HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading 2-games-1:
Ignoring win order; ignoring site order: The team leading 2-games-1 irrespective of site order (Cleveland) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2016 MLB Semifinals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 723-255 (.739)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Finals round: 143-48 (.749)
series record, MLB only, all rounds: 94-39 (.707)
series record, MLB only, Finals round: 56-27 (.675)
Game 4 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 482-496 (.493)
Game 4 record, all best-of-7 sports, Finals round: 96-95 (.503)
Game 4 record, MLB only, all rounds: 75-58 (.564)
Game 4 record, MLB only, Finals round: 41-42 (.494)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1318 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and
MLB series played through the 2016 MLB Semifinals. Note in general that
the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular
situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning
fraction:
For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning
fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is
400-100 rather than 4-1.
HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading 2-games-1 @ HHV:
Ignoring win order; considering site order: The team leading 2-games-1 with site order HHV (Cleveland) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2016 MLB Semifinals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 464-112 (.806)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Finals round: 95-22 (.812)
series record, MLB only, all rounds: 53-17 (.757)
series record, MLB only, Finals round: 31-13 (.705)
Game 4 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 277-299 (.481)
Game 4 record, all best-of-7 sports, Finals round: 57-60 (.487)
Game 4 record, MLB only, all rounds: 39-31 (.557)
Game 4 record, MLB only, Finals round: 19-25 (.432)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1318 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and
MLB series played through the 2016 MLB Semifinals. Note in general that
the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular
situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning
fraction:
For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning
fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is
400-100 rather than 4-1.
HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading WLW:
Considering win order; ignoring site order: The team leading WLW irrespective of site order (Cleveland) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2016 MLB Semifinals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 224-102 (.687)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Finals round: 52-19 (.732)
series record, MLB only, all rounds: 31-16 (.660)
series record, MLB only, Finals round: 22-12 (.647)
Game 4 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 162-164 (.497)
Game 4 record, all best-of-7 sports, Finals round: 31-40 (.437)
Game 4 record, MLB only, all rounds: 27-20 (.574)
Game 4 record, MLB only, Finals round: 18-16 (.529)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1318 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and
MLB series played through the 2016 MLB Semifinals. Note in general that
the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular
situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning
fraction:
For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning
fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is
400-100 rather than 4-1.