too far in BCS games. 

You never know, Gators ranked #1 most of the yr and going back to last NC, they were favor by -8 vs. OU. The public IMO have already crowned Bama after beating Gators.

The public loves the SEC and there's already talk about Big 12 being a softy etc,, hang on to your seat. This line will get off of 7 before kickoff. Just wait and see.......

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#17
Posted: 12/8/2009 5:36:27 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by phobanbud:

It wont hit 7 by gametime.  That will leave a huge middle ground for bettors who got in on the early 3 line.  Not to mention, alumni betting of big schools always keep the number from moving too far in BCS games. 

 

The middle will not be a factor if UT win this game SU and they done it before in Pasadena.

 

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#18
Posted: 12/8/2009 7:03:40 PM

uh oh... money is starting to come in on texas.  now 62%/38% split, down from 80% on bama just yesterday morning...

 

at first i thought everyone in the free world would be on bama... but now it looks like there could be a near 50/50 split bykickoff with a slight edge to bama.

 

i guess vegas will be trapping no one and just collecting juice on this game. 

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#19
Posted: 12/8/2009 7:04:35 PM
****from sportsinsight.com
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#20
Posted: 12/8/2009 11:41:40 PM

Longhorns are 7-0-1 all-time versus the Crimson Tide

 

Longhorns have won 7 of their last 8 Bowl Games

 

Mac Brown is 8-3 in Bowl Games (give me +pts) 

 

UT last NC game at the Rose Bowl in 05 = WON as a dawg

 

Alabama haven't played at the Rose Bowl since 1946.

 

  Bama will lose

 

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#21
Posted: 12/8/2009 11:44:00 PM

BTW.....my birthday will be Jan. 7th. My biggest present to me is mucho $$$$$ on UT +pts.

 

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#22
Posted: 12/9/2009 12:00:11 AM

Texas has won a national-leading 17 straight games and its 13 wins this season matches the school record set in '05. 

 

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#23
Posted: 12/9/2009 12:03:37 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by choiOi:

Longhorns are 7-0-1 all-time versus the Crimson Tide

 The last time these teams played was in 83, that does not matter and if it did would be in Bama's favor as bulletin board material

Longhorns have won 7 of their last 8 Bowl Games

Once again does not matter in this situation

 

Mac Brown is 8-3 in Bowl Games (give me +pts) 

 Nice record for Mac.... Can't deny that, but how does that help him in this game??

UT last NC game at the Rose Bowl in 05 = WON as a dawg

Once again an irrelevant fact since noone on that team is on this team..

 

Alabama haven't played at the Rose Bowl since 1946.

Might want to research that and see why... The Rose Bowl banned SEC teams after Bama kept coming out there and whipping the Pac 10's behind every year, which is why they have had a Big 11 / Pac 10 tie in ever since..The only time Bama has gotten to come out there was if the NC was played there but this is Bama's 1st BCS Title game, hence their 1st time to have a chance to play at the Rose..

 

  Bama will lose

 

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#24
Posted: 12/9/2009 12:12:01 AM

koko11 - your blinded by love and your in denial man. You can tap dance around the facts stated but they are still facts.

Bama won their NC last week bud. This is payback for UT being left out last season when they got duke by OU. Horns are waiting for this moment to showcase and they will show football fans they are the best team in the country after Jan. 7th.

It's been a long time coming and payback will be a girl!

Sorry Bama but you guys are not there yet. The NC Trophy belongs to UT.

Like I said, UT DL will shut down Ingram. Than it's lights out.

 

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#25
Posted: 12/9/2009 12:26:35 AM
choiOi-  I am not blinded, I am telling you while everything you say is fact, it has nothing to do with this game and if you think it does, I feel sorry for you.....Bama did not win their NC last week, trust me the players know what is at stake next month, they know what their real goal is so I hope you are not counting on a let down here as a betting stratagey....I have not studied this game yet but everything you are spouting off has nothing to do with the outcome of the game...If you can not come up with any other reasons to bet on UT than that, I suggest not to bet them..

BOL 
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