I bet the Stros and Pirates before the season started. Pitt took a nose dive right out of the gate but have won 9 of their last 14. Injuries, suspensions and poor hitting has plagues them. I bet the Rays a little over 3 weeks ago and the price has dropped by 900 cents since. The Rays imo have been under performing when it comes to the W/L columns. I think they are much better than their record shows. They need some help in the pen.
I bet the Stros and Pirates before the season started. Pitt took a nose dive right out of the gate but have won 9 of their last 14. Injuries, suspensions and poor hitting has plagues them. I bet the Rays a little over 3 weeks ago and the price has dropped by 900 cents since. The Rays imo have been under performing when it comes to the W/L columns. I think they are much better than their record shows. They need some help in the pen.
1. Colorado ML-113 (Lynn/Marquez) *risk 1.25 to win 1.11
2. Colorado RL+165 *risk .75 to win 1.24
Bet these last night a few hours after open. I let all the sour Rockies backers(from yesterdays game) knock down the -126 opener to -113.
It's get away day for the Cards in the midst of a holiday weekend. Players are feeling good about their win yesterday, and their minds might start wondering to their families when they are leaving relatively early today to get back home.
Cards are 1-4 vs RHP last 5 faced. Matt Carpenter is getting the day off, a key left handed bat. Only 4 guys have seen Marquez for a sample size 10 AB's getting 1 hit.
Lance Lynn has strung a couple good outings together after getting beat up in Miami. Prior to that he had 4 straight wins where he pitched well. I just don't like how he matches up against the Rockies lineup, one that just got skunked by Wainwright. Interested to see how he holds up for a 3rd game in a row of low run support(which I'm seeing vs Marquez)
Big Bullpen edge to the Rockies.
HP UMP Ted Barret is 8-1 to the home team this year. He shows major homer tendencies when it comes to runs scored, strike outs and walks.
1. Colorado ML-113 (Lynn/Marquez) *risk 1.25 to win 1.11
2. Colorado RL+165 *risk .75 to win 1.24
Bet these last night a few hours after open. I let all the sour Rockies backers(from yesterdays game) knock down the -126 opener to -113.
It's get away day for the Cards in the midst of a holiday weekend. Players are feeling good about their win yesterday, and their minds might start wondering to their families when they are leaving relatively early today to get back home.
Cards are 1-4 vs RHP last 5 faced. Matt Carpenter is getting the day off, a key left handed bat. Only 4 guys have seen Marquez for a sample size 10 AB's getting 1 hit.
Lance Lynn has strung a couple good outings together after getting beat up in Miami. Prior to that he had 4 straight wins where he pitched well. I just don't like how he matches up against the Rockies lineup, one that just got skunked by Wainwright. Interested to see how he holds up for a 3rd game in a row of low run support(which I'm seeing vs Marquez)
Big Bullpen edge to the Rockies.
HP UMP Ted Barret is 8-1 to the home team this year. He shows major homer tendencies when it comes to runs scored, strike outs and walks.
Another get away day play. The Padres are trying to avoid the sweep though By the line movement looks like sharps are backing Chacin...good luck. Or Johnny Keyboard is blindly fading the public bet %, who knows.
These splits might raise an eyebrow or two:
Padres:
-vs RHP=.224/.671 #30
-May=.210/.633 #30
-Day=.189/.570 #30
-Sunday=.203/.613 #30
-Innings 1-6=.215/.642 #30
-Innings 1-5, Away, vs RHP=.223/.678 #26
Nationals:
-vs RHP=.270/.812 #5
-May=.251/.755 #18
-Day=.264/.795 #7
-Sunday=.274/.863 #6
-Innings 1-6=.282/.834 #2
-Innings 1-5, Home, vs RHP=.308/.911 #2
Bad UMP for Padres backers IMO. Dan Bellino has a 20.3% SO%, he also averages 7.97 away batting SO's per 9 which is 6th highest among all umps. The Padres over their last 7 games have a 28.4% SO rate. That's only 5th worst in the league over the last 7 days but still ridiculously high, just shows you how much these idiots are hacking away through out the league. Vs RHP the Padres have the 2nd highest SO% at 25.6%
Joe Ross looked good in his last outing, I look for him to string together another quality outing today vs a lineup that posses minimal threat.
Only 5 guys from the Pads have seen Ross with a lowly 17 plate appearances and barely touched him. 8 guys from the Nats have seen Chacin in 69 plate appearances and dinged him up fairly well.
Another get away day play. The Padres are trying to avoid the sweep though By the line movement looks like sharps are backing Chacin...good luck. Or Johnny Keyboard is blindly fading the public bet %, who knows.
These splits might raise an eyebrow or two:
Padres:
-vs RHP=.224/.671 #30
-May=.210/.633 #30
-Day=.189/.570 #30
-Sunday=.203/.613 #30
-Innings 1-6=.215/.642 #30
-Innings 1-5, Away, vs RHP=.223/.678 #26
Nationals:
-vs RHP=.270/.812 #5
-May=.251/.755 #18
-Day=.264/.795 #7
-Sunday=.274/.863 #6
-Innings 1-6=.282/.834 #2
-Innings 1-5, Home, vs RHP=.308/.911 #2
Bad UMP for Padres backers IMO. Dan Bellino has a 20.3% SO%, he also averages 7.97 away batting SO's per 9 which is 6th highest among all umps. The Padres over their last 7 games have a 28.4% SO rate. That's only 5th worst in the league over the last 7 days but still ridiculously high, just shows you how much these idiots are hacking away through out the league. Vs RHP the Padres have the 2nd highest SO% at 25.6%
Joe Ross looked good in his last outing, I look for him to string together another quality outing today vs a lineup that posses minimal threat.
Only 5 guys from the Pads have seen Ross with a lowly 17 plate appearances and barely touched him. 8 guys from the Nats have seen Chacin in 69 plate appearances and dinged him up fairly well.
When the Rays get Ramos, Duffy, and Miller back that lineup should be pretty stout. Ryan Stanek went to school not to far from me and throws 100 he should help the back end of that pen
When the Rays get Ramos, Duffy, and Miller back that lineup should be pretty stout. Ryan Stanek went to school not to far from me and throws 100 he should help the back end of that pen
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